A Markov chain model for studying suicide dynamics: an illustration of the Rose theorem.

Abstract:

BACKGROUND:High-risk strategies would only have a modest effect on suicide prevention within a population. It is best to incorporate both high-risk and population-based strategies to prevent suicide. This study aims to compare the effectiveness of suicide prevention between high-risk and population-based strategies. METHODS:A Markov chain illness and death model is proposed to determine suicide dynamic in a population and examine its effectiveness for reducing the number of suicides by modifying certain parameters of the model. Assuming a population with replacement, the suicide risk of the population was estimated by determining the final state of the Markov model. RESULTS:The model shows that targeting the whole population for suicide prevention is more effective than reducing risk in the high-risk tail of the distribution of psychological distress (i.e. the mentally ill). CONCLUSIONS:The results of this model reinforce the essence of the Rose theorem that lowering the suicidal risk in the population at large may be more effective than reducing the high risk in a small population.

journal_name

BMC Public Health

journal_title

BMC public health

authors

Yip PS,So BK,Kawachi I,Zhang Y

doi

10.1186/1471-2458-14-625

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2014-06-19 00:00:00

pages

625

issn

1471-2458

pii

1471-2458-14-625

journal_volume

14

pub_type

杂志文章
  • Incidence rates of in-hospital carpal tunnel syndrome in the general population and possible associations with marital status.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Carpal tunnel syndrome (CTS) is a socially relevant condition associated with biomechanical risk factors. We evaluated age-sex-specific incidence rates of in-hospital cases of CTS in central/northern Italy and explored relations with marital status. METHODS:Seven regions were considered (overall population,...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-8-374

    authors: Mattioli S,Baldasseroni A,Curti S,Cooke RM,Bena A,de Giacomi G,dell'Omo M,Fateh-Moghadam P,Melani C,Biocca M,Buiatti E,Campo G,Zanardi F,Violante FS

    更新日期:2008-10-28 00:00:00

  • Equity and efficiency of medical service systems at the provincial level of China's mainland: a comparative study from 2009 to 2014.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:The astonishing economic achievements of China in the past few decades have remarkably increased not only the quantity and quality of medical services but also the inequalities in health resources allocation across regions and inefficiency of the medical service delivery. METHODS:A descriptive analysis was ...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/s12889-018-5084-7

    authors: Ding J,Hu X,Zhang X,Shang L,Yu M,Chen H

    更新日期:2018-02-05 00:00:00

  • Hispanic physicians' tobacco intervention practices: a cross-sectional survey study.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:U.S. Hispanic physicians constitute a considerable professional collective, and they may be most suited to attend to the health education needs of the growing U.S. Hispanic population. These educational needs include tobacco use prevention and smoking cessation. However, there is a lack of information on His...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-5-120

    authors: Soto Mas FG,Papenfuss RL,Jacobson HE,Hsu CE,Urrutia-Rojas X,Kane WM

    更新日期:2005-11-14 00:00:00

  • An evaluation of respiratory administration of measles vaccine for prevention of acute lower respiratory infections in children.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Measles was responsible for an estimated 100,000 deaths worldwide in 2008. Despite being a vaccine-preventable disease, measles remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality in young children. Although a safe and effective injectable measles vaccine has been available for over 50 years it has not been pos...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章,评审

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-11-S3-S31

    authors: Higginson D,Theodoratou E,Nair H,Huda T,Zgaga L,Jadhav SS,Omer SB,Rudan I,Campbell H

    更新日期:2011-04-13 00:00:00

  • Reporting of pain by people with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD): comparative results from the HUNT3 population-based survey.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is often associated with chronic pain, but pain in COPD remains poorly understood, particularly in comparison to pain in other groups. We compared the pain reported by people with COPD with that reported by arthritis, heart disease, diabetes, and those not reporti...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/s12889-018-5094-5

    authors: Andenæs R,Momyr A,Brekke I

    更新日期:2018-01-25 00:00:00

  • Volume, patterns, and types of sedentary behavior and cardio-metabolic health in children and adolescents: a cross-sectional study.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Cardio-metabolic risk factors are becoming more prevalent in children and adolescents. A lack of moderate-to-vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) is an established determinant of cardio-metabolic risk factors in children and adolescents. Less is known about the relationship between sedentary behavior ...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-11-274

