Abstract:
:The growing availability of big data in healthcare and public health opens possibilities for infectious disease control in local settings. We prospectively evaluated a method for integrated local detection and prediction (nowcasting) of influenza epidemics over 5 years, using the total population in Östergötland County, Sweden. We used routine health information system data on influenza-diagnosis cases and syndromic telenursing data for July 2009-June 2014 to evaluate epidemic detection, peak-timing prediction, and peak-intensity prediction. Detection performance was satisfactory throughout the period, except for the 2011-12 influenza A(H3N2) season, which followed a season with influenza B and pandemic influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus activity. Peak-timing prediction performance was satisfactory for the 4 influenza seasons but not the pandemic. Peak-intensity levels were correctly categorized for the pandemic and 2 of 4 influenza seasons. We recommend using versions of this method modified with regard to local use context for further evaluations using standard methods.
journal_name
Emerg Infect Disjournal_title
Emerging infectious diseasesauthors
Spreco A,Eriksson O,Dahlström Ö,Cowling BJ,Timpka Tdoi
10.3201/eid2410.171940subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2018-10-01 00:00:00pages
1868-1873issue
10eissn
1080-6040issn
1080-6059journal_volume
24pub_type
历史文章,杂志文章abstract::Borrelia miyamotoi is distantly related to B. burgdorferi and transmitted by the same hard-body tick species. We report 46 cases of B. miyamotoi infection in humans and compare the frequency and clinical manifestations of this infection with those caused by B. garinii and B. burgdorferi infection. All 46 patients live...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1710.101474
更新日期:2011-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::The need for closer linkages between scientific and programmatic areas focused on addressing vaccine-preventable and acute respiratory infections led to establishment of the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (NCIRD) at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. During its first 10 years (2...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 历史文章,杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid2407.171699
更新日期:2018-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::An outbreak of febrile illness occurred in Gabon in 2007, with 20,000 suspected cases. Chikungunya or dengue-2 virus infections were identified in 321 patients; 8 patients had documented co-infections. Aedes albopictus was identified as the principal vector for the transmission of both viruses. ...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1504.080664
更新日期:2009-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Humanitarian emergencies often result in population displacement and increase the risk for transmission of communicable diseases. To address the increased risk for outbreaks during humanitarian emergencies, the World Health Organization developed the Early Warning Alert and Response Network (EWARN) for early detection...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid2313.170446
更新日期:2017-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::In the context of tuberculosis (TB) resurgence, isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) is increasingly promoted, but concerns about the risk for development of isoniazid-resistant tuberculosis may hinder its widespread implementation. We conducted a systematic review of data published since 1951 to assess the effect of pr...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章,meta分析,评审
doi:10.3201/eid1205.050681
更新日期:2006-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::The recently designated cyprinid herpesvirus 3 (CyHV-3) is an emerging agent that causes fatal disease in common and koi carp. Since its emergence in the late 1990s, this highly contagious pathogen has caused severe financial losses in common and koi carp culture industries worldwide. In addition to its economic role,...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1612.100593
更新日期:2010-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::Community-acquired Enterobacteriaceae infection and culture-negative meningitis are rare and atypical subtypes of meningitis in adults. Of 37 patients who had atypical suppurative meningitis during 1993-2015 in Okinawa, Japan, 54.5% had strongyloidiasis, of which 9.1% cases were hyperinfections and 3.0% dissemination....
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 历史文章,信件
doi:10.3201/eid2412.180375
更新日期:2018-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::We report results of a case-control study of the association between receipt of antimicrobial agents and diagnosis of community-acquired methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) in the United Kingdom. Eligible adults, selected from the General Practice Research Database, had no previous diagnosis of MRSA, no...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1307.061561
更新日期:2007-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Innovative regulatory and legislative measures to stimulate and facilitate the development of new antimicrobial drugs are needed. We discuss research approaches that can aid regulatory decision making on the treatment of resistant infections and minimization of resistance selection. We also outline current and future ...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1202.050078
更新日期:2006-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Mental status after acute West Nile virus infection has not been examined objectively. We compared Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status scores of 116 patients with West Nile fever or West Nile neuroinvasive disease. Mental status was poorer and cognitive complaints more frequent with West Nile neuroinvasive diseas...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1708.060097
更新日期:2006-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::We analyzed 92 Cryptosporidium parvum isolates from humans and animals by a polymerase chain reaction/restriction fragment length polymorphism method based on the thrombospondin-related anonymous protein 2 gene sequence. Used as a molecular marker, this method can differentiate between the two genotypes of C. parvum a...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid0404.980424
更新日期:1998-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Salmonella enterica serotype Baildon, a rare serotype, was recovered from 86 persons in eight states; 87% of illnesses began during a 3-week period ending January 9, 1999. Raw restaurant-prepared tomatoes were implicated in multiple case-control studies. Contamination likely occurred on the farm or during packing; mor...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid0706.010625
更新日期:2001-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::In Puerto Rico, risk for transmission of B-virus from free-ranging rhesus monkeys to humans has become a serious challenge. An incident with an injured rhesus monkey, seropositive for B-virus, resulted in inappropriate administration of antiviral postexposure prophylaxis. This incident underscores the importance of ed...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1003.030257
更新日期:2004-03-01 00:00:00
