Spatial analysis of lumpy skin disease in Eurasia-Predicting areas at risk for further spread within the region.

Abstract:

:Data from affected lumpy skin disease (LSD) locations between July 2012 and September 2018 in the Balkans, Caucasus, and Middle East were retrieved from FAO's Global Animal Disease Information System (EMPRES-i) from the European Commission's Animal Disease Notification System (ADNS) and completed with data from the official veterinary services of some countries. During this period, a total of 7,593 locations from 22 countries were affected. Within this period, over 46,000 cattle were clinically affected by LSD, 3,700 animals died and 17,500 were slaughtered due to culling policies to stop the spread of the disease. Most outbreaks occurred in 2016, between the months of May and November. The affected region was divided into a grid of 10 × 10 km cells and we fit a spatial regression model to analyse the association between the reported LSD outbreaks and climatic variables, land cover, and cattle density. The results showed big differences in the odds of being LSD positive due to the type of land cover: the odds of a cell being LSD positive was increased in areas mostly covered with croplands, grassland, or shrubland. The odds was also increased for higher cattle density, as well as areas with higher annual mean temperature and higher temperature diurnal range. The resulting model was utilized to predict the LSD risk in neighbouring unaffected areas in Europe, the Caucasus, and Central Asia, identifying several areas with high risk of spread. Results from this study provide useful information for the design of surveillance and awareness systems, and preventive measures, e.g., vaccination programmes.

journal_name

Transbound Emerg Dis

authors

Allepuz A,Casal J,Beltrán-Alcrudo D

doi

10.1111/tbed.13090

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2019-03-01 00:00:00

pages

813-822

issue

2

eissn

1865-1674

issn

1865-1682

journal_volume

66

pub_type

杂志文章
  • Genetic characterization and pathogenicity of a divergent broiler-origin orthoreovirus causing arthritis in China.

    abstract::Since 2013, there have been an increasing number of cases of arthritis in broilers caused by avian orthoreovirus (ARV) in China, and the virus remains highly virulent in chicks with high-level maternal antibodies. However, little information is available about the complete gene analysis and pathogenicity of the epidem...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13961

    authors: Jiang X,Lin Y,Yang J,Wang H,Li C,Teng X,Tang Y,Diao Y

    更新日期:2020-12-20 00:00:00

  • Emergence of a novel highly pathogenic porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus in China.

    abstract::From 2014 to 2015, four novel highly pathogenic PRRS virus (HP-PRRSV) strains named 14LY01-FJ, 14LY02-FJ 15LY01-FJ, and 15LY02-FJ were isolated from high morbidity (100%) and mortality (40%-80%) in piglets and sows in Fujian Province. To further our knowledge about these novel virus strains, we characterized their com...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12617

    authors: Liu JK,Zhou X,Zhai JQ,Li B,Wei CH,Dai AL,Yang XY,Luo ML

    更新日期:2017-12-01 00:00:00

  • A literature review of the use of environmental sampling in the surveillance of avian influenza viruses.

    abstract::This literature review provides an overview of use of environmental samples (ES) such as faeces, water, air, mud and swabs of surfaces in avian influenza (AI) surveillance programs, focussing on effectiveness, advantages and gaps in knowledge. ES have been used effectively for AI surveillance since the 1970s. Results ...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13633

    authors: Hood G,Roche X,Brioudes A,von Dobschuetz S,Fasina FO,Kalpravidh W,Makonnen Y,Lubroth J,Sims L

    更新日期:2020-07-11 00:00:00

  • Missing pieces of the puzzle to effectively control digital dermatitis.

    abstract::Since the first report of bovine digital dermatitis (DD) in 1974, there is a large body of the literature published; however, effective prevention and control of the disease remain elusive. Although many aspects of the pathogenesis of DD have been investigated, even some of the most basic questions such as the aetiolo...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12729

    authors: Orsel K,Plummer P,Shearer J,De Buck J,Carter SD,Guatteo R,Barkema HW

    更新日期:2018-05-01 00:00:00

  • International dog travelling and risk for zoonotic Onchocerca lupi.

    abstract::Onchocerca lupi is a recently recognized threat for the health of animals and humans in European, American, African and Middle Eastern countries. We describe a case of imported O. lupi infection in Italy and report the lifespan of this parasite in a non-endemic area, to advocate increased awareness of the veterinary c...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12842

    authors: Colella V,Lia RP,Di Paola G,Cortes H,Cardoso L,Otranto D

    更新日期:2018-08-01 00:00:00

  • Isolation and Characterization of a Moderately Virulent Classical Swine Fever Virus Emerging in China.

