Bayesian analysis and inference from QSAR predictive model results.

Abstract:

:QSAR models have been under development for decades but acceptance and utilization of model results have been slow, in part, because there is no widely accepted metric for assessing their reliability. We reapply a method commonly used in quantitative epidemiology and medical decision-making for evaluating the results of screening tests to assess reliability of a QSAR model. It quantifies the accuracy (expressed as sensitivity and specificity) of QSAR models as conditional probabilities of correct and incorrect classification of chemical characteristic, given a true characteristic. Using Bayes formula, these conditional probabilities are combined with prior information to generate a posterior distribution to determine the probability a specific chemical has a particular characteristic, given a model prediction. As an example, we apply this approach to evaluate the predictive reliability of a CATABOL model and base on it a "ready" and "not ready" biodegradability classification. Finally, we show how predictive capability of the model can be improved by sequential use of two models, the first one with high sensitivity and the second with high specificity.

journal_name

SAR QSAR Environ Res

authors

McDowell RM,Jaworska JS

doi

10.1080/10629360290002280

keywords:

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2002-03-01 00:00:00

pages

111-25

issue

1

eissn

1062-936X

issn

1029-046X

journal_volume

13

pub_type

杂志文章
  • Comparison of global and mode of action-based models for aquatic toxicity.

    abstract::The ability to estimate aquatic toxicity is a critical need for ecological risk assessment and chemical regulation. The consensus in the literature is that mode of action (MOA) based toxicity models yield the most toxicologically meaningful and, theoretically, the most accurate results. In this study, a two-step predi...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2015.1018939

    authors: Martin TM,Young DM,Lilavois CR,Barron MG

    更新日期:2015-01-01 00:00:00

  • Application of variable anti-connectivity index to active sites. Modelling pK(a) values of aliphatic monocarboxylic acids.

    abstract::A partial distance-weighted variable anti-connectivity topological index was introduced for modelling pK(a) values of 31 aliphatic carboxylic acids and haloalkyl-carboxylic acids. The partial distance-weighted variable anti-connectivity index showed superior modelling capabilities compared with the index calculated fr...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2012.751552

    authors: Sčavničar A,Balaban AT,Pompe M

    更新日期:2013-01-01 00:00:00

  • Identification of structural fingerprints for ABCG2 inhibition by using Monte Carlo optimization, Bayesian classification, and structural and physicochemical interpretation (SPCI) analysis.

    abstract::The human breast cancer resistance protein (BCRP), one of the members of the large ATP binding cassette (ABC) transporter superfamily, is crucial for resistance against chemotherapeutic agents. Currently, it has been emerged as one of the best biological targets for the designing of small molecule drugs capable of eli...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2020.1771769

    authors: Ghosh K,Bhardwaj B,Amin SA,Jha T,Gayen S

    更新日期:2020-06-01 00:00:00

  • In silico modelling of hazard endpoints: current problems and perspectives.

    abstract::Major scientific hurdles in the acceptance of quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSAR) for regulatory purposes have been identified. First, when quantifying important features of chemical structure complexities of molecular structure have often been ignored. More mechanistic modelling of chemical structure...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360310001623953

    authors: Mekenyan O,Dimitrov S,Schmieder P,Veith G

    更新日期:2003-10-01 00:00:00

  • Idealization of correlations between optimal simplified molecular input-line entry system-based descriptors and skin sensitization.

    abstract::The Index of Ideality of Correlation (IIC) is a new criterion of the predictive potential for quantitative structure-property/activity relationships. The value of the IIC is a mathematical function sensitive to the value of the correlation coefficient and dispersion (expressed via mean absolute error). The IIC has bee...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2019.1615547

    authors: Toropov AA,Toropova AP,Selvestrel G,Benfenati E

    更新日期:2019-06-01 00:00:00

  • Experimental verification of structural alerts for the protein binding of sulfur-containing compounds.

