Incorporating the effects of changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on water availability in plant habitat models.

Abstract:

:The direct effects of CO2 level changes on plant water availability are usually ignored in plant habitat models. We compare traditional proxies for water availability with changes in soil water (fAWC) predicted by a process-based ecosystem model, which simulates changes in vegetation structure and functioning, including CO2 physiological effects. We modelled current and future habitats of 108 European tree species using ensemble forecasting, comprising six habitat models, two model evaluation methods and two climate change scenarios. The fAWC models' projections are generally more conservative. Potential habitats shrink significantly less for boreo-alpine and alpine species. Changes in vegetation functioning and CO2 on plant water availability should therefore be taken into account in plant habitat change projections.

journal_name

Biol Lett

journal_title

Biology letters

authors

Rickebusch S,Thuiller W,Hickler T,Arau Jo MB,Sykes MT,Schweiger O,Lafourcade B

doi

10.1098/rsbl.2008.0105

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2008-10-23 00:00:00

pages

556-9

issue

5

eissn

1744-9561

issn

1744-957X

pii

F8041301300UJ821

journal_volume

4

pub_type

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