A Game-Theoretic Model of Cholera with Optimal Personal Protection Strategies.

Abstract:

:Cholera is an acute gastro-intestinal infection that affects millions of people throughout the world each year, primarily but not exclusively in developing countries. Because of its public health ramifications, considerable mathematical attention has been paid to the disease. Here we consider one neglected aspect of combating cholera: personal participation in anti-cholera interventions. We construct a game-theoretic model of cholera in which individuals choose whether to participate in either vaccination or clean water consumption programs under assumed costs. We find that relying upon individual compliance significantly lowers the incidence of the disease as long as the cost of intervention is sufficiently low, but does not eliminate it. The relative costs of the measures determined whether a population preferentially adopts a single preventative measure or employs the measure with the strongest early adoption.

journal_name

Bull Math Biol

authors

Kobe J,Pritchard N,Short Z,Erovenko IV,Rychtář J,Rowell JT

doi

10.1007/s11538-018-0476-5

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2018-10-01 00:00:00

pages

2580-2599

issue

10

eissn

0092-8240

issn

1522-9602

pii

10.1007/s11538-018-0476-5

journal_volume

80

pub_type

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