Abstract:
OBJECTIVES:To appraise effective predictors for COVID-19 mortality in a retrospective cohort study. METHODS:A total of 1270 COVID-19 patients, including 984 admitted in Sino French New City Branch (training and internal validation sets randomly split at 7:3 ratio) and 286 admitted in Optical Valley Branch (external validation set) of Wuhan Tongji hospital, were included in this study. Forty-eight clinical and laboratory features were screened with LASSO method. Further multi-tree extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) machine learning-based model was used to rank importance of features selected from LASSO and subsequently constructed death risk prediction model with simple-tree XGBoost model. Performances of models were evaluated by AUC, prediction accuracy, precision, and F1 scores. RESULTS:Six features, including disease severity, age, levels of high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), ferritin, and interleukin-10 (IL-10), were selected as predictors for COVID-19 mortality. Simple-tree XGBoost model conducted by these features can predict death risk accurately with >90% precision and >85% sensitivity, as well as F1 scores >0.90 in training and validation sets. CONCLUSION:We proposed the disease severity, age, serum levels of hs-CRP, LDH, ferritin, and IL-10 as significant predictors for death risk of COVID-19, which may help to identify the high-risk COVID-19 cases. KEY MESSAGES A machine learning method is used to build death risk model for COVID-19 patients. Disease severity, age, hs-CRP, LDH, ferritin, and IL-10 are death risk factors. These findings may help to identify the high-risk COVID-19 cases.
journal_name
Ann Medjournal_title
Annals of medicineauthors
Guan X,Zhang B,Fu M,Li M,Yuan X,Zhu Y,Peng J,Guo H,Lu Ydoi
10.1080/07853890.2020.1868564subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2021-12-01 00:00:00pages
257-266issue
1eissn
0785-3890issn
1365-2060journal_volume
53pub_type
杂志文章abstract::Steroids diffuse through polysiloxone at a constant rate, and steroids placed in the vagina rapidly pass through the vaginal epithelium into the circulation. Combining these principles led to the development of contraceptive vaginal rings (CVR) consisting of various progestins, with and without oestrogen, placed in fl...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853899309164167
更新日期:1993-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::The prevalence of immunoglobulin E (IgE)-mediated allergic diseases has been increasing for the last four decades. In this review determinants for an increased IgE synthesis are discussed on both an epidemiological and on an immunological level with special emphasis on the differentiation of the B cell to an IgE-produ...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1080/07853890701449354
更新日期:2007-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::On theoretical grounds, an apo E receptor defect should be manifested by the accumulation of lipoprotein remnants that are normally cleared by this receptor and cannot be processed by the normal apo B, E receptor (LDL-receptor). Furthermore, the defect should not be selective for a specific apo E phenotype since none ...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3109/07853899109148042
更新日期:1991-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::One of the major discoveries in modern genetics is the phenomenon of genomic, or parental, imprinting. The parent-of-origin effects seen after transmission of an imprinted gene from parents to their children do not follow the genetic rules postulated by Gregor Mendel. This has obvious consequences for genetic counsell...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853899909019258
更新日期:1999-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::The purpose of this study was to test the applicability of exercise echocardiography in the diagnosis of coronary artery disease. The results were compared to findings of coronary angiography. 118 patients, 100 males and 18 females, who were all referred to coronary angiography for suspected ischaemic heart disease, u...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章,随机对照试验
doi:10.3109/07853899608999078
更新日期:1996-02-01 00:00:00
abstract:PURPOSE:Evidence on the association between depression, antidepressant use and venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk is conflicting. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of published observational studies evaluating the associations of depression and antidepressant use with VTE risk. DESIGN:Eligible studies ...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,meta分析
doi:10.1080/07853890.2018.1500703
更新日期:2018-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::Pancreatic beta-cell dysfunction and insulin resistance are two interrelated defects in the pathophysiology of type 2 diabetes. Defects in peripheral insulin action precede the development of glucose intolerance, as the pancreas compensates for insulin resistance by increasing insulin production and secretion. This ma...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1080/078538902321012397
更新日期:2002-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Atrial fibrillation is a common cardiac arrhythmia with rapid and irregular atrial activity. Instead of uniformly contracting as one chamber, the atrial compartment fibrillates. Several studies have demonstrated that this arrhythmia contributes substantially to cardiac morbidity and mortality. The purpose of this revi...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853890.2011.554426
更新日期:2011-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Atherosclerosis is a multifactorial pathological process. In recent years, the immune factors associated with its initiation and progression have been investigated intensively. Several autoantigens and their respective autoantibodies have been suggested as factors in atherogenesis. This manuscript provides a review of...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:
更新日期:2000-12-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Both depression and the metabolic syndrome are frequently found among patients with type 1 diabetes, but their potential association has not yet been investigated. In this paper the relationship between depression and the metabolic syndrome among patients with type 1 diabetes was evaluated. METHODS:A total ...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3109/07853890.2010.503660
更新日期:2010-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::A radioimmunoassay method for endothelin was developed. Antisera raised against endothelin 1 showed significant crossreaction with endothelin 2 and 3 (45 and 13%, respectively). Considerable endothelin immunoreactivity was shown to be present in the cerebrospinal fluid of patients with a subarachnoid hemorrhage, rangi...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3109/07853899009148932
更新日期:1990-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:INTRODUCTION:Aiming at identifying biomarkers for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM), the serum proteome was explored through a two-dimensional gel-based proteomic approach (2D-DIGE) coupled with mass spectrometry and database interrogation. METHODS:Serum samples from 20 male HCM patients and their sex- and age-matched...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3109/07853890.2013.792555
更新日期:2013-06-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND AND AIMS:Prospective data on development of venous obstruction after electrode implantation are limited. We performed a prospective study on 150 patients undergoing first pacemaker implantation. METHODS:Venographies at base-line and 6 months postimplantation in all patients, 50 patients included into a long...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/07853890802498961
