Induced seismicity provides insight into why earthquake ruptures stop.

Abstract:

:Injection-induced earthquakes pose a serious seismic hazard but also offer an opportunity to gain insight into earthquake physics. Currently used models relating the maximum magnitude of injection-induced earthquakes to injection parameters do not incorporate rupture physics. We develop theoretical estimates, validated by simulations, of the size of ruptures induced by localized pore-pressure perturbations and propagating on prestressed faults. Our model accounts for ruptures growing beyond the perturbed area and distinguishes self-arrested from runaway ruptures. We develop a theoretical scaling relation between the largest magnitude of self-arrested earthquakes and the injected volume and find it consistent with observed maximum magnitudes of injection-induced earthquakes over a broad range of injected volumes, suggesting that, although runaway ruptures are possible, most injection-induced events so far have been self-arrested ruptures.

journal_name

Sci Adv

journal_title

Science advances

authors

Galis M,Ampuero JP,Mai PM,Cappa F

doi

10.1126/sciadv.aap7528

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2017-12-20 00:00:00

pages

eaap7528

issue

12

issn

2375-2548

pii

aap7528

journal_volume

3

pub_type

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