Abstract:
:We propose two models inspired by the COVID-19 pandemic: a coupled disease-human behaviour (or disease-game theoretic), and a coupled disease-human behaviour-economic model, both of which account for the impact of social-distancing on disease control and economic growth. The models exhibit rich dynamical behaviour including multistable equilibria, a backward bifurcation, and sustained bounded periodic oscillations. Analyses of the first model suggests that the disease can be eliminated if everybody practices full social-distancing, but the most likely outcome is some level of disease coupled with some level of social-distancing. The same outcome is observed with the second model when the economy is weaker than the social norms to follow health directives. However, if the economy is stronger, it can support some level of social-distancing that can lead to disease elimination.
journal_name
J Biol Dynjournal_title
Journal of biological dynamicsauthors
Martcheva M,Tuncer N,Ngonghala CNdoi
10.1080/17513758.2021.1946177keywords:
["34K20","49K20","92B05","COVID-19","SARS-CoV-2","economic modelling","epidemic modelling","game theory"]subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2021-12-01 00:00:00pages
342-366issue
1eissn
1751-3758issn
1751-3766journal_volume
15pub_type
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