Global assessment of experimental climate warming on tundra vegetation: heterogeneity over space and time.

Abstract:

:Understanding the sensitivity of tundra vegetation to climate warming is critical to forecasting future biodiversity and vegetation feedbacks to climate. In situ warming experiments accelerate climate change on a small scale to forecast responses of local plant communities. Limitations of this approach include the apparent site-specificity of results and uncertainty about the power of short-term studies to anticipate longer term change. We address these issues with a synthesis of 61 experimental warming studies, of up to 20 years duration, in tundra sites worldwide. The response of plant groups to warming often differed with ambient summer temperature, soil moisture and experimental duration. Shrubs increased with warming only where ambient temperature was high, whereas graminoids increased primarily in the coldest study sites. Linear increases in effect size over time were frequently observed. There was little indication of saturating or accelerating effects, as would be predicted if negative or positive vegetation feedbacks were common. These results indicate that tundra vegetation exhibits strong regional variation in response to warming, and that in vulnerable regions, cumulative effects of long-term warming on tundra vegetation - and associated ecosystem consequences - have the potential to be much greater than we have observed to date.

journal_name

Ecol Lett

journal_title

Ecology letters

authors

Elmendorf SC,Henry GH,Hollister RD,Björk RG,Bjorkman AD,Callaghan TV,Collier LS,Cooper EJ,Cornelissen JH,Day TA,Fosaa AM,Gould WA,Grétarsdóttir J,Harte J,Hermanutz L,Hik DS,Hofgaard A,Jarrad F,Jónsdóttir IS,Keuper F

doi

10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01716.x

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2012-02-01 00:00:00

pages

164-75

issue

2

eissn

1461-023X

issn

1461-0248

journal_volume

15

pub_type

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