Abstract:
:The persistence of Influenza A in the human population relies on continual changes in the viral surface antigens allowing the virus to reinfect the same hosts every few years. The epidemiology of such a drifting virus is modeled by a discrete season-to-season map. During the epidemic season only one strain is present and its transmission dynamics follows a standard epidemic model. After the season, cross-immunity to next year's virus is determined from the proportion of hosts that were infected during the season. A partial analysis of this map shows the existence of oscillations where epidemics occur at regular or irregular intervals.
journal_name
J Math Bioljournal_title
Journal of mathematical biologyauthors
Andreasen Vdoi
10.1007/s00285-002-0186-2keywords:
subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2003-06-01 00:00:00pages
504-36issue
6eissn
0303-6812issn
1432-1416journal_volume
46pub_type
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