Latent transition analysis: inference and estimation.

Abstract:

:Parameters for latent transition analysis (LTA) are easily estimated by maximum likelihood (ML) or Bayesian method via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, unusual features in the likelihood can cause difficulties in ML and Bayesian inference and estimation, especially with small samples. In this study we explore several problems in drawing inference for LTA in the context of a simulation study and a substance use example. We argue that when conventional ML and Bayesian estimates behave erratically, problems often may be alleviated with a small amount of prior input for LTA with small samples. This paper proposes a dynamic data-dependent prior for LTA with small samples and compares the performance of the estimation methods with the proposed prior in drawing inference.

journal_name

Stat Med

journal_title

Statistics in medicine

authors

Chung H,Lanza ST,Loken E

doi

10.1002/sim.3130

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2008-05-20 00:00:00

pages

1834-54

issue

11

eissn

0277-6715

issn

1097-0258

journal_volume

27

pub_type

杂志文章
  • Study of coverage of confidence intervals for the standardized mortality ratio in studies with missing death certificates.

    abstract::This paper assesses the coverage probability of commonly used confidence intervals for the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) when death certificates are missing. It also proposes alternative confidence interval approaches with coverage probabilities close to .95. In epidemiology, the SMR is an important measure of ri...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7432

    authors: Timkova J,Kotik L,Tomasek L

    更新日期:2017-11-30 00:00:00

  • On tests of the overall treatment effect in meta-analysis with normally distributed responses.

    abstract::For the meta-analysis of controlled clinical trials or epidemiological studies, in which the responses are at least approximately normally distributed, a refined test for the hypothesis of no overall treatment effect is proposed. The test statistic is based on a direct estimation function for the variance of the overa...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.791

    authors: Hartung J,Knapp G

    更新日期:2001-06-30 00:00:00

  • Covariate heterogeneity in meta-analysis: criteria for deciding between meta-regression and individual patient data.

    abstract::Meta-analyses of clinical trials are increasingly seeking to go beyond estimating the effect of a treatment and may also aim to investigate the effect of other covariates and how they alter treatment effectiveness. This requires the estimation of treatment-covariate interactions. Meta-regression can be used to estimat...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2768

    authors: Simmonds MC,Higgins JP

    更新日期:2007-07-10 00:00:00

  • Box-Cox transformation of left-censored data with application to the analysis of coronary artery calcification and pharmacokinetic data.

    abstract::Box-Cox transformation is investigated for regression models for left-censored data. Examples are provided using coronary calcification data from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis and pharmacokinetic data of a nicotine nasal spray. ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.1925

    authors: Han C,Kronmal R

    更新日期:2004-12-15 00:00:00

  • Models for diagnosing chest pain: is CART helpful?

    abstract::The use of classification and regression tree (CART) methodology is explored for the diagnosis of patients complaining of anterior chest pain. The results are compared with those previously obtained using correspondence analysis and independent Bayes classification. The technique is shown to be of potential value for ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19970415)16:7<717::aid-sim

    authors: Crichton NJ,Hinde JP,Marchini J

    更新日期:1997-04-15 00:00:00

  • Assessment of equivalence on multiple endpoints.

    abstract::Some clinical trials aim to demonstrate therapeutic equivalence on multiple primary endpoints. For example, therapeutic equivalence studies of agents for the treatment of osteoarthritis use several primary endpoints including investigator's global assessment of disease activity, patient's global assessment of response...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.985

    authors: Quan H,Bolognese J,Yuan W

    更新日期:2001-11-15 00:00:00

  • Multistate models and lifetime risk estimation: Application to Alzheimer's disease.

    abstract::The lifetime risk of a clinical condition is the probability of onset of the condition during one's lifespan. Recent advances in Alzheimer's disease (AD) research have identified screening tests for biomarkers that can identify persons who are in the earliest stages of the AD process but who do not yet have any clinic...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.8056

    authors: Brookmeyer R,Abdalla N

    更新日期:2019-04-30 00:00:00

  • Estimating transmission probabilities for chlamydial infection.

    abstract::Estimates of transmission probabilities for sexually transmitted diseases historically come from studies of uninfected individuals exposed to those with a high disease prevalence (for example, prostitutes). However, changes in sexual behaviour, much of which relates to concerns about AIDS, has made identification of p...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780110502

    authors: Katz BP

    更新日期:1992-03-01 00:00:00

  • Comparisons of the performance of different statistical tests for time-to-event analysis with confounding factors: practical illustrations in kidney transplantation.

    abstract::Confounding factors are commonly encountered in observational studies. Several confounder-adjusted tests to compare survival between differently exposed subjects were proposed. However, only few studies have compared their performances regarding type I error rates, and no study exists evaluating their type II error ra...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6777

    authors: Le Borgne F,Giraudeau B,Querard AH,Giral M,Foucher Y

    更新日期:2016-03-30 00:00:00

  • Viral load detectability profiles for HIV infection.

