Weighted hurdle regression method for joint modeling of cardiovascular events likelihood and rate in the US dialysis population.

Abstract:

:We propose a new weighted hurdle regression method for modeling count data, with particular interest in modeling cardiovascular events in patients on dialysis. Cardiovascular disease remains one of the leading causes of hospitalization and death in this population. Our aim is to jointly model the relationship/association between covariates and (i) the probability of cardiovascular events, a binary process, and (ii) the rate of events once the realization is positive-when the 'hurdle' is crossed-using a zero-truncated Poisson distribution. When the observation period or follow-up time, from the start of dialysis, varies among individuals, the estimated probability of positive cardiovascular events during the study period will be biased. Furthermore, when the model contains covariates, then the estimated relationship between the covariates and the probability of cardiovascular events will also be biased. These challenges are addressed with the proposed weighted hurdle regression method. Estimation for the weighted hurdle regression model is a weighted likelihood approach, where standard maximum likelihood estimation can be utilized. The method is illustrated with data from the United States Renal Data System. Simulation studies show the ability of proposed method to successfully adjust for differential follow-up times and incorporate the effects of covariates in the weighting.

journal_name

Stat Med

journal_title

Statistics in medicine

authors

Sentürk D,Dalrymple LS,Mu Y,Nguyen DV

doi

10.1002/sim.6232

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2014-11-10 00:00:00

pages

4387-401

issue

25

eissn

0277-6715

issn

1097-0258

journal_volume

33

pub_type

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