Abstract:
:Most multipopulation epidemic models are of the contact distribution type, in which the locations of successive contacts are chosen independently from appropriate contact distributions. This paper is concerned with an alternative class of models, termed dynamic population epidemic models, in which infectives move among the populations and can infect only within their current population. Both the stochastic and deterministic versions of such models are considered. Their threshold behavior is analyzed in some depth, as are their final outcomes. Velocities of spread of infection are considered when the populations have a spatial structure. A criterion for finding the equivalent contact distribution epidemic for any given dynamic population epidemic is provided, enabling comparisons to be made for the velocities and final outcomes displayed by the two classes of models. The relationship between deterministic and stochastic epidemic models is also discussed briefly.
journal_name
Math Bioscijournal_title
Mathematical biosciencesauthors
Ball FGdoi
10.1016/0025-5564(91)90011-7subject
Has Abstractpub_date
1991-12-01 00:00:00pages
299-324issue
2eissn
0025-5564issn
1879-3134pii
0025-5564(91)90011-7journal_volume
107pub_type
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