    abstract::Classical swine fever (CSF) is a devastating infectious disease of pigs caused by classical swine fever virus (CSFV). In China, CSF has been under control owing to extensive vaccination with the lapinized attenuated vaccine (C-strain) since 1950s, despite sporadic or endemic in many regions. However, recently, CSF out...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12581

    authors: Luo Y,Ji S,Liu Y,Lei JL,Xia SL,Wang Y,Du ML,Shao L,Meng XY,Zhou M,Sun Y,Qiu HJ

    更新日期:2017-12-01 00:00:00

  • The evolution of pigeon paramyxovirus type 1 (PPMV-1) in Great Britain: a molecular epidemiological study.

    abstract::Newcastle disease (ND), caused by virulent strains of avian paramyxovirus type 1 (APMV-1), is considered throughout the world as one of the most important animal diseases. For over three decades now, there has been a continuing panzootic caused by a variant virulent APMV-1 strain, so-called pigeon paramyxovirus type 1...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12006

    authors: Aldous EW,Fuller CM,Ridgeon JH,Irvine RM,Alexander DJ,Brown IH

    更新日期:2014-04-01 00:00:00

  • A novel reassortant influenza A (H1N1) virus infection in swine in Shandong Province, eastern China.

    abstract::Influenza A (H1N1) viruses are distributed worldwide and pose a threat to public health. Swine, as a natural host and mixing vessel of influenza A (H1N1) virus, play a critical role in the transmission of this virus to humans. Furthermore, swine influenza A (H1N1) viruses have provided all eight genes or some genes to...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13360

    authors: Yu Z,Cheng K,He H,Wu J

    更新日期:2020-01-01 00:00:00

  • Coinfection of sheep with Anaplasma, Theileria and Babesia species in the Kurdistan Region, Iraq.

    abstract::Infections of small ruminants with Anaplasma, Theileria and Babesia species are widely distributed in the old world and are of great economic impact. In Iraq, data on disease occurrence in sheep caused by above-mentioned infectious agents are scarce. This study provides information on various haemoparasitic agents inf...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12148

    authors: Renneker S,Abdo J,Bakheit MA,Kullmann B,Beyer D,Ahmed J,Seitzer U

    更新日期:2013-11-01 00:00:00

  • Review: Evaluation of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Control Using Fault Tree Analysis.

    abstract::An outbreak of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) causes huge economic losses and animal welfare problems. Although much can be learnt from past FMD outbreaks, several countries are not satisfied with their degree of contingency planning and aiming at more assurance that their control measures will be effective. The purpose...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12116

    authors: Isoda N,Kadohira M,Sekiguchi S,Schuppers M,Stärk KD

    更新日期:2015-06-01 00:00:00

  • Risk Mapping of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5 during 2012-2017 in Taiwan with Spatial Bayesian Modeling: Implications for Surveillance and Control Policies.

    abstract::During 2012-2017, a total of 1,144 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5 outbreaks were reported in Taiwan. We conjectured the current 3-km radius of the post-outbreak containment policy could fail to effectively alleviate the current ongoing epidemics of HPAI H5 in Taiwan. The high intensity of localized transm...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13991

    authors: Shih PW,Chan TC,King CC

    更新日期:2021-01-16 00:00:00

  • Ticks infesting dogs in rural communities of Yucatan, Mexico and molecular diagnosis of rickettsial infection.

    abstract::Rickettsial infection in dog-associated ticks in three rural communities of Yucatan, Mexico was investigated using qPCR and nested PCR assays. A total of 319 dogs were studied and ticks samples were collected. A total of 170 dogs were infested with ticks (frequency of 53.4%). Overall, 1,380 ticks representing seven sp...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12990

    authors: Ojeda-Chi MM,Rodriguez-Vivas RI,Esteve-Gasent MD,Pérez de León AA,Modarelli JJ,Villegas-Perez SL

    更新日期:2019-01-01 00:00:00

  • Detection and genetic characterization of porcine circovirus 3 (PCV3) in pigs in India.

    abstract::Porcine circovirus type 3 (PCV3), a novel circovirus, has been reported recently from major swine growing countries globally, and the virus is associated with diseases like porcine dermatitis, nephropathy syndrome and reproductive failure. This report describes the identification of PCV3 associated with reproductive f...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13463

    authors: Bera BC,Choudhary M,Anand T,Virmani N,Sundaram K,Choudhary B,Tripathi BN

    更新日期:2020-05-01 00:00:00

  • Knowledge gaps in control of Campylobacter for prevention of campylobacteriosis.

    abstract::Campylobacteriosis is an important, worldwide public health problem with numerous socio-economic impacts. Since 2015, approximately 230,000 cases have been reported annually in Europe. In the United States, Australia and New Zealand, campylobacteriosis is the most commonly reported disease. Poultry and poultry product...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12870

    authors: Hansson I,Sandberg M,Habib I,Lowman R,Engvall EO

    更新日期:2018-05-01 00:00:00

  • Tuberculosis in Rhinoceros: An Underrecognized Threat?

