Precision of incidence predictions based on Poisson distributed observations.

Abstract:

:Disease incidence predictions are useful for a number of administrative and scientific purposes. The simplest ones are made using trend extrapolation, on either an arithmetic or a logarithmic scale. This paper shows how approximate confidence prediction intervals can be calculated for such predictions, both for the total number of cases and for the age-adjusted incidence rates, by assuming Poisson distribution of the age and period specific numbers of incident cases. Generalizations for prediction models, for example, using power families and extra-Poisson variation, are also presented. Cancer incidence predictions for the Stockholm-Gotland Oncological Region in Sweden are used as an example.

journal_name

Stat Med

journal_title

Statistics in medicine

authors

Hakulinen T,Dyba T

doi

10.1002/sim.4780131503

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

1994-08-15 00:00:00

pages

1513-23

issue

15

eissn

0277-6715

issn

1097-0258

journal_volume

13

pub_type

杂志文章
  • Linear regression for bivariate censored data via multiple imputation.

    abstract::Bivariate survival data arise, for example, in twin studies and studies of both eyes or ears of the same individual. Often it is of interest to regress the survival times on a set of predictors. In this paper we extend Wei and Tanner's multiple imputation approach for linear regression with univariate censored data to...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19991130)18:22<3111::aid-s

    authors: Pan W,Kooperberg C

    更新日期:1999-11-30 00:00:00

  • Nonparametric comparison of two survival functions with dependent censoring via nonparametric multiple imputation.

    abstract::When the event time of interest depends on the censoring time, conventional two-sample test methods, such as the log-rank and Wilcoxon tests, can produce an invalid test result. We extend our previous work on estimation using auxiliary variables to adjust for dependent censoring via multiple imputation, to the compari...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.3480

    authors: Hsu CH,Taylor JM

    更新日期:2009-02-01 00:00:00

  • Distribution-free inference on contrasts of arbitrary summary measures of survival.

    abstract::We present an approach for inference on contrasts of clinically meaningful functionals of a survivor distribution (e.g., restricted mean, quantiles) that can avoid strong parametric or semiparametric assumptions on the underlying structure of the data. In this multistage approach, we first use an adaptive predictive m...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4505

    authors: Rudser KD,LeBlanc ML,Emerson SS

    更新日期:2012-07-20 00:00:00

  • A note on sample size calculations for cluster randomised crossover trials with a fixed number of clusters.

    abstract::Girardeau, Ravaud and Donner in 2008 presented a formula for sample size calculations for cluster randomised crossover trials, when the intracluster correlation coefficient, interperiod correlation coefficient and mean cluster size are specified in advance. However, in many randomised trials, the number of clusters is...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.8191

    authors: Kelly TL,Pratt N

    更新日期:2019-08-15 00:00:00

  • Smooth centile curves for skew and kurtotic data modelled using the Box-Cox power exponential distribution.

    abstract::The Box-Cox power exponential (BCPE) distribution, developed in this paper, provides a model for a dependent variable Y exhibiting both skewness and kurtosis (leptokurtosis or platykurtosis). The distribution is defined by a power transformation Y(nu) having a shifted and scaled (truncated) standard power exponential ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.1861

    authors: Rigby RA,Stasinopoulos DM

    更新日期:2004-10-15 00:00:00

  • Assessing local influence in principal component analysis with application to haematology study data.

    abstract::In many medical and health studies, high-dimensional data are often encountered. Principal component analysis (PCA) is a commonly used technique to reduce such data to a few components that includes most of the information provided by the original data. However, PCA is known to be very sensitive to some abnormal obser...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2747

    authors: Fung WK,Gu H,Xiang L,Yau KK

    更新日期:2007-06-15 00:00:00

  • Group sequential testing of the predictive accuracy of a continuous biomarker with unknown prevalence.

    abstract::Group sequential testing procedures have been proposed as an approach to conserving resources in biomarker validation studies. Previously, we derived the asymptotic properties of the sequential empirical positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) curves, which summarize the predictive accuracy...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6790

    authors: Koopmeiners JS,Feng Z

    更新日期:2016-04-15 00:00:00

  • Multiplicity adjustment for multiple endpoints in clinical trials with multiple doses of an active treatment.

    abstract::Frequently, multiple doses of an active treatment and multiple endpoints are simultaneously considered in the designs of clinical trials. For these trials, traditional multiplicity adjustment procedures such as Bonferroni, Hochberg and Hommel procedures can be applied when treating the comparisons of different doses t...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2101

    authors: Quan H,Luo X,Capizzi T

    更新日期:2005-07-30 00:00:00

  • Measuring vaccine efficacy from epidemics of acute infectious agents.

