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Standard machine learning approaches outperform deep representation learning on phenotype prediction from transcriptomics data.

Abstract：

BACKGROUND:The ability to confidently predict health outcomes from gene expression would catalyze a revolution in molecular diagnostics. Yet, the goal of developing actionable, robust, and reproducible predictive signatures of phenotypes such as clinical outcome has not been attained in almost any disease area. Here, we report a comprehensive analysis spanning prediction tasks from ulcerative colitis, atopic dermatitis, diabetes, to many cancer subtypes for a total of 24 binary and multiclass prediction problems and 26 survival analysis tasks. We systematically investigate the influence of gene subsets, normalization methods and prediction algorithms. Crucially, we also explore the novel use of deep representation learning methods on large transcriptomics compendia, such as GTEx and TCGA, to boost the performance of state-of-the-art methods. The resources and findings in this work should serve as both an up-to-date reference on attainable performance, and as a benchmarking resource for further research. RESULTS:Approaches that combine large numbers of genes outperformed single gene methods consistently and with a significant margin, but neither unsupervised nor semi-supervised representation learning techniques yielded consistent improvements in out-of-sample performance across datasets. Our findings suggest that using l2-regularized regression methods applied to centered log-ratio transformed transcript abundances provide the best predictive analyses overall. CONCLUSIONS:Transcriptomics-based phenotype prediction benefits from proper normalization techniques and state-of-the-art regularized regression approaches. In our view, breakthrough performance is likely contingent on factors which are independent of normalization and general modeling techniques; these factors might include reduction of systematic errors in sequencing data, incorporation of other data types such as single-cell sequencing and proteomics, and improved use of prior knowledge.

journal_name

BMC Bioinformatics

journal_title

BMC bioinformatics

authors

Smith AM,Walsh JR,Long J,Davis CB,Henstock P,Hodge MR,Maciejewski M,Mu XJ,Ra S,Zhao S,Ziemek D,Fisher CK

doi

10.1186/s12859-020-3427-8

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2020-03-20 00:00:00

pages

119

issue

issn

1471-2105

pii

10.1186/s12859-020-3427-8

journal_volume

pub_type

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Standard machine learning approaches outperform deep representation learning on phenotype prediction from transcriptomics data.