    abstract::As often noted by Dr. Gilman Veith, a major barrier to advancing any model is defining its applicability domain. Sulfur-containing industrial organic chemicals can be grouped into several chemical classes including mercaptans (RSH), sulfides (RSR'), disulfides (RSSR'), sulfoxides (RS(=O)R'), sulfones (RS(=O)(=O)R'), s...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2014.898693

    authors: Richarz AN,Schultz TW,Cronin MT,Enoch SJ

    更新日期:2014-01-01 00:00:00

  • About the prediction of molecular properties using the fundamental Quantum QSPR (QQSPR) equation.

    abstract::The present theoretical study analyses the Quantum QSPR fundamental linear equation predictive power. Two main alternative algorithms, among several possible choices, are fully described in an add one and add many basis, while the other possibilities are only sketched out. It is shown that one can also apply the descr...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360701304113

    authors: Carbó-Dorca R

    更新日期:2007-05-01 00:00:00

  • Decision trees versus support vector machine for classification of androgen receptor ligands.

    abstract::With the current concern of limiting experimental assays, increased interest now focuses on in silico models able to predict toxicity of chemicals. Endocrine disruptors cover a large number of environmental and industrial chemicals which may affect the functions of natural hormones in humans and wildlife. Structure-ac...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360701843441

    authors: Panaye A,Doucet JP,Devillers J,Marchand-Geneste N,Porcher JM

    更新日期:2008-01-01 00:00:00

  • Structure-toxicity relationships for aminoalkanols: a comparison with alkanols and alkanamines.

    abstract::The relative toxicity (log IGC50(-1)) of 49 selected aliphatic amines and aminoalkanols was evaluated in the static Tetrahymena pyriformis population growth impairment assay. Excess toxicity, indicated by potency greater than predicted for non-polar narcotic alkanols, was associated with both classes of test chemicals...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629369808039157

    authors: Sinks GD,Carver TA,Schultz TW

    更新日期:1998-01-01 00:00:00

  • Fragment-similarity-based QSAR (FS-QSAR) algorithm for ligand biological activity predictions.

    abstract::Quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) studies are useful computational tools often used in drug discovery research and in many scientific disciplines. In this study, a robust fragment-similarity-based QSAR (FS-QSAR) algorithm was developed to correlate structures with biological activities by integrating...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2011.569943

    authors: Myint KZ,Ma C,Wang L,Xie XQ

    更新日期:2011-06-01 00:00:00

  • DFT study on the structure-toxicity relationship of dioxin compounds using PLS analysis.

    abstract::Density functional theory (DFT) at B3LYP/6-311G** level was employed to optimise the dioxin compounds, i.e., 25 polychlorinated or brominated dibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs or PBDDs) and 34 polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDFs) involved in this investigation. Three groups of descriptors mainly related to chemical reactivity...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360701428755

    authors: Gu CG,Jiang X,Ju XH,Yang XL,Yu GF

    更新日期:2007-07-01 00:00:00

  • Online resource for theoretical study of hydration of biopolymers.

    abstract::An online resource has been developed for the theoretical study of hydration of biopolymers by the RISM (Reference Interaction Site Model) method, deriving from the integral equation theory of liquids. The online resource is based upon original software developed by the authors and includes all steps in studying a bio...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360802083707

    authors: Sobolev EV,Sobolev OV,Tikhonov DA

    更新日期:2008-04-01 00:00:00

  • Charged partial surface area (CPSA) descriptors QSAR applications.

    abstract::The charged partial surface area, or CPSA descriptors were originally designed for use in structure-physical relationship studies to capture information about the features of molecules responsible for polar intermolecular interactions. Since their development, they have found applications in a broad variety of both st...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360290002811

    authors: Stanton DT,Dimitrov S,Grancharov V,Mekenyan OG

    更新日期:2002-03-01 00:00:00

  • An exploratory study using QICAR models for prediction of adsorption capacity of multi-walled carbon nanotubes for heavy metal ions.

    abstract::The Quantitative Ion Character-Activity Relationship (QICAR) method was used for correlating metal ionic characteristics with the maximum adsorption capacity (qmax) of multi-walled carbon for heavy metals. The experimental values of qmax for 25 heavy metal ions, estimated by the Langmuir isotherm model, were used to c...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2018.1538059

    authors: Salahinejad M,Zolfonoun E

    更新日期:2018-12-01 00:00:00

  • Computational identification of chemical compounds with potential anti-Chagas activity using a classification tree.

