Establishment of numerical beach-litter hindcast/forecast models: an application to Goto Islands, Japan.

Abstract:

:This study attempts to establish a system for hindcasting/forecasting the quantity of litter reaching a beach using an ocean circulation model, a two-way particle tracking model (PTM) to find litter sources, and an inverse method to compute litter outflows at each source. Twelve actual beach survey results, and satellite and forecasted wind data were also used. The quantity of beach litter was hindcasted/forecasted using a forward in-time PTM with the surface currents computed in the ocean circulation model driven by satellite-derived/forecasted wind data. Outflows obtained using the inverse method was given for each source in the model. The time series of the hindcasted/forecasted quantity of beach litter were found consistent with the quantity of beach litter determined from sequential webcam images of the actual beach. The accuracy of the model, however, is reduced drastically by intense winds such as typhoons which disturb drifting litter motion.

journal_name

Mar Pollut Bull

authors

Kako S,Isobe A,Magome S,Hinata H,Seino S,Kojima A

doi

10.1016/j.marpolbul.2010.10.011

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2011-02-01 00:00:00

pages

293-302

issue

2

eissn

0025-326X

issn

1879-3363

pii

S0025-326X(10)00471-6

journal_volume

62

pub_type

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