Estimating the causal effect of smoking cessation in the presence of confounding factors using a rank preserving structural failure time model.

Abstract:

:Estimating the causal effect of quitting smoking on time to death or first myocardial infarction requires that one control for the differences in risk factors between individuals who elect to quite at each time t versus those who elect to continue smoking at time t. In this paper we examine the limitations of standard time varying Cox proportional hazards models to yield tests and estimates of this effect. Implementing the method of G-estimation proposed by Robins, we perform an observational analysis of data from the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT) and estimate the causal effect of cigarette cessation while controlling for such time varying confounders as angina. We reject the null hypothesis of no effect of quitting on time to failure, and estimate that by quitting smoking, an individual increases by 50 per cent his time to death or first myocardial infarction (MI).

journal_name

Stat Med

journal_title

Statistics in medicine

authors

Mark SD,Robins JM

doi

10.1002/sim.4780121707

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

1993-09-15 00:00:00

pages

1605-28

issue

17

eissn

0277-6715

issn

1097-0258

journal_volume

12

pub_type

杂志文章,多中心研究
  • Rank-based estimating equations with general weight for accelerated failure time models: an induced smoothing approach.

    abstract::The induced smoothing technique overcomes the difficulties caused by the non-smoothness in rank-based estimating functions for accelerated failure time models, but it is only natural when the estimating function has Gehan's weight. For a general weight, the induced smoothing method does not provide smooth estimating f...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6415

    authors: Chiou S,Kang S,Yan J

    更新日期:2015-04-30 00:00:00

  • Randomization tests for multiarmed randomized clinical trials.

    abstract::We examine the use of randomization-based inference for analyzing multiarmed randomized clinical trials, including the application of conditional randomization tests to multiple comparisons. The view is taken that the linkage of the statistical test to the experimental design (randomization procedure) should be recogn...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.8418

    authors: Wang Y,Rosenberger WF,Uschner D

    更新日期:2020-02-20 00:00:00

  • The application of large Gaussian mixed models to the analysis of 24 hour ambulatory blood pressure monitoring data in clinical trials.

    abstract::We propose the use of Gaussian mixed models to analyse statistically 24 hour ambulatory blood pressure data from clinical trials. We develop specific models and apply them to data from a clinical study that compares two angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors. We investigate and discuss computing issues related to th...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,随机对照试验

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780121803

    authors: Selwyn MR,Difranco DM

    更新日期:1993-09-30 00:00:00

  • A comparison of group sequential methods for binary longitudinal data.

    abstract::Interim analyses are conducted to allow for early termination of the trial, for ethical as well as economical reasons. Here we consider interim analyses in repeated measurements studies where the measurements are binary. Two methods for analysing this kind of data are compared according to their operating characterist...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.1361

    authors: Spiessens B,Lesaffre E,Verbeke G

    更新日期:2003-02-28 00:00:00

  • A pathway analysis method for genome-wide association studies.

    abstract::For genome-wide association studies, we propose a new method for identifying significant biological pathways. In this approach, we aggregate data across single-nucleotide polymorphisms to obtain summary measures at the gene level. We then use a hierarchical Bayesian model, which takes the gene-level summary measures a...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4477

    authors: Shahbaba B,Shachaf CM,Yu Z

    更新日期:2012-05-10 00:00:00

  • Nonparametric modeling and analysis of association between Huntington's disease onset and CAG repeats.

    abstract::Huntington's disease (HD) is a neurodegenerative disorder with a dominant genetic mode of inheritance caused by an expansion of CAG repeats on chromosome 4. Typically, a longer sequence of CAG repeat length is associated with increased risk of experiencing earlier onset of HD. Previous studies of the association betwe...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.5971

    authors: Ma Y,Wang Y

    更新日期:2014-04-15 00:00:00

  • Estimation of the wild-type minimum inhibitory concentration value distribution.

    abstract::Antimicrobial resistance has become one of the main public health burdens of the last decades, and monitoring the development and spread of non-wild-type isolates has therefore gained increased interest. Monitoring is performed based on the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) values, which are collected through the...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.5939

    authors: Jaspers S,Aerts M,Verbeke G,Beloeil PA

    更新日期:2014-01-30 00:00:00

  • Cross calibration in longitudinal studies.

    abstract::In a long-running longitudinal study using complex machinery to obtain measurements, it is sometimes necessary to replace the machine. This can result in lack of continuity in the measurements that can overwhelm any treatment effect or time trend. We propose a Bayesian procedure implemented using Markov chain Monte Ca...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.1868

    authors: Ambrosius WT,Hui SL

    更新日期:2004-09-30 00:00:00

  • Optimal seamless phase 2/3 oncology trial designs based on Probability of Success (PoS).

