Abstract:
:In this paper, we describe a Bayesian hierarchical Poisson model for the prospective analysis of data for infectious diseases. The proposed model consists of two components. The first component describes the behavior of disease during nonepidemic periods and the second component represents the increase in disease counts due to the presence of an epidemic. A novelty of our model formulation is that the parameters describing the spread of epidemics are allowed to vary in both space and time. We also show how syndromic information can be incorporated into the model to provide a better description of the data and more accurate one-step-ahead forecasts. These real-time forecasts can be used to identify high-risk areas for outbreaks and, consequently, to develop efficient targeted surveillance. We apply the methodology to weekly emergency room discharges for acute bronchitis in South Carolina.
journal_name
Stat Methods Med Resjournal_title
Statistical methods in medical researchauthors
Corberán-Vallet A,Lawson ABdoi
10.1177/0962280214527385subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2014-12-01 00:00:00pages
572-90issue
6eissn
0962-2802issn
1477-0334pii
0962280214527385journal_volume
23pub_type
杂志文章abstract:BACKGROUND:Dyspepsia diagnoses and treatment decisions are made in situations in which multiple factors must be taken into account. Evolving from neuro-biological insights, artificial neural networks (ANNs) can employ multiple factors in resolving medical prediction, classification, pattern recognition, and pattern com...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280206071839
更新日期:2007-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Clustered data is not simply correlated data, but has its own unique aspects. In this paper, various methods for correlated receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve data that have been extended specifically to clustered data are reviewed. For those methods that have not yet been extended, suggestions for their ap...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1177/096228029800700402
更新日期:1998-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::The semiparametric Cox regression model is often fitted in the modeling of survival data. One of its main advantages is the ease of interpretation, as long as the hazards rates for two individuals do not vary over time. In practice the proportionality assumption of the hazards may not be true in some situations. In ad...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280219883905
更新日期:2020-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::There is debate whether clinical trials with suboptimal power are justified and whether results from large studies are more reliable than the (combined) results of smaller trials. We quantified the error rates for evaluations based on single conventionally powered trials (80% or 90% power) versus evaluations based on ...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280212461098
更新日期:2016-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Variable selection in semiparametric mixed models for longitudinal data remains a challenge, especially in the presence of multiple correlated outcomes. In this paper, we propose a model selection procedure that simultaneously selects fixed and random effects using a maximum penalized likelihood method with the adapti...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280217690769
更新日期:2018-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Pattern-mixture model (PMM)-based controlled imputations have become a popular tool to assess the sensitivity of primary analysis inference to different post-dropout assumptions or to estimate treatment effectiveness. The methodology is well established for continuous responses but less well established for binary res...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280220941880
更新日期:2020-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::We propose a semiparametric multi-state frailty model to analyze clustered event-history data subject to interval censoring. The proposed model is motivated by an attempt to study the life course of dental caries at the tooth level, taking into account the multiplicity of caries states and the intra-oral clustering of...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280218788383
更新日期:2019-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::The simple yet subtle concept of regression towards the mean is reviewed historically. Verbal, geometric, and mathematical expressions of the concept date to the discoverer of the concept, Francis Galton. That discovery and subsequent understanding (and misunderstanding) of the concept are surveyed. ...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 传,历史文章,杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1177/096228029700600202
更新日期:1997-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Statistical methods for carrying out asymptotic inferences (tests or confidence intervals) relative to one or two independent binomial proportions are very frequent. However, inferences about a linear combination of K independent proportions L = Σβ(i)p(i) (in which the first two are special cases) have had very little...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280209347953
更新日期:2011-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Nonlinear mixed-effects modeling is one of the most popular tools for analyzing repeated measurement data, particularly for applications in the biomedical fields. Multiple integration and nonlinear optimization are the two major challenges for likelihood-based methods in nonlinear mixed-effects modeling. To solve thes...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280220949898
更新日期:2020-08-24 00:00:00
abstract::Joint models for recurrent and terminal events have not been yet developed for clustered data. The goals of our study are to develop a statistical framework for modelling clustered recurrent and terminal events and to perform dynamic predictions of the terminal event in family studies. We propose a joint nested frailt...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280219863076
更新日期:2020-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Non-parametric linkage analysis examines similarities among affected relatives in alleles of one or more genetic markers (pieces of DNA at known locations on a chromosome). The objective is to evaluate departures from the null hypothesis that the markers are not near a disease gene. Under the null hypothesis, Mendel's...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1177/096228020101000103
更新日期:2001-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::We propose a hierarchical Bayesian methodology to model spatially or spatio-temporal clustered survival data with possibility of cure. A flexible continuous transformation class of survival curves indexed by a single parameter is used. This transformation model is a larger class of models containing two special cases ...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280212445658
更新日期:2016-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Sensitive questions are often involved in healthcare or medical survey research. Much empirical evidence has shown that the randomized response technique is useful for the collection of truthful responses. However, few studies have discussed methods to estimate the dependence of sensitive responses of multiple types. ...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280219847492