更新日期:2009-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Obesity in males is accompanied by a significant decrease in testosterone levels. This decrease is essentially a consequence of the decrease of the sex hormone binding hormone (SHBG) binding capacity, itself probably the consequence of the increased insulin levels. In moderate obesity, free testosterone levels are nor...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853899608999068
更新日期:1996-02-01 00:00:00
abstract:PURPOSE:We aimed to assess the prospective association of serum albumin with venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk and evaluate if the association is independent of or modified by inflammation, as measured by high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP). DESIGN:We analysed data of 2176 men aged 42-61 years free from VTE in...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/07853890.2018.1441537
更新日期:2018-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Depression, among other mood disorders, represents one of the most common health problems worldwide, with steadily increasing incidence and major socio-economic consequences. However, since the knowledge about the underlying pathophysiological principles is still very scanty, depression and other mood disorders are cu...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853891003769957
更新日期:2010-05-06 00:00:00
abstract::Endothelial health is a key factor in normal cardiovascular homeostasis, and recent studies have revealed several important functions of the vascular endothelium that protect against atherothrombosis. These include control over arterial tone, coagulation, fibrinolysis, and vascular growth. Consequently, endothelial dy...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853890008995931
更新日期:2000-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Although obesity and alcohol intake as well as dietary sodium, potassium and magnesium are the major non-genetic determinants of blood pressure levels, interest has recently been stimulated in the function of fatty acids and antioxidants in the aetiology of hypertension. In the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Fact...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853899109148063
更新日期:1991-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Heart failure syndrome results from compensatory mechanisms that operate to restore - back to normal - the systemic perfusion pressure. Sympathetic overactivity plays a pivotal role in heart failure; norepinephrine contributes to maintenance of the systemic blood pressure and increasing preload. Cardiac norepinephrine...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1080/07853890.2017.1282168
更新日期:2017-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Vulvodynia is a complex multifactorial and multidisciplinary clinical syndrome of unexplained vulvar pain, sexual dysfunction, and psychological disability. Because of the absence of abnormal physical findings among such patients, vulvodynia was long thought to be solely a psychosomatic syndrome. The incidence or prev...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853899509031955
更新日期:1995-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::The term fibromyalgia describes a complex syndrome characterized by pain amplification, musculoskeletal discomfort, and systemic symptoms. Although its existence has been controversial, nearly all rheumatologists now accept fibromyalgia as a distinct diagnostic entity. In fact, in the United States it is the third or ...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853899708998739
更新日期:1997-02-01 00:00:00
abstract:INTRODUCTION:The association between sleep disturbances and cardiometabolic diseases has been understudied in blacks with metabolic syndrome. METHODS:This study is a cross-sectional analysis of the Metabolic Syndrome Outcome Study (MetSO) trial. We assessed insomnia symptoms, sleep duration, and risk for sleep apnea. ...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3109/07853890.2015.1015601
更新日期:2015-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::In humans, microbial colonization of the intestine begins just after birth. However, development of the normal flora is a gradual process, which is initially determined by factors such as composition of the maternal gut microflora, environment and possibly also by genetic aspects. A number of variables, such as the de...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853899908995892
更新日期:1999-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::The mucosal surfaces are the first portals of entry for most infectious agents, among which respiratory and intestinal viruses are of greatest epidemiological importance. To combat these infections, the immune system uses unspecific and specific mechanisms. Unspecific responses include the production of virus-induced ...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.3109/07853890109002074
更新日期:2001-04-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Several studies have suggested that the occurrence of severe hypoglycemia during sleep may be more dangerous for cardiac arrhythmia than that in the day-time. METHODS:We performed a retrospective study between January 2006 and March 2012 to assess electrocardiograms during severe hypoglycemia in patients wi...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3109/07853890.2015.1017528
更新日期:2015-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Among the approximately 7,000 cytogenetically abnormal childhood and adult B- and T-lineage acute lymphoblastic leukemias (ALL) published to date, numerous recurring chromosomal aberrations and abnormality patterns have been identified, and it has been clearly shown that the cytogenetic features often correlate closel...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1080/07853890410018808
更新日期:2004-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:Finnish type of hereditary gelsolin amyloidosis (FGA) is one of the most common diseases of Finnish disease heritage. Existing FGA knowledge is based only on smaller patient series, so our aim was to elucidate the natural course of the disease in a comprehensive sample of patients and to build up a national ...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3109/07853890.2015.1075063
更新日期:2015-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:There is an unmet need for a straightforward and cost-effective assessment of multiple lipoprotein risk factors for vascular diseases. AIMS:1) To study the relation of various lipoprotein lipid and apolipoprotein (apo) measures on the Friedewald inputs, i.e. plasma triglycerides (TG), cholesterol (TC), and ...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1080/07853890902893392
更新日期:2009-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:INTRODUCTION:Maternal obesity has long-term consequences for the offspring's later health, including an increased risk of type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease. The underlying mechanisms explaining these associations are, however, not fully understood. METHODS:A total of 2003 individuals from the Helsinki Birth C...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3109/07853890.2015.1004360
更新日期:2015-03-01 00:00:00
abstract::The Cardiovascular Risk in Young Finns Study is a collaborative effort of all university departments of paediatrics and several other institutions in Finland to study the risk factors of coronary heart disease (CHD) and their determinants in children and adolescents in different parts of the country. The main cross-se...
journal_title:Annals of medicine
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:
更新日期:1999-04-01 00:00:00