    abstract::The introduction of potent antiretroviral therapies for treatment of HIV infection typically results in a dramatic reduction in plasma HIV RNA concentration, often to levels undetectable by current measurement practices. However, although a high proportion of patients achieve 'undetectability', many then experience a ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.1325

    authors: McKinnon EJ,James IR,John M,Mallal SA

    更新日期:2003-02-15 00:00:00

  • An adapted F-test for homogeneity of variability in follow-on biological products.

    abstract::In recent years, follow-on biological products (biosimilars) have received much attention from both the biotechnology industry and the regulatory agencies, especially after the passage of the 2010 healthcare reform bill. Unlike the traditional small-molecule drug products, the development of biological products is not...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.5568

    authors: Yang J,Zhang N,Chow SC,Chi E

    更新日期:2013-02-10 00:00:00

  • Methods for proper handling of overrunning and underrunning in phase II designs for oncology trials.

    abstract::Phase II studies in oncology are frequently conducted as two-stage single-arm trials with a binary endpoint indicating tumor response. As a common feature of these designs, the sample sizes of the two stages and the decision rules for the interim and the final analysis have to be pre-specified and adhered to strictly ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6479

    authors: Englert S,Kieser M

    更新日期:2015-06-15 00:00:00

  • A semi-parametric regression analysis of CD4 cell counts.

    abstract::This paper considers the regression analysis of CD4 cell counts, a commonly used indicator and prognostic factor of AIDS progression. For this purpose, a number of methods have been proposed and most of them are based on random effects models. We present an alternative that is based on a mean function regression model...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.945

    authors: Sun J

    更新日期:2001-11-15 00:00:00

  • Characterizing the functional MRI response using Tikhonov regularization.

    abstract::The problem of evaluating an averaged functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) response for repeated block design experiments was considered within a semiparametric regression model with autocorrelated residuals. We applied functional data analysis (FDA) techniques that use a least-squares fitting of B-spline expa...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2981

    authors: Vakorin VA,Borowsky R,Sarty GE

    更新日期:2007-09-20 00:00:00

  • Measurement error in dietary assessment: an investigation using covariance structure models. Part II.

    abstract::In Part I we presented a covariance structure model for analysing measurement error in the assessment of nitrogen intake. In this paper we include data on urine nitrogen excretion which allows a critical assessment of the model proposed. Inclusion of urine nitrogen data produces more pessimistic estimates of the quali...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780121005

    authors: Plummer M,Clayton D

    更新日期:1993-05-30 00:00:00

  • Group sequential testing of the predictive accuracy of a continuous biomarker with unknown prevalence.

    abstract::Group sequential testing procedures have been proposed as an approach to conserving resources in biomarker validation studies. Previously, we derived the asymptotic properties of the sequential empirical positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) curves, which summarize the predictive accuracy...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6790

    authors: Koopmeiners JS,Feng Z

    更新日期:2016-04-15 00:00:00

  • Statistical and practical issues in the design of a national probability sample of births for the Vanguard Study of the National Children's Study.

    abstract::The National Children's Study is a national household probability sample designed to identify 100,000 children at birth and follow the sampled children for 21 years. Data from the study will support examining numerous hypotheses concerning genetic and environmental effects on the health and development of children. Th...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.3891

    authors: Montaquila JM,Brick JM,Curtin LR

    更新日期:2010-06-15 00:00:00

  • SARS incubation and quarantine times: when is an exposed individual known to be disease free?

    abstract::The setting of a quarantine time for an emerging infectious disease will depend on current knowledge concerning incubation times. Methods for the analysis of information on incubation times are investigated with a particular focus on inference regarding a possible maximum incubation time, after which an exposed indivi...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2206

    authors: Farewell VT,Herzberg AM,James KW,Ho LM,Leung GM

    更新日期:2005-11-30 00:00:00

  • Comparison between splines and fractional polynomials for multivariable model building with continuous covariates: a simulation study with continuous response.

    abstract::In observational studies, many continuous or categorical covariates may be related to an outcome. Various spline-based procedures or the multivariable fractional polynomial (MFP) procedure can be used to identify important variables and functional forms for continuous covariates. This is the main aim of an explanatory...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.5639

    authors: Binder H,Sauerbrei W,Royston P

    更新日期:2013-06-15 00:00:00

  • Testing the equality of two survival functions with right truncated data.

