Including risk in stated-preference economic valuations: Experiments on choices for marine recreation.

Abstract:

:Stated-preference surveys for the economic valuation of environmental resources typically assume no uncertainty in the hypothetical valuation scenarios. However, the outcomes of environmental policies are uncertain. We explored the effects of including information on probabilities of attribute improvement and provision in choice experiments. Our results suggest that stating explicitly a high probability for the occurrence of the valuation scenario can improve the goodness of fit of choice models and the consistency of choices. As the general public becomes more aware of the uncertainty of environmental outcomes under global change, omitting information on scenario risk may contribute to hypothetical bias and impair the validity of stated-preference valuations.

journal_name

J Environ Manage

authors

Wielgus J,Gerber LR,Sala E,Bennett J

doi

10.1016/j.jenvman.2009.05.010

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2009-08-01 00:00:00

pages

3401-9

issue

11

eissn

0301-4797

issn

1095-8630

pii

S0301-4797(09)00171-6

journal_volume

90

pub_type

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