Flexible Bayesian P-splines for smoothing age-specific spatio-temporal mortality patterns.

Abstract:

:In this paper age-space-time models based on one and two-dimensional P-splines with B-spline bases are proposed for smoothing mortality rates, where both fixed relative scale and scale invariant two-dimensional penalties are examined. Model fitting and inference are carried out using integrated nested Laplace approximations, a recent Bayesian technique that speeds up computations compared to McMC methods. The models will be illustrated with Spanish breast cancer mortality data during the period 1985-2010, where a general decline in breast cancer mortality has been observed in Spanish provinces in the last decades. The results reveal that mortality rates for the oldest age groups do not decrease in all provinces.

journal_name

Stat Methods Med Res

authors

Goicoa T,Adin A,Etxeberria J,Militino AF,Ugarte MD

doi

10.1177/0962280217726802

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2019-02-01 00:00:00

pages

384-403

issue

2

eissn

0962-2802

issn

1477-0334

journal_volume

28

pub_type

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