    abstract::A good measure of field vaccine efficacy should evaluate the direct protective effect of vaccination on the person who receives the vaccine. The conventional estimator for vaccine efficacy depends on population level factors that are either unrelated or indirectly related to the direct biological action of the vaccine...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780120309

    authors: Longini IM Jr,Halloran ME,Haber M,Chen RT

    更新日期:1993-02-01 00:00:00

  • Discriminant analysis when all variables are ordered.

    abstract::Determination of the equation that relates an ordered dependent variable to ordered independent variables is sought. One solution, non-parametric discriminant analysis (NPD), involves obtaining the best monotonic step function by means of a computer search procedure. Although one can use alternative selection criteria...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780110804

    authors: Johnston B,Seshia SS

    更新日期:1992-06-15 00:00:00

  • Using mark-recapture methodology to estimate the size of a population at risk for sexually transmitted diseases.

    abstract::To study the spread of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) using social/sexual mixing models, one must have quantitative information about sexual mixing. An unavoidable complication in gathering such information by survey is that members of the surveyed population will almost certainly have sexual contacts outside th...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780111202

    authors: Rubin G,Umbach D,Shyu SF,Castillo-Chavez C

    更新日期:1992-09-15 00:00:00

  • A comparison of propensity score methods: a case-study estimating the effectiveness of post-AMI statin use.

    abstract::There is an increasing interest in the use of propensity score methods to estimate causal effects in observational studies. However, recent systematic reviews have demonstrated that propensity score methods are inconsistently used and frequently poorly applied in the medical literature. In this study, we compared the ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2328

    authors: Austin PC,Mamdani MM

    更新日期:2006-06-30 00:00:00

  • Some considerations in the analysis of rates of change in longitudinal studies.

    abstract::This paper discusses and compares several estimators of mean rate of change in unbalanced longitudinal data based on a model with randomly distributed regression coefficients across individuals. The estimators are unweighted and weighted means of these coefficients. The paper also evaluates commonly used variance esti...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780060509

    authors: Palta M,Cook T

    更新日期:1987-07-01 00:00:00

  • Biomarker discovery using targeted maximum-likelihood estimation: application to the treatment of antiretroviral-resistant HIV infection.

    abstract::Researchers in clinical science and bioinformatics frequently aim to learn which of a set of candidate biomarkers is important in determining a given outcome, and to rank the contributions of the candidates accordingly. This article introduces a new approach to research questions of this type, based on targeted maximu...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.3414

    authors: Bembom O,Petersen ML,Rhee SY,Fessel WJ,Sinisi SE,Shafer RW,van der Laan MJ

    更新日期:2009-01-15 00:00:00

  • Optimal three-stage designs for phase II cancer clinical trials.

    abstract::The objective of a phase II cancer clinical trial is to screen a treatment that can produce a similar or better response rate compared to the current treatment results. This screening is usually carried out in two stages as proposed by Simon. For ineffective treatment, the trial should terminate at the first stage. En...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19971215)16:23<2701::aid-s

    authors: Chen TT

    更新日期:1997-12-15 00:00:00

  • Designing a study to evaluate the benefit of a biomarker for selecting patient treatment.

    abstract::Biomarkers that predict the efficacy of treatment can potentially improve clinical outcomes and decrease medical costs by allowing treatment to be provided only to those most likely to benefit. We consider the design of a randomized clinical trial in which one objective is to evaluate a treatment selection marker. The...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6564

    authors: Janes H,Brown MD,Pepe MS

    更新日期:2015-11-30 00:00:00

  • Familial associations of lipid profiles: a generalized estimating equations approach.

    abstract::Elevated plasma levels of apolipoproteins A1 (apoA1) and B (apoB) are important protective factors and risk factors, respectively, for atherosclerosis and coronary heart disease. It is well known that both apoA1 and apoB reveal strong familial aggregation. Our goal was to investigate whether exogenous variables influe...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/1097-0258(20001230)19:24<3345::aid-sim829>

    authors: Ziegler A,Kastner C,Brunner D,Blettner M

    更新日期:2000-12-30 00:00:00

  • A framework establishing clear decision criteria for the assessment of drug efficacy.

    abstract::Much has been published on various aspects of data analysis and reporting from clinical trials within the biopharmaceutical environment. This ranges from regulatory guidelines on the format and content of registration dossiers to recommendations on data presentation and the statistical methodologies that are appropria...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19980815/30)17:15/16<1829:

    authors: Huster WJ,Enas GG

    更新日期:1998-08-15 00:00:00

  • Development and applications of a city-level alcohol availability and alcohol problems database.

    abstract::Data on alcohol availability and problems in all cities in Los Angeles County were collected from several different sources and linked together to form a Local Alcohol Availability Database (LAAD). The two major purposes of the project are to provide a city-level alcohol availability and alcohol-related problems datab...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780140517

    authors: MacKinnon DP,Scribner R,Taft KA

    更新日期:1995-03-15 00:00:00

  • Play the winner for phase II/III clinical trials.

