Abstract:
:Predictive probability is particularly useful in aiding a decision-making process related to drug development. This is especially true for decisions occurring as the result of interim analyses of clinical trials. Examples of clinical trial applications of Bayesian predictive probability and the use of the beta-binomial distribution are described.
journal_name
J Biopharm Statjournal_title
Journal of biopharmaceutical statisticsauthors
Johns D,Andersen JSdoi
10.1081/BIP-100101000keywords:
subject
Has Abstractpub_date
1999-03-01 00:00:00pages
67-79issue
1eissn
1054-3406issn
1520-5711journal_volume
9pub_type
杂志文章abstract::Bayesian sequential integration is an appealing approach in drug development, as it allows to recursively update posterior distributions as soon as new data become available, thus considerably reducing the computation time. However, preclinical trials are often characterized by small sample sizes, which may affect the...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543406.2020.1776312
更新日期:2020-06-18 00:00:00
abstract::Multiple testing problems in regulatory applications are often more challenging than the problems of handling a set of mathematical symbols representing multiple null hypotheses under testing. In the union-intersection setting, it is important to define a family of null hypotheses relevant to the clinical questions at...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400802541693
更新日期:2009-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::The ICH E14 guidance (ICH, 2005) recommend that a concurrent positive control should be included in a thorough QTc clinical trial to validate the study. The ICH E14 guidance (ICH, 2005) state that "The positive control should have an effect on the mean QTc interval of about 5 ms (i.e., an effect that is close to the Q...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400801995478
更新日期:2008-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::The Food and Drug Administration of the United States issued a draft guidance on adaptive design clinical trials in February 2010. This draft guidance has attracted a lot of attention because of the increasing interest in adaptive trials by the pharmaceutical industry in recent years. In this paper, we report on highl...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543406.2010.514456
更新日期:2010-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::In the early stages of traditional drug development, the frequency of dosing (e.g., QD, BID, etc.) is typically determined by the pharmacokinetic properties of a compound. After an appropriate dose frequency is chosen, the magnitude of dose is then evaluated via parallel-group dose-response trials. For some drugs, how...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543409608835141
更新日期:1996-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::In analytical similarity assessment of a biosimilar product, key quality attributes of the test and reference products need to be shown statistically similar. When there were multiple references, similarity among the reference products is also required. We proposed a simultaneous confidence approach based on the fiduc...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543406.2019.1657142
更新日期:2019-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::We assess the QT effect using an exposure-response model in a "thorough QT/QTc study" with a four-period crossover design in which the treatments are placebo, positive control, higher dose of investigational drug, and therapeutic dose of investigational drug. In the study, QTc interval values and the drug concentratio...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400903582026
更新日期:2010-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Sample size calculation formulas for testing equality, noninferiority, superiority, and equivalence based on odds ratio were derived under both parallel and one-arm crossover designs. An example concerning the study of odds ratio between a test compound (treatment) and a standard therapy (control) for prevention of re...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1081/BIP-120016231
更新日期:2002-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::Due to the potential impact of ethnic factors on clinical outcomes, the global registration of a new treatment is challenging. China and Japan often require local trials in addition to a multiregional clinical trial (MRCT) to support the efficacy and safety claim of the treatment. The impact of ethnic factors on the t...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1080/10543406.2012.701587
更新日期:2012-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Analyses of multicenter trials consider the estimated treatment effect differences of the individual centers and combine them into an estimate of the overall treatment effect. There has been much debate in the literature concerning the best way to combine these treatment effect differences. We emphasize that first of ...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:
更新日期:2001-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::The Youden index, a main summary index for the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, is a comprehensive measurement for the effectiveness of a diagnostic test. For a continuous-scale diagnostic test, the optimal cut point for positive disease is the cut point leading to the maximization of the sum of sensitiv...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543406.2011.592234
更新日期:2012-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::An important application of confirmatory adaptive designs is the data-driven selection of treatment arms in multi-armed trials. A general methodology for adaptive designs is based on the combination testing principle. Using this principle, selection of treatment arms in multi-armed designs, recalculation of sample siz...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543406.2011.551336
更新日期:2011-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Randomized controlled clinical trials often use a composite endpoint as a primary endpoint especially when treatment effects or frequency of individual components of the composite are likely to be small and combining them makes clinical sense for the disease under study. An advantage of the composite endpoint is that,...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543406.2011.551327
更新日期:2011-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::A method is proposed for the estimation of drug or toxicity potencies using in vitro data. A typical experiment in cancer research is presented where cells from a tumor-derived cell line were deposited as fixed volumes in 12-well cell culture plates. After waiting for 72 hours (for further growth), the wells were expo...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400500265595