    abstract::In recent years, there has been an increasing trend in conducting seamless phase 2/3 clinical trials for drug development in the pharmaceutical industry due to the visible advantages compared with traditional approaches for separate phase 2 and 3 development. Innovative study designs have been proposed for seamless ph...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7910

    authors: Teng Z,Liang L,Liu G,Liu Y

    更新日期:2018-12-10 00:00:00

  • Estimation of time-shift models with application to survival calibration in health technology assessment.

    abstract::The incremental life expectancy, defined as the difference in mean survival times between two treatment groups, is a crucial quantity of interest in cost-effectiveness analyses. Usually, this quantity is very difficult to estimate from censored survival data with a limited follow-up period. The paper develops estimati...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6951

    authors: Titman AC

    更新日期:2016-09-10 00:00:00

  • Survival analysis of hierarchical learning curves in assessment of cardiac device and procedural safety.

    abstract::Many Americans rely on cardiac surgical procedures and devices such as pacemakers and thrombolytic catheters to treat or manage their cardiovascular diseases. However, the failure of these cardiac devices and procedures could have grave consequences. One reason cardiac devices tended to fail was due to physician error...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7906

    authors: Govindarajulu U,Bedi S,Kluger A,Resnic F

    更新日期:2018-12-10 00:00:00

  • Variable length testing using the ordinal regression model.

    abstract::Health questionnaires are often built up from sets of questions that are totaled to obtain a sum score. An important consideration in designing questionnaires is to minimize respondent burden. An increasingly popular method for efficient measurement is computerized adaptive testing; unfortunately, many health question...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.5936

    authors: Smits N,Finkelman MD

    更新日期:2014-02-10 00:00:00

  • A simple method for comparing correlated ROC curves using incomplete data.

    abstract::Comparative studies of the accuracy of diagnostic procedures often use a paired design to gain in efficiency. Standard methods for analysing data from paired designs require complete observations. In many studies, however, one of the test results may be missing for some patients. In this paper, we propose a simple cor...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(19960815)15:15<1687::AID-S

    authors: Zhou XH,Gatsonis CA

    更新日期:1996-08-15 00:00:00

  • Bioequivalence revisited.

    abstract::The FDA permits marketing of a generic formulation of a drug G for the same indications as a standard preparation S if one can show that G is bioequivalent to S. Present implementation requires convincing evidence that the population mean difference in bioavailability (drug exposure) between the two preparations lies ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780111311

    authors: Sheiner LB

    更新日期:1992-09-30 00:00:00

  • Defining and ranking effects of individual agents based on survival times of cancer patients treated with combination chemotherapies.

    abstract::An important problem in oncology is comparing chemotherapy (chemo) agents in terms of their effects on survival or progression-free survival time. When the goal is to evaluate individual agents, a difficulty commonly encountered with observational data is that many patients receive a chemo combination including two or...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1002/sim.4249

    authors: Thall PF,Liu DD,Berrak SG,Wolff JE

    更新日期:2011-07-10 00:00:00

  • Analysis of additive risk model with high-dimensional covariates using partial least squares.

    abstract::In this paper, we construct a partial additive regression (PAR) model to predict the survival times of cancer patients based on microarray gene expression data with right censoring. The area under time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve is used as a model evaluation criterion. We conduct a simulation st...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.3412

    authors: Zhao Y,Zhou Y,Zhao M

    更新日期:2009-01-30 00:00:00

  • Modelling age-specific risk: application to dementia.

    abstract::We give up-to-date methods for estimating the age-specific incidence of a disease and for estimating the effect of risk factors. We recommend taking age as the basic time scale of the analysis; then, the hazard function can be interpreted as the age-specific incidence of the disease. This choice raises a delayed entry...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19980915)17:17<1973::aid-s

    authors: Commenges D,Letenneur L,Joly P,Alioum A,Dartigues JF

    更新日期:1998-09-15 00:00:00

  • Dynamic clustering detection through multi-valued descriptors of dermoscopic images.

    abstract::This paper introduces a dynamic clustering methodology based on multi-valued descriptors of dermoscopic images. The main idea is to support medical diagnosis to decide if pigmented skin lesions belonging to an uncertain set are nearer to malignant melanoma or to benign nevi. Melanoma is the most deadly skin cancer, an...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4285

    authors: Cozza V,Guarracino MR,Maddalena L,Baroni A

    更新日期:2011-09-10 00:00:00

  • Methodological considerations on the design and analysis of an equivalence stratified cluster randomization trial.

    abstract::The World Health Organization and collaborating institutions in four developing countries have conducted a multi-centre randomized controlled trial, in which clinics were allocated at random to two antenatal care (ANC) models. These were the standard 'Western' ANC model and a 'new' ANC model consisting of tests, clini...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,随机对照试验

    doi:10.1002/1097-0258(20010215)20:3<401::aid-sim801>3.

    authors: Piaggio G,Carroli G,Villar J,Pinol A,Bakketeig L,Lumbiganon P,Bergsjø P,Al-Mazrou Y,Ba'aqeel H,Belizán JM,Farnot U,Berendes H,WHO Antenatal Care Trial Research Group.