    abstract::Historical evidence of tuberculosis (TB) affecting primarily captive rhinoceroses dates back almost two centuries. Although the causative Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTC) species has not been determined in many cases, especially for those that occurred before bacterial culture techniques were available, the sp...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12489

    authors: Miller M,Michel A,van Helden P,Buss P

    更新日期:2017-08-01 00:00:00

  • First detection of foot-and-mouth disease virus O/ME-SA/ Ind2001e sublineage in Jordan.

    abstract::Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is a highly contagious vesicular disease that is caused by the FMD virus (FMDV). This disease affects both wild and domestic cloven-hoofed animals, and the latter of which includes cattle, swine, sheep and goats. FMD is endemic to Jordan and has a severe impact on the productivity of domes...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13372

    authors: Ababneh MM,Hananeh W,Bani Ismail Z,Hawawsheh M,Al-Zghoul M,Knowles NJ,van Maanen K

    更新日期:2020-01-01 00:00:00

  • Rift Valley fever virus infections in Egyptian cattle and their prevention.

    abstract::Rift Valley fever virus (RVFV) causes consistently severe outbreaks with high public health impacts and economic losses in livestock in many African countries and has also been introduced to Saudi Arabia and Yemen. Egypt with its four large outbreaks in the last 40 years represents the northernmost endemic area of RVF...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12616

    authors: Mroz C,Gwida M,El-Ashker M,Ziegler U,Homeier-Bachmann T,Eiden M,Groschup MH

    更新日期:2017-12-01 00:00:00

  • Detection and genetic characterization of Porcine circovirus type 3 in Italy.

    abstract::Porcine circovirus type 3 (PCV3) was recently proposed as a new porcine circovirus. It has been described by researchers in the USA and China and associated with porcine dermatitis and nephropathy syndrome, reproductive failure and systemic inflammation disease. The study reports the occurrence of the new virus in Ita...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12714

    authors: Faccini S,Barbieri I,Gilioli A,Sala G,Gibelli LR,Moreno A,Sacchi C,Rosignoli C,Franzini G,Nigrelli A

    更新日期:2017-12-01 00:00:00

  • Molecular characterization of foot-and-mouth disease viruses circulating in Ethiopia between 2008 and 2019.

    abstract::One of the constraints to controlling foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in East Africa is the incomplete knowledge of the specific FMD virus (FMDV) strains circulating and the way in which these viruses move across countries in the region. This retrospective study focuses on Ethiopia, which has one of the largest FMD-susce...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13675

    authors: Gizaw D,Tesfaye Y,Wood BA,Di Nardo A,Shegu D,Muluneh A,Bilata T,Belayneh R,Fentie A,Asgdome H,Sombo M,Rufael T,Tadesse Woldemariyam F,Khan F,Yami M,Gelaye E,Wadsworth J,Knowles NJ,King DP

    更新日期:2020-11-01 00:00:00

  • Transmission of influenza A virus in pigs.

    abstract::Influenza A virus infections cause respiratory disease in pigs and are a risk to public health. The pig plays an important role in influenza ecology because of its ability to support replication of influenza viruses from avian, swine and human species. Influenza A virus is widespread in pigs worldwide, and influenza A...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1111/j.1865-1682.2011.01300.x

    authors: Torremorell M,Allerson M,Corzo C,Diaz A,Gramer M

    更新日期:2012-03-01 00:00:00

  • Isolation and genomic characterization of gosling gout caused by a novel goose astrovirus.

    abstract::A severe infectious disease characterized with gout, haemorrhage and swellings of kidneys has affected goslings around the major goose-producing regions in China since November 2016. A Novel goose-origin astrovirus (AStV), designated as AStV/SDPY/Goose/1116/17 (AStV-SDPY) strain, was isolated from diseased goslings, a...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12928

    authors: Yang J,Tian J,Tang Y,Diao Y

    更新日期:2018-12-01 00:00:00

  • Occurrence and characterization of KPC-2-producing ST11 Klebsiella pneumoniae isolate and NDM-5-producing Escherichia coli isolate from the same horse of equestrian clubs in China.

    abstract::Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) have been rapidly increasing among animals in many countries and have been a great threat to public health. Horse riding is becoming increasingly popular worldwide; however, reports of CRE producing NDM or KPC-2, two prevalent types of carbapenemases, from horses of equest...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13614

    authors: Wang H,Li X,Liu BT

    更新日期:2020-05-09 00:00:00

  • MLVA fingerprinting of Brucella melitensis circulating among livestock and cases of sporadic human illness in Egypt.

