Abstract:
OBJECTIVE:Psychosis, like other neuropsychiatric symptoms of dementia, has many features that make predictive modeling of its onset difficult. For example, psychosis onset is associated with both the absolute degree of cognitive impairment and the rate of cognitive decline. Moreover, psychotic symptoms, while more likely than not to persist over time within individuals, may remit and recur. To facilitate predictive modeling of psychosis for personalized clinical decision making, including evaluating the role of risk genes in its onset, we have developed a novel Bayesian model of the dual trajectories of cognition and psychosis symptoms. METHODS:Cognition was modeled as a four-parameter logistic curve with random effects for all four parameters and possible covariates for the rate and time of fall. Psychosis was modeled as a continuous-time hidden Markov model with a latent never-psychotic class and states for pre-psychotic, actively psychotic and remitted psychosis. Covariates can affect the probability of being in the never-psychotic class. Covariates and the level of cognition can affect the transition rates for the hidden Markov model. RESULTS:The model characteristics were confirmed using simulated data. Results from 434 AD patients show that a decline in cognition is associated with an increased rate of transition to the psychotic state. CONCLUSIONS:The model allows declining cognition as an input for psychosis prediction, while incorporating the full uncertainty of the interpolated cognition values. The techniques used can be used in future genetic studies of AD and are generalizable to the study of other neuropsychiatric symptoms in dementia.
journal_name
Int J Geriatr Psychiatryjournal_title
International journal of geriatric psychiatryauthors
Seltman HJ,Mitchell S,Sweet RAdoi
10.1002/gps.4326subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2016-02-01 00:00:00pages
204-10issue
2eissn
0885-6230issn
1099-1166journal_volume
31pub_type
杂志文章abstract::The purpose of this article is to provide data for advanced interpretation of MMSE performance in community-dwelling elderly persons and in geriatric neuropsychiatry inpatients. Age- and education-corrected cutoff scores, standard errors of measurement and standard errors of difference were computed using previously p...
journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-1166(1998100)13:10<661::aid-gps
更新日期:1998-10-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.740
更新日期:2002-11-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
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doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-1166(199906)14:6<494::aid-gps96
更新日期:1999-06-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,多中心研究,随机对照试验
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究,随机对照试验
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
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更新日期:2013-07-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.5135
更新日期:2019-10-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
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pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究
doi:10.1002/gps.1315
更新日期:2005-05-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:
更新日期:1999-09-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.3816
更新日期:2013-03-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-1166(199905)14:5<368::aid-gps91
更新日期:1999-05-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.928
更新日期:2003-10-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究,随机对照试验
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章,随机对照试验
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更新日期:2007-05-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/(sici)1099-1166(199703)12:3<349::aid-gps50
更新日期:1997-03-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1002/gps.1348
更新日期:2005-07-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.5200
更新日期:2019-12-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.1586
更新日期:2006-10-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.4287
更新日期:2016-01-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.2612
更新日期:2011-08-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.539
更新日期:2002-02-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.697
更新日期:2002-08-01 00:00:00
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journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1002/gps.1260
更新日期:2005-02-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The burgeoning field of gerontechnology, which is the interdisciplinary field of applying technology to ageing issues, has focused primarily on "active ageing" and maintaining independence for older adults. To date, there has been less focus on people who develop dementia. Here, we argue for the field of ger...
journal_title:International journal of geriatric psychiatry
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/gps.4906
更新日期:2018-12-01 00:00:00