Abstract：
:We applied a generalized SEIR epidemiological model to the recent SARS-CoV-2 outbreak in the world, with a focus on Italy and its Lombardy, Piedmont, and Veneto regions. We focused on the application of a stochastic approach in fitting the model parameters using a Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) solver, to improve the reliability of predictions in the medium term (30 days). We analyzed the official data and the predicted evolution of the epidemic in the Italian regions, and we compared the results with the data and predictions of Spain and South Korea. We linked the model equations to the changes in people's mobility, with reference to Google's COVID-19 Community Mobility Reports. We discussed the effectiveness of policies taken by different regions and countries and how they have an impact on past and future infection scenarios.
journal_name
Int J Environ Res Public Healthauthors
Godio A,Pace F,Vergnano Adoi
10.3390/ijerph17103535subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2020-05-18 00:00:00issue
10eissn
1661-7827issn
1660-4601pii
ijerph17103535journal_volume
17pub_type
杂志文章abstract：BACKGROUND:In recent years, a three-dimensional ankle exercise has been proposed as a practice for strengthening the intrinsic foot muscles, however this topic still requires further research. This study aimed to compare the activities of the intrinsic muscles in healthy participants during 3D foot-ankle exercises, nam...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph17197189
更新日期：2020-10-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Background: This paper describes the experiences of first-line managers when working with a structured support model for systematic work environment management in their work groups. First-line managers play a key part in influencing the work environment. Methods: In this study, a sample of managers implementing a stru...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph17113884
更新日期：2020-05-30 00:00:00
abstract：:The present study focuses on analyzing the relationship between the parental acceptance-rejection perceived by adolescents and emotional instability from the early stages of adolescence. Special attention will be paid to potential differences between mothers and fathers. A total of 1181 students, aged 11-17, took part...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph16071194
更新日期：2019-04-03 00:00:00
abstract：:Introduction: Globally, there is an epidemic of opioid use disorders. Locally, in Singapore, there is an increase in the number of individuals abusing opioids. The advances in experimental psychology have highlighted the need to modify unconscious, automatic biases. These automatic, unconscious biases result in indivi...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章,随机对照试验
doi：10.3390/ijerph17030752
更新日期：2020-01-24 00:00:00
abstract：:Currently, there is a problem related to violence and tolerance towards violence, and the levels of empathy of the subjects can affect this, in addition to the practice of physical activity. The present study sought to define and contrast an explanatory model of victimization, empathy and attitude towards physical edu...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph16132360
更新日期：2019-07-03 00:00:00
abstract：:This paper exhibits a thorough review of the use of impedimetric sensors for the analysis of food quality. It helps to understand the contribution of some of the major types of impedimetric sensors that are used for this application. The deployment of impedimetric sensing prototypes has been advantageous due to their ...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.3390/ijerph17145220
更新日期：2020-07-20 00:00:00
abstract：OBJECTIVE:Using estimates from the 2013 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study, we update evidence on disparities in under-five child injury mortality between developing and developed countries from 1990 to 2013. METHODS:Mortality rates were accessed through the online visualization tool by the GBD study 2013 group. We ...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph13070653
更新日期：2016-07-07 00:00:00
abstract：:Ticks (Acari: Ixodidae) are bloodsucking arthropods involved in pathogen transmission in animals and humans. Tick activity depends on various ecological factors such as vegetation, hosts, and temperature. The aim of this study was to analyse the spatial/temporal distribution of ticks in six sites within a peri-urban a...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph15030404
更新日期：2018-02-27 00:00:00
abstract：:The environment has an important impact on physical activity, especially walking. The relationship between the environment and walking is not the same as for other types of physical activity. This study seeks to comprehensively identify the environmental factors influencing walking and to show how those environmental ...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.3390/ijerph13070731
更新日期：2016-07-20 00:00:00
abstract：:The main objective of this study was to examine certain beliefs about vitamin D and associations with sun exposure, sun protection behaviors, and sunburns. A total of 3,922 lifeguards, pool managers, and parents completed a survey in 2006 about beliefs regarding vitamin D and sun-related behaviors. Multivariate ordina...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph9072386
更新日期：2012-07-01 00:00:00
abstract：:Coronary heart disease is a public health problem and is one of the leading causes of loss of quality of life, disability, and death worldwide. The main procedure these patients undergo is cardiac catheterisation, which helps improve their quality of life, symptoms of myocardial ischemia, and ventricular function, thu...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.3390/ijerph17228439
更新日期：2020-11-14 00:00:00
abstract：:Irisin, a recently identified myokine, plays an important physiological role in modulating energy homeostasis. However, the role of irisin in cardiac function during exercise has not been evaluated. In this study, we investigated the effect of exercise on irisin, pro-inflammatory cytokines, and cardiac function during...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph17113863
更新日期：2020-05-29 00:00:00
abstract：:In recent years, awareness about the risk of particulate matter (PM) has increased both domestically and internationally; consequently, various policies have been implemented to reduce PM. Since citizens are both victim and cause of this risk, PM cannot be successfully decreased only through government policies. There...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph18020428
更新日期：2021-01-07 00:00:00
abstract：:This study aimed to establish a friendly environment of active living and healthy eating for citizens while promoting and increasing knowledge of healthy exercise. Acquisition of physical activity skills and citizens' lifestyle changes result in reduction in rates of obesity and deaths related to underlying metabolism...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph16030323
