Identifying Children at Very Low Risk for Blunt Intra-Abdominal Injury in Whom CT of the Abdomen Can Be Avoided Safely.

Abstract:

BACKGROUND:Computed tomography is commonly used to rule out intra-abdominal injury (IAI) in children, despite associated cost and radiation exposure. Our purpose was to derive a prediction rule to identify children at very low risk for IAI after blunt abdominal trauma (BAT) for whom a CT scan of the abdomen would be unnecessary. STUDY DESIGN:We prospectively enrolled children younger than 16 years of age who presented after BAT at 14 Level I pediatric trauma centers during 1 year. We excluded patients who presented more than 6 hours after injury or underwent abdominal CT before transfer. We used binary recursive partitioning to derive a prediction rule identifying children at very low risk of IAI and IAI requiring acute intervention (IAI-I) using clinical information available in the trauma bay. RESULTS:We included 2,188 children with a median age of 8 years. There were 261 patients with IAI (11.9%) and 62 patients with IAI-I (2.8%). The prediction rule consisted of (in descending order of significance): aspartate aminotransferase >200 U/L, abnormal abdominal examination, abnormal chest x-ray, report of abdominal pain, and abnormal pancreatic enzymes. The rule had a negative predictive value of 99.4% for IAI and 100.0% for IAI-I in patients with none of the prediction rule variables present. The very-low-risk population consisted of 34% of the patients and 23% received a CT scan. Computed tomography frequency ranged from 4% to 96% by center. CONCLUSIONS:A prediction rule using history and physical examination, chest x-ray, and laboratory evaluation at the time of presentation after BAT identifies children at very low risk for IAI for whom CT can be avoided.

journal_name

J Am Coll Surg

authors

Streck CJ,Vogel AM,Zhang J,Huang EY,Santore MT,Tsao K,Falcone RA,Dassinger MS,Russell RT,Blakely ML,Pediatric Surgery Research Collaborative.

doi

10.1016/j.jamcollsurg.2016.12.041

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2017-04-01 00:00:00

pages

449-458.e3

issue

4

eissn

1072-7515

issn

1879-1190

pii

S1072-7515(17)30037-6

journal_volume

224

pub_type

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