Abstract:
BACKGROUND:Accurate prediction of future patient census in hospital units is essential for patient safety, health outcomes, and resource planning. Forecasting census in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) is particularly challenging due to limited ability to control the census and clinical trajectories. The fixed average census approach, using average census from previous year, is a forecasting alternative used in clinical practice, but has limitations due to census variations. OBJECTIVE:Our objectives are to: (i) analyze the daily NICU census at a single health care facility and develop census forecasting models, (ii) explore models with and without patient data characteristics obtained at the time of admission, and (iii) evaluate accuracy of the models compared with the fixed average census approach. METHODS:We used five years of retrospective daily NICU census data for model development (January 2008 - December 2012, N=1827 observations) and one year of data for validation (January - December 2013, N=365 observations). Best-fitting models of ARIMA and linear regression were applied to various 7-day prediction periods and compared using error statistics. RESULTS:The census showed a slightly increasing linear trend. Best fitting models included a non-seasonal model, ARIMA(1,0,0), seasonal ARIMA models, ARIMA(1,0,0)x(1,1,2)7 and ARIMA(2,1,4)x(1,1,2)14, as well as a seasonal linear regression model. Proposed forecasting models resulted on average in 36.49% improvement in forecasting accuracy compared with the fixed average census approach. CONCLUSIONS:Time series models provide higher prediction accuracy under different census conditions compared with the fixed average census approach. Presented methodology is easily applicable in clinical practice, can be generalized to other care settings, support short- and long-term census forecasting, and inform staff resource planning.
journal_name
Appl Clin Informjournal_title
Applied clinical informaticsauthors
Capan M,Hoover S,Jackson EV,Paul D,Locke Rdoi
10.4338/ACI-2015-09-RA-0127subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2016-05-04 00:00:00pages
275-89issue
2issn
1869-0327journal_volume
7pub_type
杂志文章abstract:OBJECTIVE:To evaluate the health information technology (HIT) workforce knowledge and skills needed by HIT employers. METHODS:Statewide face-to-face and online focus groups of identified HIT employer groups in Austin, Brownsville, College Station, Dallas, El Paso, Houston, Lubbock, San Antonio, and webinars for rural ...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2012-09-RA-0035
更新日期:2012-12-05 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:The use of text messaging in clinical care has become ubiquitous. Due to security and privacy concerns, many hospital systems are evaluating secure text messaging applications. This paper highlights our evaluation process, and offers an overview of secure messaging functionalities, as well as a framework for ...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0039-1678607
更新日期:2019-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The assessment of user preferences for performance characteristics of patient-oriented clinical prediction models is lacking. It is unknown if complex statistical aspects of prediction models are readily understandable by a general audience. OBJECTIVE:A pilot study was conducted among nonclinical audiences ...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0038-1669457
更新日期:2018-07-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVES:To understand and build a collective vision of all existing institutions in the Portuguese National Health Service as well as to perceive how and how far the interaction between those multiple institutions is supported by Information Systems (IS). METHODS:Upon identification of the institutions involved in ...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2016-08-RA-0135
更新日期:2016-12-21 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Secure clinical messaging and document exchange utilizing the Direct Protocol (Direct interoperability) has been widely implemented in health information technology (HIT) applications including electronic health records (EHRs) and by health care providers and organizations in the United States. While Direct ...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0038-1637007
更新日期:2018-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Preoperative assessments are a required and essential element of anesthetic care, yet little is known about the utilization of these documents by clinicians who are not part of the anesthesia care team. As part of perioperative workflow restructuring, we implemented a data visualization technique of electron...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2015-02-CR-0022
更新日期:2015-10-21 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Prescribers' inappropriate use of the free-text Notes field in new electronic prescriptions can create confusion and workflow disruptions at receiving pharmacies that often necessitates contact with prescribers for clarification. The inclusion of inappropriate patient direction (Sig) information in the Notes...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2014-03-CR-0022
更新日期:2014-08-06 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND: Relaxation of laws and regulations around privacy and billing during the COVID-19 pandemic provide expanded opportunities to use telehealth to provide patient care at a distance. Many health systems have transitioned to providing outpatient care via telehealth; however, there is an opportunity to utilize te...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0040-1713635
更新日期:2020-05-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Smartphones are increasingly important for clinical decision support, but smartphone and Internet use are limited by cost or coverage in many settings. txt2MEDLINE provides access to published medical evidence by text messaging. Previous studies have evaluated this approach, but we found no comparisons with ...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2012-06-RA-0024
更新日期:2012-09-06 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:While evidence generally supports the use of medication management technology, systems are typically implemented and evaluated piecemeal rather than as part of a comprehensive model for medication management. Systems to support drug therapy optimization, increasingly a key role of pharmacists in our healthca...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0037-1620262
更新日期:2018-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:A structured report for imaging exams aims at increasing the precision in information retrieval and communication between physicians. However, it is more concise than free text and may limit specialists' descriptions of important findings not covered by pre-defined structures. A computational ontological str...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2016-03-RA-0037
更新日期:2016-08-24 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Semantic interoperability between routine healthcare and clinical research is an unsolved issue, as information systems in the healthcare domain still use proprietary and site-specific data models. However, information exchange and data harmonization are essential for physicians and scientists if they want t...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2012-03-RA-0011
更新日期:2012-07-11 00:00:00
