Dynamic population epidemic models.

Abstract:

:Most multipopulation epidemic models are of the contact distribution type, in which the locations of successive contacts are chosen independently from appropriate contact distributions. This paper is concerned with an alternative class of models, termed dynamic population epidemic models, in which infectives move among the populations and can infect only within their current population. Both the stochastic and deterministic versions of such models are considered. Their threshold behavior is analyzed in some depth, as are their final outcomes. Velocities of spread of infection are considered when the populations have a spatial structure. A criterion for finding the equivalent contact distribution epidemic for any given dynamic population epidemic is provided, enabling comparisons to be made for the velocities and final outcomes displayed by the two classes of models. The relationship between deterministic and stochastic epidemic models is also discussed briefly.

journal_name

Math Biosci

journal_title

Mathematical biosciences

authors

Ball FG

doi

10.1016/0025-5564(91)90011-7

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

1991-12-01 00:00:00

pages

299-324

issue

2

eissn

0025-5564

issn

1879-3134

pii

0025-5564(91)90011-7

journal_volume

107

pub_type

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