The role of climate during the COVID-19 epidemic in New South Wales, Australia.

Abstract:

:Previous research has identified a relationship between climate and occurrence of SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV cases, information that can be used to reduce the risk of infection. Using COVID-19 notification and postcode data from New South Wales, Australia during the exponential phase of the epidemic in 2020, we used time series analysis to investigate the relationship between 749 cases of locally acquired COVID-19 and daily rainfall, 9 a.m. and 3 p.m. temperature, and 9 a.m. and 3 p.m. relative humidity. Lower 9 a.m. relative humidity (but not rainfall or temperature) was associated with increased case occurrence; a reduction in relative humidity of 1% was predicted to be associated with an increase of COVID-19 cases by 6.11%. During periods of low relative humidity, the public health system should anticipate an increased number of COVID-19 cases.

journal_name

Transbound Emerg Dis

authors

Ward MP,Xiao S,Zhang Z

doi

10.1111/tbed.13631

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2020-11-01 00:00:00

pages

2313-2317

issue

6

eissn

1865-1674

issn

1865-1682

journal_volume

67

pub_type

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