    abstract::To compare the survival functions based on right-truncated data, Lagakos et al. proposed a weighted logrank test based on a reverse time scale. This is in contrast to Bilker and Wang, who suggested a semi-parametric version of the Mann-Whitney test by assuming that the distribution of truncation times is known or can ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2556

    authors: Chi Y,Tsai WY,Chiang CL

    更新日期:2007-02-20 00:00:00

  • A simple test for synergy for a small number of combinations.

    abstract::A method for detecting deviations from the Loewe additive drug combination reference model for in vitro drug combination experimentation is described. It is often difficult to fit a response surface model to drug combination data, especially in situations where the experimental design contains a sparse set of combinat...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.5905

    authors: Novick SJ

    更新日期:2013-12-20 00:00:00

  • Non-parametric bootstrap confidence intervals for the intraclass correlation coefficient.

    abstract::The intraclass correlation coefficient rho plays a key role in the design of cluster randomized trials. Estimates of rho obtained from previous cluster trials and used to inform sample size calculation in planned trials may be imprecise due to the typically small numbers of clusters in such studies. It may be useful t...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.1643

    authors: Ukoumunne OC,Davison AC,Gulliford MC,Chinn S

    更新日期:2003-12-30 00:00:00

  • Analyzing survival curves at a fixed point in time.

    abstract::A common problem encountered in many medical applications is the comparison of survival curves. Often, rather than comparison of the entire survival curves, interest is focused on the comparison at a fixed point in time. In most cases, the naive test based on a difference in the estimates of survival is used for this ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2864

    authors: Klein JP,Logan B,Harhoff M,Andersen PK

    更新日期:2007-10-30 00:00:00

  • Sample size calculation for stepped wedge and other longitudinal cluster randomised trials.

    abstract::The sample size required for a cluster randomised trial is inflated compared with an individually randomised trial because outcomes of participants from the same cluster are correlated. Sample size calculations for longitudinal cluster randomised trials (including stepped wedge trials) need to take account of at least...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7028

    authors: Hooper R,Teerenstra S,de Hoop E,Eldridge S

    更新日期:2016-11-20 00:00:00

  • Comparison of trends in HIV infection for two risk categories.

    abstract::Sensible plans for health-care needs and determination of priorities for expenditure require regular assessment of trends in HIV incidences. In particular, trends in the relative HIV incidences of different risk categories are useful when assessing whether current control strategies are working equally well for all ri...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(19960830)15:16<1779::AID-S

    authors: Becker NG,Cui JS

    更新日期:1996-08-30 00:00:00

  • Promoting interactions with basic scientists and clinicians: the NIA Alzheimer's Disease Data Coordinating Center.

    abstract::To benefit Alzheimer's disease research, a central data co-ordinating centre (CDCC) is planned that will systematically collect data from 27 Alzheimer's disease centres (ADCs) located nationwide. This CDCC will combine, analyse and disseminate epidemiologic, demographic, clinical and neuropathological data to research...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(20000615/30)19:11/12<1453:

    authors: Cronin-Stubbs D,DeKosky ST,Morris JC,Evans DA

    更新日期:2000-06-15 00:00:00

  • A cost-function approach to the design of reliability studies.

    abstract::We present a method to determine the number of subjects, k, and number of repeated measurements, n, that minimize the overall cost of conducting a reliability study, while providing acceptable power for tests of hypotheses concerning the reliability coefficient rho. Tables showing optimal choices of k and n under vari...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780060602

    authors: Eliasziw M,Donner A

    更新日期:1987-09-01 00:00:00

  • On the use of the logistic model in prospective studies.

    abstract::We describe the usual statistical concepts and consequent appropriate simulations of a prospective study for the simple case of a single risk variable and an assumed logistic model. We examine the simulations of Lilienfeld and Pyne, and show that they are seriously flawed. Contrary to those authors' claims, the estima...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780040212

    authors: Halperin M,Abbott RD,Blackwelder WC,Jacobowitz R,Lan KK,Verter JI,Wedel H

    更新日期:1985-04-01 00:00:00

  • Practical modifications to the time-to-event continual reassessment method for phase I cancer trials with fast patient accrual and late-onset toxicities.

    abstract::The goal of phase I cancer trials is to determine the highest dose of a treatment regimen with an acceptable toxicity rate. Traditional designs for phase I trials, such as the Continual Reassessment Method (CRM) and the 3 + 3 design, require each patient or a cohort of patients to be fully evaluated for the dose-limit...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4255

    authors: Polley MY

    更新日期:2011-07-30 00:00:00

  • Seasonal and other short-term influences on United States AIDS incidence.

    abstract::This paper models monthly AIDS diagnosis counts in terms of smooth secular trend, calendar month effects, and the number of workdays per month. A parameterization of month effects allows separation of true seasonal effects from a linear trend over the calendar year and an arbitrary June effect. There is strong evidenc...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780131905

    authors: Bacchetti P

    更新日期:1994-10-15 00:00:00