    authors: Carson V,Janssen I

    更新日期:2011-05-04 00:00:00

  • A social cost-benefit analysis of meat taxation and a fruit and vegetables subsidy for a healthy and sustainable food consumption in the Netherlands.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Implementation of food taxes or subsidies may promote healthier and a more sustainable diet in a society. This study estimates the effects of a tax (15% or 30%) on meat and a subsidy (10%) on fruit and vegetables (F&V) consumption in the Netherlands using a social cost-benefit analysis with a 30-year time ho...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/s12889-020-08590-z

    authors: Broeks MJ,Biesbroek S,Over EAB,van Gils PF,Toxopeus I,Beukers MH,Temme EHM

    更新日期:2020-05-11 00:00:00

  • Fetal and life course origins of serum lipids in mid-adulthood: results from a prospective cohort study.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:During the past two decades, the hypothesis of fetal origins of adult disease has received considerable attention. However, critique has also been raised regarding the failure to take the explanatory role of accumulation of other exposures into consideration, despite the wealth of evidence that social circum...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-10-484

    authors: Gustafsson PE,Janlert U,Theorell T,Westerlund H,Hammarström A

    更新日期:2010-08-16 00:00:00

  • Impact of today's media on university student's body image in Pakistan: a conservative, developing country's perspective.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Living in a world greatly controlled by mass media makes it impossible to escape its pervading influence. As media in Pakistan has been free in the true sense of the word for only a few years, its impact on individuals is yet to be assessed. Our study aims to be the first to look at the effect media has on t...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-11-379

    authors: Khan AN,Khalid S,Khan HI,Jabeen M

    更新日期:2011-05-24 00:00:00

  • Efficacy of a church-based lifestyle intervention programme to control high normal blood pressure and/or high normal blood glucose in church members: a randomized controlled trial in Pretoria, South Africa.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:In persons 15 years and above in South Africa the prevalence of pre-diabetes and diabetes has been estimated at 9.1% and 9.6%, respectively, and the prevalence of systolic prehypertension and hypertension, 38.2% and 24.6%, respectively. Elevated blood glucose and elevated blood pressure are prototype of prev...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章,随机对照试验

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-14-568

    authors: Pengpid S,Peltzer K,Skaal L

    更新日期:2014-06-06 00:00:00

  • Gender differences in alcohol-related non-consensual sex; cross-sectional analysis of a student population.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Sexual offences are a global public health concern. Recent changes in the law in England and Wales have dramatically altered the legal landscape of sexual offences, but sexual assaults where the victim is voluntarily intoxicated by alcohol continue to have low conviction rates. Worldwide, students are high c...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-12-216

    authors: Gunby C,Carline A,Bellis MA,Beynon C

    更新日期:2012-03-20 00:00:00

  • Cash transfers to enhance TB control: lessons from the HIV response.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:The World Health Organization prioritises a more holistic global response to end the tuberculosis (TB) epidemic by 2030. Based on experiences in the HIV response, social protection, and in particular cash transfers, show promise for contributing to this. Currently, individual-level evidence for the potential...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/s12889-018-5962-z

    authors: Rudgard WE,Carter DJ,Scuffell J,Cluver LD,Fraser-Hurt N,Boccia D

    更新日期:2018-08-22 00:00:00

  • Community-based maternal, newborn, and child health surveillance: perceptions and attitudes of local stakeholders towards using mobile phone by village health volunteers in the Kenge Health Zone, Democratic Republic of Congo.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:In early 2016, we implemented a community-based maternal, newborn, and child health (MNCH) surveillance using mobile phones to collect, analyze, and use data by village health volunteers (VHV) in Kenge Health Zone (KHZ), in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). The objective of this study was to determine ...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/s12889-018-5186-2

    authors: Diese M,Kalonji A,Izale B,Villeneuve S,Kintaudi NM,Clarysse G,Ngongo N,Ntambue AM

