Community distress predicts youth gun violence.

Abstract:

BACKGROUND:The purpose of this study was to investigate our institution's experience with pediatric firearm events. We sought to determine the relationship between a community's level of socioeconomic distress and the incidence of youth gun violence. METHODS:We performed a retrospective review of children <18 years involved in firearm events. Using visual cluster analysis, we portrayed all firearm events and violent firearm events (assaults + homicides). Distressed community indices (DCIs) were obtained from an interface that uses US Census Bureau data. Incident rate ratios (IRRs) were calculated for firearm circumstances (i.e. assault, homicide, suicide) using a DCI. Significant IRRs were analyzed to discern which DCI metrics contributed most to gun violence. RESULTS:There were 114 children involved in firearm events; 66 were county residents. The DCI of injury location significantly predicted total firearm events (IRR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.03), assaults (IRR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.05), and violent firearm events (IRR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05). The proportion of adults without a high school diploma, poverty rate, median income ratio, and housing vacancy rate were highly predictive of gun violence (VIP >1). CONCLUSION:Community distress significantly predicts pediatric firearm violence. Local interventions should target neighborhoods with high levels of distress to prevent further youth gun violence. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE:Retrospective study, IV.

journal_name

J Pediatr Surg

authors

Tracy BM,Smith RN,Miller K,Clayton E,Bailey K,Gerrin C,Eversley-Kelso T,Carney D,MacNew H

doi

10.1016/j.jpedsurg.2019.03.021

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2019-11-01 00:00:00

pages

2375-2381

issue

11

eissn

0022-3468

issn

1531-5037

pii

S0022-3468(19)30308-2

journal_volume

54

pub_type

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