    abstract::Chagas disease is endemic to 21 Latin American countries and is a great public health problem in that region. Current chemotherapy remains unsatisfactory; consequently the need to search for new drugs persists. Here we present a new approach to identify novel compounds with potential anti-chagasic action. A large data...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2020.1863857

    authors: Castillo-Garit JA,Barigye SJ,Pham-The H,Pérez-Doñate V,Torrens F,Pérez-Giménez F

    更新日期:2021-01-01 00:00:00

  • Assessing toxicological data quality: basic principles, existing schemes and current limitations.

    abstract::Existing toxicological data may be used for a variety of purposes such as hazard and risk assessment or toxicity prediction. The potential use of such data is, in part, dependent upon their quality. Consideration of data quality is of key importance with respect to the application of chemicals legislation such as REAC...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2012.664825

    authors: Przybylak KR,Madden JC,Cronin MT,Hewitt M

    更新日期:2012-07-01 00:00:00

  • Effects of chemical reactivity of the toxicity of phosphorus fluoridates.

    abstract::Semiempirical quantum calculations were performed on a series of organophosphorus fluoridates to determine the relative reactivity for hydrolysis. This value was determined by subtracting the energy of the metastable intermediate from the energy of the stable molecule. Plotting this relative reactivity for each compou...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629369908039176

    authors: White WE

    更新日期:1999-01-01 00:00:00

  • Topological structural alerts modulations of mammalian cell mutagenicity for halogenated derivatives.

    abstract::Genotoxicity is a key toxicity endpoint for current regulatory requirements regarding new and existing chemicals. However, genotoxicity testing is time-consuming and costly, and involves the use of laboratory animals. This has motivated the development of computational approaches, designed to predict genotoxicity with...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2013.820791

    authors: Pérez-Garrido A,Girón-Rodríguez F,Morales Helguera A,Borges F,Combes RD

    更新日期:2014-01-01 00:00:00

  • QSAR/QSPR models based on quantum chemistry for risk assessment of pesticides according to current European legislation.

    abstract::In Europe, agencies and official organizations involved in the pesticide control such as the EFSA, ECHA, JRC and ECETOC or even the OECD are pointing out that the software tools based on quantitative structure relationship models, i.e. QSAR and QSPR, have a huge potential to improve the pesticide risk assessment proce...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2019.1692368

    authors: Villaverde JJ,Sevilla-Morán B,López-Goti C,Alonso-Prados JL,Sandín-España P

    更新日期:2020-01-01 00:00:00

  • Quantitative structure-property relationships generated with optimizable even/odd Wiener polynomial descriptors.

    abstract::Chemical structures of organic compounds are characterized numerically by a variety of structural descriptors, one of the earliest and most widely used being the Wiener index W, derived from the interatomic distances in a molecular graph. Extensive use of distance-based structural descriptors or topological indices ha...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360108035368

    authors: Ivanciuc O,Ivanciuc T,Klein DJ

    更新日期:2001-01-01 00:00:00

  • An empirical model for gas phase acidity and basicity estimation.

    abstract::Gas phase acidity and basicity estimation models have been developed for acidic and basic functional groups of amino acid side-chains and also for a number of small organic molecules. The acidic functional groups include aliphatic and aromatic alcohol, and aliphatic and aromatic carboxylic acid, and the basic function...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2013.864997

    authors: You H,Kim GE,Na CH,Lee S,Lee CJ,Cho KH,Akiyama Y,Ishida T,No KT

    更新日期:2014-01-01 00:00:00

  • 4D-QSAR study of HEPT derivatives by electron conformational-genetic algorithm method.

    abstract::In this work, the EC-GA method, a hybrid 4D-QSAR approach that combines the electron conformational (EC) and genetic algorithm optimization (GA) methods, was applied in order to explain pharmacophore (Pha) and predict anti-HIV-1 activity by studying 115 compounds in the class of 1-[(2-hydroxyethoxy)-methyl]-6-(phenylt...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2012.665082

    authors: Akyüz L,Sarıpınar E,Kaya E,Yanmaz E

    更新日期:2012-07-01 00:00:00

  • Molecular similarity based estimation of properties: a comparison of structure spaces and property spaces.