    更新日期:2018-03-05 00:00:00

  • Awareness of breast cancer among adolescent girls in Colombo, Sri Lanka: a school based study.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Breast cancer is the commonest cancer in women worldwide. Although programmes promoting breast cancer awareness are being carried out throughout Sri Lanka, few have targeted school students. We conducted this study to assess the knowledge, attitudes and practices regarding breast cancer with reference to scr...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-13-1209

    authors: Ranasinghe HM,Ranasinghe N,Rodrigo C,Seneviratne Rde A,Rajapakse S

    更新日期:2013-12-20 00:00:00

  • Factors associated with early menarche: results from the French Health Behaviour in School-aged Children (HBSC) study.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Puberty is a transition period making physiological development a challenge adolescents have to face. Early pubertal development could be associated with higher risks of poor health. Our objective was to examine risk behaviours, physical and psychological determinants associated with early menarche (<11 year...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-10-175

    authors: Gaudineau A,Ehlinger V,Vayssiere C,Jouret B,Arnaud C,Godeau E

    更新日期:2010-03-30 00:00:00

  • Exploring motivation to notify and barriers to partner notification of sexually transmitted infections in South Africa: a qualitative study.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:This article will review qualitative data from intervention-based counselling sessions to explore barriers to partner notification (PN) for South African men and women who have contracted sexually transmitted infections (STIs). This qualitative study took place in a township where there is high STI and HIV p...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章,随机对照试验

    doi:10.1186/s12889-018-5909-4

    authors: Wood JM,Harries J,Kalichman M,Kalichman S,Nkoko K,Mathews C

    更新日期:2018-08-06 00:00:00

  • Long working hours and metabolic syndrome among Japanese men: a cross-sectional study.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:The link between long working hours and health has been extensively studied for decades. Despite global concern regarding metabolic syndrome, however, no studies to date have solely evaluated the relationship between long working hours and that syndrome. We therefore examined the association between long wor...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-12-395

    authors: Kobayashi T,Suzuki E,Takao S,Doi H

    更新日期:2012-05-31 00:00:00

  • Health vulnerabilities of readymade garment (RMG) workers: a systematic review.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:There is a paucity of literature that addresses the health vulnerabilities of readymade garment (RMG) workers in South and Southeast Asian regions. Therefore, the aim of this systematic review is to identify the distinctive types of health vulnerabilities along with the causes and consequences of these vulne...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/s12889-019-6388-y

    authors: Kabir H,Maple M,Usher K,Islam MS

    更新日期:2019-01-15 00:00:00

  • Health and lifestyle factors associated with sexual difficulties in men - results from a study of Australian men aged 18 to 55 years.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Sexual difficulties (SD) are common among men of all ages and can have considerable impact on quality of life and indications for future health. SD are associated with mental and physical wellbeing and with relationship satisfaction, yet they are rarely discussed with medical professionals who are often ill ...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/s12889-016-3705-6

    authors: Schlichthorst M,Sanci LA,Hocking JS

    更新日期:2016-10-31 00:00:00

  • The role of community conversations in facilitating local HIV competence: case study from rural Zimbabwe.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:This paper examines the potential for community conversations to strengthen positive responses to HIV in resource-poor environments. Community conversations are an intervention method through which local people work with a facilitator to collectively identify local strengths and challenges and brainstorm pot...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-13-354

    authors: Campbell C,Nhamo M,Scott K,Madanhire C,Nyamukapa C,Skovdal M,Gregson S

    更新日期:2013-04-17 00:00:00

  • Youth working in tobacco farming: effects on smoking behavior and association with health status.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Cultivation of tobacco raises concerns about detrimental health and social consequences for youth, but tobacco producing countries only highlight economic benefits. We compared sociodemographic and health-related characteristics of school-age youth who worked and did not work in tobacco farming and assessed ...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/s12889-020-8169-z

    authors: Alderete E,Livaudais-Toman J,Kaplan C,Gregorich SE,Mejía R,Pérez-Stable EJ

    更新日期:2020-01-20 00:00:00

  • Study of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma mortality associated with industrial pollution in Spain, using Poisson models.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Non-Hodgkin's lymphomas (NHLs) have been linked to proximity to industrial areas, but evidence regarding the health risk posed by residence near pollutant industries is very limited. The European Pollutant Emission Register (EPER) is a public register that furnishes valuable information on industries that re...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-26

    authors: Ramis R,Vidal E,García-Pérez J,Lope V,Aragonés N,Pérez-Gómez B,Pollán M,López-Abente G