abstract::Patient-generated health data are coming into broader use across the health care spectrum and hold great promise as a means to improve care and health outcomes. At the same time, rapid evolution in the social media and mobile health (mHealth) market has promoted an environment in which creation and transmission of per...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.4338/ACI-2014-09-R-0082
更新日期:2015-01-14 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVES:Transitions in patient care pose an increased risk to patient safety. One way to reduce this risk is to ensure accurate medication reconciliation during the transition. Here we present an evaluation of an electronic medication reconciliation module we developed to reduce the transition risk in patients refer...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2015-11-RA-0154
更新日期:2016-05-25 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The 2013 American College of Cardiology / American Heart Association Guidelines for the Treatment of Blood Cholesterol emphasize treatment based on cardiovascular risk. But finding time in a primary care visit to manually calculate cardiovascular risk and prescribe treatment based on risk is challenging. We ...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2016-07-RA-0114
更新日期:2017-02-08 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVES:Unwarranted variance in healthcare has been associated with prolonged length of stay, diminished health and increased cost. Practice variance in the management of asthma can be significant and few investigators have evaluated strategies to reduce this variance. We hypothesized that selective redesign of orde...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2011-01-RA-0002
更新日期:2012-02-08 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Care plan concordance among patients and clinicians during hospitalization is suboptimal. OBJECTIVE:This article determines whether an electronic health record (EHR)-integrated patient portal was associated with increased understanding of the care plan, including the key recovery goal, among patients and cl...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0039-1688831
更新日期:2019-05-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Code status (CS) of a patient (part of their end-of-life wishes) can be critical information in healthcare delivery, which can change over time, especially at transitions of care. Although electronic health record (EHR) tools exist for medication reconciliation across transitions of care, much less attention...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2016-08-RA-0133
更新日期:2017-03-08 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Unique characteristics of nursing homes (NHs) contribute to high rates of inappropriate antibiotic use for asymptomatic bacteriuria (ASB), a benign condition. A mobile clinical decision support system (CDSS) may support NH staff in differentiating urinary tract infections (UTI) from ASB and reducing antibiot...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2016-12-RA-0209
更新日期:2017-06-20 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:Based on US. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommendations, New York State enacted legislation in 2010 requiring healthcare providers to offer non-targeted human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) testing to all patients aged 13-64. Three New York City adult emergency departments implemented an electro...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2013-09-RA-0075
更新日期:2014-03-26 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Electronic prescribing (e-prescribing) technology was introduced as an alternative to handwritten prescriptions allowing health care professionals to send prescriptions directly to pharmacies. While the technology has many advantages, such as improving pharmacy workflow and reducing medication errors, some l...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0039-1691840
更新日期:2019-05-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVES:Various computerized health risk appraisals (HRAs) are available, but few of them assess health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in a goal-directed framework. This study describes the user-centered development and usability testing of an innovative HRQoL module that extends a validated HRA tool in primary car...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2014-08-RA-0067
更新日期:2014-12-10 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Homecare is an important and effective way of managing chronic illnesses using skilled nursing care in the home. Unlike hospitals and ambulatory settings, clinicians visit patients at home at different times, independent of each other. Twenty-nine percent of 10,000 homecare agencies in the United States have...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2013-12-RA-0106
更新日期:2014-04-30 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Medical students may observe and subsequently perpetuate redundancy in clinical documentation, but the degree of redundancy in student notes and whether there is an association with scholastic performance are unknown. OBJECTIVES:This study sought to quantify redundancy, defined generally as the proportion o...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0039-1692402
更新日期:2019-05-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVES:To assess the impact of introducing a new Picture Archiving and Communication System (PACS) and Radiology Information System (RIS) on: (i) Medical Imaging work processes; and (ii) turnaround times (TATs) for x-ray and CT scan orders initiated in the Emergency Department (ED). METHODS:We employed a mixed met...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2015-01-RA-0014
更新日期:2015-07-08 00:00:00
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journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0039-1679960
更新日期:2019-03-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Although obesity is a growing problem, primary care physicians often inadequately address it. The objective of this study is to examine the prevalence of obesity documentation in the patient's problem list for patients with eligible body mass indexes (BMI) as contained in the patients' electronic medical rec...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2016-07-RA-0115
更新日期:2017-01-25 00:00:00
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journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0040-1715895
更新日期:2020-08-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Care-management tools are typically utilized for chronic disease management. Sonoma County government agencies employed advanced health information technologies, artificial intelligence (AI), and interagency process improvements to help transform health and health care for socially disadvantaged groups and o...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1055/s-0040-1715894
更新日期:2020-08-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:More than 70% of hospitals in the United States have electronic health records (EHRs). Clinical decision support (CDS) presents clinicians with electronic alerts during the course of patient care; however, alert fatigue can influence a provider's response to any EHR alert. The primary goal was to evaluate the...
journal_title:Applied clinical informatics
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.4338/ACI-2016-10-RA-0168
更新日期:2017-05-10 00:00:00