    abstract::Molecular similarity methods have emerged as powerful tools in analog selection, chemical classification based on toxic modes of action, and property estimation. The basic assumption of structure-activity relationships (SAR) is that similar structures usually have similar properties. Therefore, similarity methods can ...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360108035359

    authors: Gute BD,Grunwald GD,Mills D,Basak SC

    更新日期:2001-02-01 00:00:00

  • Probing molecular mechanism of inhibitor bindings to bromodomain-containing protein 4 based on molecular dynamics simulations and principal component analysis.

    abstract::It is well known that bromodomain-containing protein 4 (BRD4) has been thought as a promising target utilized for treating various human diseases, such as inflammatory disorders, malignant tumours, acute myelogenous leukaemia (AML), bone diseases, etc. For this study, molecular dynamics (MD) simulations, binding free ...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2020.1777584

    authors: Wu SL,Wang LF,Sun HB,Wang W,Yu YX

    更新日期:2020-07-01 00:00:00

  • Steric and electrostatic effects in dye-cellulose interactions by the MTD and CoMFA approaches.

    abstract::This paper presents the application of the MTD (minimal steric difference) analysis and CoMFA (comparative molecular field analysis) to series of anthraquinone vat, mono and disazo and disperses dyes with known affinities for cellulose fiber. A comparison of the results demonstrates that these methods usually agree wi...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360290002703

    authors: Timofeir S,Kurunczi L,Schmidt W,Simon Z

    更新日期:2002-03-01 00:00:00

  • Multiple molecular modelling studies on some derivatives and analogues of glutamic acid as matrix metalloproteinase-2 inhibitors.

    abstract::Matrix metalloproteinase-2 (MMP-2) is a potential target in anticancer drug discovery due to its association with angiogenesis, metastasis and tumour progression. In this study, 67 glutamic acid derivatives, synthesized and evaluated as MMP-2 inhibitors, were taken into account for multi-QSAR modelling study (regressi...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2017.1406986

    authors: Jha T,Adhikari N,Saha A,Amin SA

    更新日期:2018-01-01 00:00:00

  • Modeling reductive dehalogenation with quantum chemically derived descriptors.

    abstract::Existing models for the reductive dehalogenation reaction under environmentally relevant conditions use Hammett and Taft coefficients as descriptors. Drawbacks of these descriptors are the limited possibilities for interpretation in terms of reaction mechanisms, and the limited availability of these descriptors for mo...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629369508032983

    authors: Rorije E,Langenberg JH,Richter J,Peijnenburg WJ

    更新日期:1995-01-01 00:00:00

  • Reactivity descriptors for the hydrogen bonding ability of pyridine bases.

    abstract::The hydrogen bonding interaction between pyridine bases and water was theoretically studied by applying density functional theory computations at the B3LYP/631G(d,p) level. The theoretically determined binding energies for the complexation process correlate well with the experimental solvatochromic parameters beta for...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360410001724914

    authors: Dimitrova M,Ilieva S,Galabov B

    更新日期:2004-08-01 00:00:00

  • Structural exploration of hydroxyethylamines as HIV-1 protease inhibitors: new features identified.

    abstract::The current study deals with chemometric modelling strategies (Naïve Bayes classification, hologram-based quantitative structure-activity relationship (HQSAR), comparative molecular field analysis (CoMFA) and comparative molecular similarity index analysis (CoMSIA)) to explore the important features of hydroxylamine d...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/1062936X.2018.1447511

    authors: Amin SA,Adhikari N,Bhargava S,Jha T,Gayen S

    更新日期:2018-05-01 00:00:00

  • Molecular lipophilicity calculations of chemically heterogeneous chemicals and drugs on the basis of structural similarity and physicochemical parameters.

    abstract::QSARs based on molecular polarizability (alpha) and H-bond acceptor factors (sigma Ca) as independent variables provided good predictability of octanol/water partition coefficients (P) for chemicals and drugs. However, for some molecules containing few functional groups, the calculated values deviated significantly fr...

    journal_title:SAR and QSAR in environmental research

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1080/10629360108033245

    authors: Raevsky OA

    更新日期:2001-01-01 00:00:00