更新日期:2020-03-01 00:00:00
abstract::The positivity assumption, or the experimental treatment assignment (ETA) assumption, is important for identifiability in causal inference. Even if the positivity assumption holds, practical violations of this assumption may jeopardize the finite sample performance of the causal estimator. One of the consequences of p...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280218774817
更新日期:2019-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Purpose The prevalence estimates of binary variables in sample surveys are often subject to two systematic errors: measurement error and nonresponse bias. A multiple-bias analysis is essential to adjust for both biases. Methods In this paper, we linked the latent class log-linear and proxy pattern-mixture models to ad...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280217690939
更新日期:2018-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Medical research commonly relies on the combination of 2 x 2 tables of counted data for making inferences about treatment effects or about the causes of disease. This article reviews point estimation and interval estimation for a common odds ratio. Traditional methods for providing these estimates face special challen...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1177/096228029400300204
更新日期:1994-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::We propose a cross-validated area under the receiving operator characteristic (ROC) curve (CV-AUC) criterion for tuning parameter selection for penalized methods in sparse, high-dimensional logistic regression models. We use this criterion in combination with the minimax concave penalty (MCP) method for variable selec...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280211428385
更新日期:2013-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::This article re-examines parametric methods for the calculation of time specific reference intervals where there is measurement error present in the time covariate. Previous published work has commonly been based on the standard ordinary least squares approach, weighted where appropriate. In fact, this is an incorrect...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280211426617
更新日期:2015-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::The use of genetic variants as instrumental variables - an approach known as Mendelian randomization - is a popular epidemiological method for estimating the causal effect of an exposure (phenotype, biomarker, risk factor) on a disease or health-related outcome from observational data. Instrumental variables must sati...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280219851817
更新日期:2020-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Adherence to medication is often measured as a continuous outcome but analyzed as a dichotomous outcome due to lack of appropriate tools. In this paper, we illustrate the use of the temporal kernel canonical correlation analysis (tkCCA) as a method to analyze adherence measurements and symptom levels on a continuous s...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280215598805
更新日期:2017-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::In this article, we present an overview and tutorial of statistical methods for meta-analysis of diagnostic tests under two scenarios: (1) when the reference test can be considered a gold standard and (2) when the reference test cannot be considered a gold standard. In the first scenario, we first review the conventio...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1177/0962280213492588
更新日期:2016-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::This article outlines the statistical developments that have taken place in the use of the EM algorithm in emission and transmission tomography during the past decade or so. We discuss the statistical aspects of the modelling of the projection data for both the emission and transmission cases and define the relevant p...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/096228029700600105
更新日期:1997-03-01 00:00:00
abstract::This paper is based on a conference presentation in which several authors presented results from analyses of the same dataset concerning the evaluation of progression-free survival (PFS) as a surrogate endpoint for overall survival in advanced colorectal cancer clinical trials. In evaluating a potential surrogate endp...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280207081860
更新日期:2008-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::In cluster randomized trials, clusters of subjects are randomized rather than subjects themselves, and missing outcomes are a concern as in individual randomized trials. We assessed strategies for handling missing data when analysing cluster randomized trials with a binary outcome; strategies included complete case, a...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280214530030
更新日期:2016-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::In the past two decades, it has become increasingly clear that genetic factors contribute to the aetiology of many common diseases including cancers, coronary disease, allergy and psychiatric disorders. While one goal of genetic epidemiological studies is to locate susceptibility genes for these complex diseases, it i...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1177/096228020000900603
更新日期:2000-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::Recently, the joint analysis of longitudinal and survival data has been an active research area. Most joint models focus on survival data with only one type of failure. The research on joint modeling of longitudinal and competing risks survival data is sparse. Even so, many joint models for this type of data assume pa...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280215597939
更新日期:2017-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::In recent years, there has been a prominent discussion in the literature about the potential for overestimation of the treatment effect when a clinical trial stops at an interim analysis due to the experimental treatment showing a benefit over the control. However, there has been much less attention paid to the conver...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280218795320
更新日期:2019-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Common limitations of clustering methods include the slow algorithm convergence, the instability of the pre-specification on a number of intrinsic parameters, and the lack of robustness to outliers. A recent clustering approach proposed a fast search algorithm of cluster centers based on their local densities. However...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280215609948
更新日期:2017-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::To evaluate the antiretroviral activity of antiretroviral agents and to compare the effects of two different antiretroviral agents, we propose a non-parametric mixed-effects model to investigate change of CD4+ counts. The proposed model and methods are applied to analyse the data from PACTG345 study. Population and in...
journal_title:Statistical methods in medical research
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1177/0962280206075524
更新日期:2008-04-01 00:00:00