更新日期:2005-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Gene expression profiling has played an important role in cancer risk classification and has shown promising results. Since gene expression profiling often involves determination of a set of top rank genes for analysis, it is important to evaluate how modeling performance varies with the number of selected top ranked ...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400802277967
更新日期:2008-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Clinical trials often use a binary "fold increase" endpoint defined according to the ratio of interval-censored measurement at end-of-study to that at baseline. We propose a simple yet principled analytic approach based on the linear mixed-effects model for interval-censored data for the analysis of such paired measur...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543406.2014.919936
更新日期:2015-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Highly clustered count data are commonly seen in medical device clinical studies such as cardiac rhythm management. For instance, anti-arrhythmia shocks delivered from an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) often occur as "storms", i.e., multiple shocks within a short period of time. There are unique challeng...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400701668241
更新日期:2008-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::We would like to estimate the parameters of a dose-response function with the greatest precision as possible. For a two-parameter model, this is equivalent to minimizing the area of the confidence ellipsoid, i.e., a D-optimal design. Previous work on this particular model has included minimal designs. These designs ar...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1081/BIP-100101012
更新日期:2000-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Bayesian decision procedures have already been proposed for and implemented in Phase I dose-escalation studies in healthy volunteers. The procedures have been based on pharmacokinetic responses reflecting the concentration of the drug in blood plasma and are conducted to learn about the dose-response relationship whil...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400701645165
更新日期:2007-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::In confidence interval estimation of the difference between two proportions with overdispersion due to positive correlations, the usual asymptotic normality-based method generally has lower coverage rates than desired, especially when sample size is moderate. Applying the concept of effective sample size to existing m...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1081/BIP-120037193
更新日期:2004-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Bayesian statistical methodology has been used for more than 10 years in medical device premarket submissions to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). A complete list of the publicly available information associated with these FDA applications is presented. In addition to the increasing number of Bayesian metho...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543406.2011.589638
更新日期:2011-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Receptor occupancy (RO) PET is a non-invasive way to determine drug on target. Given the complexity of procedures, long acquisition times, and high cost, ligand displacement imaging trials often have a limited size and produce sparse RO results over the time course of the blocking drug. To take the best advantage of t...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400701697158
更新日期:2008-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::The van Elteren test, as a type of stratified Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney test for comparing two treatments accounting for stratum effects, has been used to replace the analysis of variance when the normality assumption was seriously violated. The sample size estimation methods for the van Elteren test have been proposed an...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400600762939
更新日期:2006-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Nonparametric versions of normal theory step-down multiple-test procedures for inferring minimum effective dose (see Tamhane et al. (1)) were developed and studied by Monte Carlo simulation. Two types of step-down testing procedures were examined. For both procedures, pairwise, linear, or Helmert contrasts of mean ran...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1081/BIP-100101173
更新日期:1999-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::In recent years, multi-regional clinical trials (MRCT) that conduct clinical trials simultaneously in Asian Pacific region, Europe, and the United States have become very popular for global pharmaceutical development. The main purpose of multi-regional clinical trials is to shorten the time for pharmaceutical developm...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543406.2017.1397008
更新日期:2018-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::How long a dementia patient is cared for in the home before admission to a nursing home depends on the state of the patient and the state of the caregiver. Using 5-year follow-up data, the times until entry to nursing home and until death are modeled using a Cox survival model in which patient and caregiver variables ...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543409408835076
更新日期:1994-03-01 00:00:00
abstract::In randomized controlled trials, patients are recruited and randomly allocated to treatments. Patients are never randomly sampled from large population of patients on treatments under study. Therefore, it is important to consider the design and statistical analysis based on the randomization model. In this article, we...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400802527908
更新日期:2009-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Pharmaceutical product development culminates in confirmatory trials whose evidence for the product's efficacy and safety supports regulatory approval for marketing. Regulatory agencies in countries whose patients were not included in the confirmatory trials often require confirmation of efficacy and safety in their p...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1080/10543406.2012.701579
更新日期:2012-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::We studied the sensitivity of the number of unique design points and their placement, in Bayesian optimal designs for pharmacokinetic models, with respect to the magnitude of prior uncertainty. We used two and three-parameter pharmacokinetic models with fixed and mixed effects and two Bayesian optimal design criteria,...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400701514007
更新日期:2007-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Drug-related side effects are one of the leading causes of death and illness in the developed world. Finding genes that modify drug response has the potential to significantly improve drug delivery, by identifying both individuals that can benefit from therapy and those at increased risk of harm. We present a simple a...
journal_title:Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/10543400903572761
更新日期:2010-03-01 00:00:00