    abstract::Brucella melitensis is a serious public health threat, with human infection exhibiting acute febrile illness and chronic health problems. The present study investigated the genetic diversity and epidemiological links of the important zoonotic bacterium B. melitensis in Egypt using multilocus variable-number tandem rep...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13581

    authors: Sayour AE,Elbauomy E,Abdel-Hamid NH,Mahrous A,Carychao D,Cooley MB,Elhadidy M

    更新日期:2020-11-01 00:00:00

  • Leishmaniasis in cat shelters: A serological, molecular and entomological study.

    abstract::An epidemiological Leishmania spp. and entomological Phlebotomine sandflies survey was performed in cat shelters at leishmaniasis endemic area of Brazil. Blood and conjunctival swab (CS) samples were collected from 94 cats in two animal protection shelters. These samples were subjected to serological tests using the i...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13544

    authors: Leonel JAF,Vioti G,Alves ML,Benassi JC,Silva DTD,Spada JCP,Ruiz VLA,Starke-Buzetti WA,Soares RM,Oliveira TMFS

    更新日期:2020-03-12 00:00:00

  • Presence of Hepatitis E Virus in a RED Deer (Cervus elaphus) Population in Central Italy.

    abstract::Hepatitis E is an acute human disease caused by the hepatitis E virus (HEV). In addition to humans, HEV has been detected in several animal species and is recognized as a zoonotic pathogen. Pigs, wild boar and deer can be reservoir. In this study, we evaluated HEV prevalence in a free-living red deer (Cervus elaphus) ...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12353

    authors: Di Bartolo I,Ponterio E,Angeloni G,Morandi F,Ostanello F,Nicoloso S,Ruggeri FM

    更新日期:2017-02-01 00:00:00

  • Modeling the transmission and vaccination strategy for porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus.

    abstract::Many aspects of the porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRSV) between-farm transmission dynamics have been investigated, but uncertainty remains about the significance of farm type and different transmission routes on PRRSV spread. We developed a stochastic epidemiological model calibrated on weekly ...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.14007

    authors: Galvis JA,Prada JM,Corzo CA,Machado G

    更新日期:2021-01-27 00:00:00

  • Mycoplasma hyopneumoniae variability: Current trends and proposed terminology for genomic classification.

    abstract::Mycoplasma hyopneumoniae (M. hyopneumoniae) is the aetiologic agent of enzootic pneumonia in swine, a prevalent chronic respiratory disease worldwide. Mycoplasma hyopneumoniae is a small, self-replicating microorganism that possesses several characteristics allowing for limited biosynthetic abilities, resulting in the...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1111/tbed.13233

    authors: Betlach AM,Maes D,Garza-Moreno L,Tamiozzo P,Sibila M,Haesebrouck F,Segalés J,Pieters M

    更新日期:2019-09-01 00:00:00

  • Towards establishing a rhinoceros-specific interferon-gamma (IFN-γ) assay for diagnosis of tuberculosis.

    abstract::Mycobacterium bovis is the causal agent of bovine tuberculosis (BTB), with a diverse host range, extending from livestock to domestic and captive wild animals as well as free-ranging wildlife species. In South Africa, BTB is endemic in the Kruger National Park (KNP) and the Hluluwe iMfolozi National Park (HiP), where ...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12132

    authors: Morar D,Schreuder J,Mény M,van Kooten PJ,Tijhaar E,Michel AL,Rutten VP

    更新日期:2013-11-01 00:00:00

  • Trade patterns facilitating highly pathogenic avian influenza virus dissemination in the free-grazing layer duck system in Vietnam.

    abstract::Highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) viruses continue to threaten smallholder poultry producers in several South-east Asian countries, including Vietnam. In particular, the free-grazing duck system has been repeatedly highlighted as a major risk factor for HPAI outbreaks. Free-grazing ducks, which scavenge on rice...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12697

    authors: Meyer A,Dinh TX,Han TA,Do DV,Nhu TV,Pham LT,Nguyen TTT,Newman S,Häsler B,Pfeiffer DU,Vergne T

    更新日期:2018-04-01 00:00:00

  • Analysis of Swine Movement in Four Canadian Regions: Network Structure and Implications for Disease Spread.

    abstract::Direct and indirect contacts among animal holdings are important in the spread of infectious diseases. The objectives of this study were to describe networks of pig movements and the sharing of trucks used for those movements between swine farms in four Canadian regions using network analysis tools and to obtain conta...

    journal_title:Transboundary and emerging diseases

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1111/tbed.12225

    authors: Thakur KK,Revie CW,Hurnik D,Poljak Z,Sanchez J

    更新日期:2016-02-01 00:00:00