    更新日期:2009-01-21 00:00:00

  • Effect of an office worksite-based yoga program on heart rate variability: a randomized controlled trial.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Chronic work-related stress is a significant and independent risk factor for cardiovascular and metabolic diseases and associated mortality, particularly when compounded by a sedentary work environment. Heart rate variability (HRV) provides an estimate of parasympathetic and sympathetic autonomic control, an...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章,随机对照试验

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-11-578

    authors: Cheema BS,Marshall PW,Chang D,Colagiuri B,Machliss B

    更新日期:2011-07-20 00:00:00

  • Show cards of the Global Physical Activity Questionnaire (GPAQ) - do they impact validity? A crossover study.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:The Global Physical Activity Questionnaire (GPAQ) is applied internationally as a tool to assess the level of physical activity. The GPAQ was designed as an interview, including the use of show cards, which visualise activities of moderate and intensive physical activity and support the distinction between t...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章,随机对照试验

    doi:10.1186/s12889-020-8312-x

    authors: Rudolf K,Lammer F,Stassen G,Froböse I,Schaller A

    更新日期:2020-02-12 00:00:00

  • Food safety knowledge, attitudes and practices of institutional food-handlers in Ghana.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:In large scale cooking, food is handled by many individuals, thereby increasing the chances of food contamination due to improper handling. Deliberate or accidental contamination of food during large scale production might endanger the health of consumers, and have very expensive repercussions on a country. ...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/s12889-016-3986-9

    authors: Akabanda F,Hlortsi EH,Owusu-Kwarteng J

    更新日期:2017-01-06 00:00:00

  • Measuring health-related quality of life in men with osteoporosis or osteoporotic fracture.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Osteoporosis is a serious health problem that worsens the quality of life and the survival rate of individuals with this disease on account the osteoporotic fractures. Studies have long focused on women, and its presence in men has been underestimated. While many studies conducted in different countries main...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-11-775

    authors: Zwart M,Azagra R,Encabo G,Aguye A,Roca G,Güell S,Puchol N,Gene E,López-Expósito F,Solà S,Ortiz S,Sancho P,Abado L,Iglesias M,Pujol-Salud J,Diez-Perez A

    更新日期:2011-10-09 00:00:00

  • Mortality among British Columbians testing for hepatitis C antibody.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major preventable and treatable cause of morbidity and mortality. The ability to link population based centralized laboratory HCV testing data with administrative databases provided a unique opportunity to compare mortality between HCV seronegative and seropositive indi...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-13-291

    authors: Yu A,Spinelli JJ,Cook DA,Buxton JA,Krajden M

    更新日期:2013-04-02 00:00:00

  • Associations between the neighbourhood food environment, neighbourhood socioeconomic status, and diet quality: An observational study.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:The neighbourhood environment may play an important role in diet quality. Most previous research has examined the associations between neighbourhood food environment and diet quality, and neighbourhood socioeconomic status and diet quality separately. This study investigated the independent and joint effects...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/s12889-016-3631-7

    authors: McInerney M,Csizmadi I,Friedenreich CM,Uribe FA,Nettel-Aguirre A,McLaren L,Potestio M,Sandalack B,McCormack GR

    更新日期:2016-09-15 00:00:00

  • The cost of acute respiratory infections in Northern India: a multi-site study.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Despite the high mortality and morbidity resulting from acute respiratory infections (ARI) globally, there are few data from low-income countries on costs of ARI to inform public health policy decisions We conducted a prospective survey to assess costs of ARI episodes in selected primary, secondary, and tert...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究

    doi:10.1186/s12889-015-1685-6

    authors: Peasah SK,Purakayastha DR,Koul PA,Dawood FS,Saha S,Amarchand R,Broor S,Rastogi V,Assad R,Kaul KA,Widdowson MA,Lal RB,Krishnan A

    更新日期:2015-04-07 00:00:00

  • Factors influencing global antiretroviral procurement prices.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:Antiretroviral medicines (ARVs) are one of the most costly parts of HIV/AIDS treatment. Many countries are struggling to provide universal access to ARVs for all people living with HIV and AIDS. Although substantial price reductions of ARVs have occurred, especially between 2002 and 2008, achieving sustainab...

    journal_title:BMC public health

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1186/1471-2458-9-S1-S6

    authors: Wirtz VJ,Forsythe S,Valencia-Mendoza A,Bautista-Arredondo S

    更新日期:2009-11-18 00:00:00