    更新日期:2001-02-15 00:00:00

  • A random set approach to confidence regions with applications to the effective dose with combinations of agents.

    abstract::The effective dose (ED) is the pharmaceutical dosage required to produce a therapeutic response in a fixed proportion of the patients. When only one drug is considered, the problem is a univariate one and has been well-studied. However, in the multidimensional setting, that is, in the presence of combinations of agent...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6226

    authors: Jankowski H,Ji X,Stanberry L

    更新日期:2014-10-30 00:00:00

  • Random models for margins of a 2 x 2 contingency table and application to pharmacovigilance.

    abstract::The identification of new adverse drug reactions is often tricky. For a given case, the relationship between drug exposure and symptom occurrence is usually questionable. It could be investigated statistically from a series of drug-event association cases with an independence test between the two variables. Analysing ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780100621

    authors: Tubert P,Begaud B

    更新日期:1991-06-01 00:00:00

  • More powerful randomization-based p-values in double-blind trials with non-compliance.

    abstract::Standard randomization-based tests of sharp null hypotheses in randomized clinical trials, that is, intent-to-treat analyses, are valid without extraneous assumptions, but generally can be appropriately powerful only with alternative hypotheses that involve treatment assignment having an effect on outcome. In the cont...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(sici)1097-0258(19980215)17:3<371::aid-sim

    authors: Rubin DB

    更新日期:1998-02-15 00:00:00

  • Driving in search of analyses.

    abstract::Although transportation safety has greatly improved over the past 2 decades, motor vehicle crash injuries remain a leading cause of morbidity and mortality, particularly among young drivers. Driver errors and behaviors such as speeding and distraction contribute disproportionately to crashes among inexperienced novice...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7404

    authors: Simons-Morton B

    更新日期:2017-10-30 00:00:00

  • Performance of analytical methods for overdispersed counts in cluster randomized trials: sample size, degree of clustering and imbalance.

    abstract::Many different methods have been proposed for the analysis of cluster randomized trials (CRTs) over the last 30 years. However, the evaluation of methods on overdispersed count data has been based mostly on the comparison of results using empiric data; i.e. when the true model parameters are not known. In this study, ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.3681

    authors: Durán Pacheco G,Hattendorf J,Colford JM Jr,Mäusezahl D,Smith T

    更新日期:2009-10-30 00:00:00

  • Hierarchical nested trial design (HNTD) for demonstrating treatment efficacy of new antibacterial drugs in patient populations with emerging bacterial resistance.

    abstract::In the last decade or so, pharmaceutical drug development activities in the area of new antibacterial drugs for treating serious bacterial diseases have declined, and at the same time, there are worries that the increased prevalence of antibiotic-resistant bacterial infections, especially the increase in drug-resistan...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6233

    authors: Huque MF,Valappil T,Soon GG

    更新日期:2014-11-10 00:00:00

  • The use of baselines in clinical trials of bronchodilators.

    abstract::Two important qualities of controlled clinical trials are that they reduce dependence on historical standards for evaluating therapy and separate the effect of treatment from the confounding influence of time. Whatever the theory of the clinical trial, however, time has not easily been banished from the analysis of me...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780081106

    authors: Senn SJ

    更新日期:1989-11-01 00:00:00

  • Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects for latent subgroups in observational studies.

    abstract::Individuals may vary in their responses to treatment, and identification of subgroups differentially affected by a treatment is an important issue in medical research. The risk of misleading subgroup analyses has become well known, and some exploratory analyses can be helpful in clarifying how covariates potentially i...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7970

    authors: Kim HJ,Lu B,Nehus EJ,Kim MO

    更新日期:2019-02-10 00:00:00

  • One-stage parametric meta-analysis of time-to-event outcomes.

    abstract::Methodology for the meta-analysis of individual patient data with survival end-points is proposed. Motivated by questions about the reliance on hazard ratios as summary measures of treatment effects, a parametric approach is considered and percentile ratios are introduced as an alternative to hazard ratios. The genera...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4086

    authors: Siannis F,Barrett JK,Farewell VT,Tierney JF

    更新日期:2010-12-20 00:00:00

  • Two-sample rank tests for acceleration in cure models.

    abstract::I derive the locally most powerful rank tests for acceleration against semi-parametric alternatives when some patients are cured of the disease. I consider some particular classes of alternatives and present simulation results to verify the validity of the proposed tests. Real data from clinical trials for childhood l...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780141905

    authors: Lee JW

    更新日期:1995-10-15 00:00:00

  • Reclassification of predictions for uncovering subgroup specific improvement.

    abstract::Risk prediction models play an important role in prevention and treatment of several diseases. Models that are in clinical use are often refined and improved. In many instances, the most efficient way to improve a successful model is to identify subgroups for which there is a specific biological rationale for improvem...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6077

    authors: Biswas S,Arun B,Parmigiani G

    更新日期:2014-05-20 00:00:00