更新日期：2019-01-24 00:00:00
abstract：:Fine particulate matter (PM2.5, diameter ≤2.5 μm) is implicated as the most health-damaging air pollutant. Large cohort studies of chronic exposure to PM2.5 and mortality risk are largely confined to areas with low to moderate ambient PM2.5 concentrations and posit log-linear exposure-response functions. However, leve...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph16010060
更新日期：2018-12-26 00:00:00
abstract：:Primary injuries to the brain are common causes of hospitalization of patients in intensive care units (ICU). The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II scoring system is widely used for prognostication among critically ill subjects. Biomarkers help to monitor the severity of neurological status. T...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph17124458
更新日期：2020-06-21 00:00:00
abstract：:Since the 1960s, we have witnessed the development and growth of community mental health care that continues to dominate mental health policy and practice. Several high-income countries have implemented community mental health care programmes but for many others, including mostly low- and middle-income countries, it r...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.3390/ijerph15040806
更新日期：2018-04-20 00:00:00
abstract：:Social frailty domains may play an important role in preventing physical decline and disability. The aim of this study is to examine the impact of social frailty as a risk factor for the future development of physical frailty among community-dwelling older adults who are not yet physically frail. A total of 1226 physi...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph15030490
更新日期：2018-03-10 00:00:00
abstract：:(1) Objective: The objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of enforcement capabilities on the efficacy of two public interventions to improve occupational safety in olive mills. (2) Method: The difference in efficacy was evaluated by comparing the risks detected in two groups in an initial assessment (with ...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph17176426
更新日期：2020-09-03 00:00:00
abstract：:The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) outbreak started just a couple of months ago and it grew rapidly causing several deaths and morbidities. The mechanism behind the transmission of the virus is still not completely understood despite a multitude of new specific manuscripts being published...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph17186704
更新日期：2020-09-15 00:00:00
abstract：:The metallurgical industry is a significant component of the national economy. The main purpose of this study was to establish a composite risk analysis method for fatal accidents in the metallurgical industry. We collected 152 fatal accidents in the Chinese metallurgical industry from 2001 to 2018, including 141 majo...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph17113790
更新日期：2020-05-27 00:00:00
abstract：OBJECTIVE:The present research aimed to analyse the autonomic, anxiety, perceived exertion, and self-confidence response during real and simulated flights. METHODS:This cross-sectional study participated 12 experienced male pilots (age = 33.08 (5.21)) from the Spanish Air Force. Participants had to complete a real and...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph18020787
更新日期：2021-01-18 00:00:00
abstract：:The large number of adolescent refugees around the world constitutes a great challenge for societies. However, current models of acculturation have been developed for migrants, but not specifically for adolescent refugees. Crucial factors to describe adolescent refugee acculturation, such as intentions to return to th...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph15071516
更新日期：2018-07-18 00:00:00
abstract：:Research in Saudi Arabia has revealed a shocking level of insufficiently physically active adults, particularly women. The risk of sedentary behavior will likely increase as the number of women with office-based jobs increases. The aim of this study is to determine the level of sedentary behavior, and its associated f...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph14060659
更新日期：2017-06-19 00:00:00
abstract：:Mental illnesses in adolescence and young adulthood are steadily increasing. Thus, mental disorders represent an individual and societal challenge and an enormous health economic burden, creating an urgent need for research and action. Mental health problems are omnipresent in the life of young people and the internet...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph18010081
更新日期：2020-12-24 00:00:00
abstract：:We aimed to provide a summary of the existing published knowledge on the association between adverse birth outcomes and the development of wheezing during the first two years of life. We carried out a systematic review of epidemiological studies within the MEDLINE database. Epidemiological studies on human subjects, p...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.3390/ijerph6112752
更新日期：2009-11-01 00:00:00
abstract：:The herbicide atrazine is widely used across the globe, which is a great concern. To investigate its potential toxicity in the human body, human serum albumin (HSA) was selected as a model protein. The interaction between atrazine and HSA was investigated using steady-state fluorescence spectroscopy, synchronous fluor...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph15010116
更新日期：2018-01-11 00:00:00
abstract：:Sars-cov-2 virus (Covid-19) is a member of the coronavirus family and is responsible for the pandemic recently declared by the World Health Organization. A positive correlation has been observed between the spread of the virus and air pollution, one of the greatest challenges of our millennium. Covid-19 could have an ...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章,评审
doi：10.3390/ijerph17124487
更新日期：2020-06-22 00:00:00
abstract：PURPOSE:The aim of this study was to identify socio-demographic correlates of total and domain-specific sedentary behavior (SB). METHODS:Cross-sectional findings are based on 9218 participants (15-65 years) from the Latin American Study of Nutrition and Health. Data were collected between September 2014 and February 2...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph17155587
更新日期：2020-08-03 00:00:00
abstract：:Bullying and cyberbullying have severe psychological and legal consequences for those involved. However, it is unclear how or even if previous experience of bullying and cyberbullying is considered in mental health assessments. Furthermore, the relevance and effectiveness of current legal solutions has been debated ex...
journal_title：International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type： 杂志文章
doi：10.3390/ijerph14121449
更新日期：2017-11-24 00:00:00