    abstract::In comparing two treatments under a typical sequential clinical trial setting, a 50-50 randomization design generates reliable data for making efficient inferences about the treatment difference for the benefit of patients in the general population. However, if the treatment difference is large and the endpoint of the...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19961130)15:22<2413::aid-s

    authors: Yao Q,Wei LJ

    更新日期:1996-11-15 00:00:00

  • A practical approach for the assessment of bioequivalence under selected higher-order cross-over designs.

    abstract::The two-period cross-over design with two sequences of drug administration is a standard experimental design when bioequivalence of one test formulation is to be assessed in comparison with a reference formulation. Previously, an approach based on Fieller's confidence interval has been presented for the assessment of ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19971015)16:19<2229::aid-s

    authors: Vuorinen J

    更新日期:1997-10-15 00:00:00

  • Exact equivalence test for risk ratio and its sample size determination under inverse sampling.

    abstract::When data are dichotomous, this paper notes the utility of inverse sampling in establishing equivalence with respect to the risk ratio. This paper develops an exact equivalence test that accounts for the risk ratio under inverse sampling and further discusses the relationship between the exact equivalence test and the...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19970815)16:15<1777::aid-s

    authors: Lui KJ

    更新日期:1997-08-15 00:00:00

  • A frailty model for recurrent events during alternating restraint and non-restraint time periods.

    abstract::We consider recurrent events of the same type that occur during alternating restraint and non-restraint time periods. This research is motivated by a study on juvenile recidivism, where the probationers were followed for re-offenses during alternating placement periods and free-time periods. During the placement perio...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7150

    authors: Li X,Chen Y,Li R

    更新日期:2017-02-20 00:00:00

  • Designs for phase I trials in ordered groups.

    abstract::We propose a new design for dose finding for cytotoxic agents in two ordered groups of patients. By ordered groups, we mean that prior to the study there is clinical information that would indicate that for a given dose one group would be more susceptible to toxicities than patients in the other group. The designs are...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7133

    authors: Conaway MR,Wages NA

    更新日期:2017-01-30 00:00:00

  • Item response models for longitudinal quality of life data in clinical trials.

    abstract::Assessment of quality of life is becoming standard in clinical trials. A popular method for measuring quality of life is with instruments which utilize multiple-item subscales, in which each item is scored on a Likert scale. Most statistical methods for the analysis of quality of life data in clinical trials do not ex...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19991115)18:21<2917::aid-s

    authors: Douglas JA

    更新日期:1999-11-15 00:00:00

  • A method to estimate the variance of an endpoint from an on-going blinded trial.

    abstract::Blinded estimation of variance allows for changing the sample size without compromising the integrity of the trial. Some of the methods that estimate the variance in a blinded manner either make untenable assumptions or are only applicable to two-treatment trials. We propose a new method for continuous endpoints that ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2070

    authors: Xing B,Ganju J

    更新日期:2005-06-30 00:00:00

  • A small sample study of the STEPP approach to assessing treatment-covariate interactions in survival data.

    abstract::A new, intuitive method has recently been proposed to explore treatment-covariate interactions in survival data arising from two treatment arms of a clinical trial. The method is based on constructing overlapping subpopulations of patients with respect to one (or more) covariates of interest and in observing the patte...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.3524

    authors: Bonetti M,Zahrieh D,Cole BF,Gelber RD

    更新日期:2009-04-15 00:00:00

  • A practical introduction to Bayesian estimation of causal effects: Parametric and nonparametric approaches.

    abstract::Substantial advances in Bayesian methods for causal inference have been made in recent years. We provide an introduction to Bayesian inference for causal effects for practicing statisticians who have some familiarity with Bayesian models and would like an overview of what it can add to causal estimation in practical s...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.8761

    authors: Oganisian A,Roy JA

    更新日期:2021-01-30 00:00:00

  • On the propensity score weighting analysis with survival outcome: Estimands, estimation, and inference.

    abstract::Propensity score analysis is widely used in observational studies to adjust for confounding and estimate the causal effect of a treatment on the outcome. When the outcome is survival time, there are special considerations on the definition of the causal estimand, point, and variance estimation that have not been thoro...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7839

    authors: Mao H,Li L,Yang W,Shen Y

    更新日期:2018-11-20 00:00:00

  • Smooth bootstrap methods for analysis of longitudinal data.

    abstract::In analysis of longitudinal data, the variance matrix of the parameter estimates is usually estimated by the 'sandwich' method, in which the variance for each subject is estimated by its residual products. We propose smooth bootstrap methods by perturbing the estimating functions to obtain 'bootstrapped' realizations ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.3027

    authors: Li Y,Wang YG

    更新日期:2008-03-30 00:00:00