abstract::Enterovirus 71 is reported to have emerged in Cambodia in 2012; at least 54 children with severe encephalitis died during that outbreak. We used serum samples collected during 2000-2011 to show that the virus had been widespread in the country for at least a decade before the 2012 outbreak. ...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid2201.151323
更新日期:2016-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Travelers who have visited tropical areas may exhibit aggressive forms of obligatory myiases, in which the larvae (maggots) invasively feed on living tissue. The risk of a traveler's acquiring a screwworm infestation has been considered negligible, but with the increasing popularity of adventure sports and wildlife tr...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1001.020825
更新日期:2004-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::[This corrects the article on p. 1529 in vol. 22, PMID: 27538119.]. ...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 已发布勘误
doi:10.3201/eid2211.C32211
更新日期:2016-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::In Cambodia, 1,303 bats of 16 species were tested for lyssavirus. No lyssavirus nucleocapsid was detected in 1,283 brains tested by immunofluorescence assay. Antibodies against lyssaviruses were detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay in 144 (14.7%) of 981 serum samples. Thirty of 187 serum samples contained neu...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1012.040459
更新日期:2004-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::We conducted a study of the distribution and prevalence of tickborne infections in Denmark by using roe deer as sentinels. Blood samples from 237 roe deer were collected during the 2002-2003 hunting season. Overall, 36.6% of deer were Borrelia seropositive, while 95.6% were Anaplasma phagocytophilum positive; all anim...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1107.041265
更新日期:2005-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Veterinary diagnostic laboratories identify and characterize influenza A viruses primarily through passive surveillance. However, additional surveillance programs are needed. To meet this need, an active surveillance program was conducted at pig farms throughout the midwestern United States. From June 2009 through Dec...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 历史文章,杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1906.121637
更新日期:2013-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Four persons with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection had traveled on the same flight from Boston, Massachusetts, USA, to Hong Kong, China. Their virus genetic sequences are identical, unique, and belong to a clade not previously identified in Hong Kong, which strongly suggests that the virus can...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid2611.203254
更新日期:2020-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::Dengue is a major cause of illness among travelers and a threat to military troops operating in areas to which it is endemic. Before and during World War II, dengue frequently occurred in US military personnel in Asia and the South Pacific. From the 1960s into the 1990s, dengue often occurred in US troops in Vietnam, ...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 历史文章,杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3201/eid1804.110134
更新日期:2012-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Diabetes mellitus and hypertension are recognized risk factors for severe clinical outcomes, including death, associated with Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus infection. Among 32 virus-infected patients in Saudi Arabia, severity of illness and frequency of death corresponded closely with presence of multip...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid2601.190952
更新日期:2020-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::“Mycobacterium canettii,” an opportunistic human pathogen living in an unknown environmental reservoir, is the progenitor species from which Mycobacterium tuberculosis emerged. Since its discovery in 1969, most of the ≈70 known M. canettii strains were isolated in the Republic of Djibouti, frequently from expatriate c...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid2001.130652
更新日期:2014-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Since the 1990s, reports of Q fever in Nova Scotia, Canada, have declined. Passive surveillance for Q fever in Nova Scotia and its neighboring provinces in eastern Canada indicates that the clinical manifestation of Q fever in the Maritime provinces is pneumonia and that incidence of the disease may fluctuate. ...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1401.071256
更新日期:2008-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::In North America, hantaviruses commonly cause hantavirus pulmonary syndrome (HPS). Clinical descriptions of hantavirus-associated renal disease in the Americas are scarce. Herein, we discuss the case of a 61-year-old man whose predominant manifestations were acute kidney injury and proteinuria. Clinical recognition of...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid2602.191349
更新日期:2020-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::To characterize parapoxviruses causing severe disease in wild ruminants in Stelvio Park, Italy, we sequenced and compared the DNA of several isolates. Results demonstrated that the red deer isolates are closely related to the parapox of red deer in New Zealand virus. ...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1704.101454
更新日期:2011-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Carriage of the New Delhi metallo-β-lactamase variant 1 (NDM-1) enables drug resistance to move between communities and hospitals. In Bangladesh, we found the blaNDM-1 gene in 62% of environmental waters and in fermentative and nonfermentative gram-negative bacteria. Escherichia coli sequence type (ST) 101 was most co...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid2106.141578
更新日期:2015-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::In eastern chipmunks (Tamias striatus) inoculated intramuscularly with 101.5 to 105.7 PFU of West Nile virus (WNV), serum titers developed sufficient to infect Aedes triseriatus (Say), Ae. vexans (Meigen), and Culex pipiens (L.). Mean titers (95% confidence interval) of 8 chipmunks were 103.9(3.3-4.5), 106.7(6.4-7.0),...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1306.061008
更新日期:2007-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::An outbreak of cryptosporidiosis occurred in and around Clitheroe, Lancashire, in northwest England, during March 2000. Fifty-eight cases of diarrhea with Cryptosporidium identified in stool specimens were reported. Cryptosporidium oocysts were identified in samples from the water treatment works as well as domestic t...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid0806.010271
更新日期:2002-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::To examine risk for mycosis among persons with silicosis, we examined US mortality data for 1979-2004. Persons with silicosis were more likely to die with pulmonary mycosis than were those without pneumoconiosis or those with more common pneumoconioses. Health professionals should consider enhanced risk for mycosis fo...
journal_title:Emerging infectious diseases
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3201/eid1602.090824
更新日期:2010-02-01 00:00:00