Predicting shifts in parasite distribution with climate change: a multitrophic level approach.

abstract：:A growing body of literature seeks to explain variation in range shifts using species' ecological and life-history traits, with expectations that shifts should be greater in species with greater dispersal ability, reproductive potential, and ecological generalization. Despite strong theoretical support for species' tr...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： MacLean SA,Beissinger SR

更新日期：2017-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Although numerous species distribution models have been developed, most were based on insufficient distribution data or used older climate change scenarios. We aimed to quantify changes in projected ranges and threat level by the years 2061-2080, for 12 European forest tree species under three climate change scenarios...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Dyderski MK,Paź S,Frelich LE,Jagodziński AM

更新日期：2018-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:In the face of increasing cumulative effects from human and natural disturbances, sustaining coral reefs will require a deeper understanding of the drivers of coral resilience in space and time. Here we develop a high-resolution, spatially explicit model of coral dynamics on Australia's Great Barrier Reef (GBR). Our m...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Mellin C,Matthews S,Anthony KRN,Brown SC,Caley MJ,Johns KA,Osborne K,Puotinen M,Thompson A,Wolff NH,Fordham DA,MacNeil MA

更新日期：2019-07-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Drought, widely studied as an important driver of ecosystem dynamics, is predicted to increase in frequency and severity globally. To study drought, ecologists must define or at least operationalize what constitutes a drought. How this is accomplished in practice is unclear, particularly given that climatologists have...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Slette IJ,Post AK,Awad M,Even T,Punzalan A,Williams S,Smith MD,Knapp AK

更新日期：2019-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Insects, diseases, fire and drought and other disturbances associated with global climate change contribute to forest decline and mortality in many parts of the world. Forest decline and mortality related to drought or insect outbreaks have been observed in North American aspen forests. However, little research has be...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Chen L,Huang JG,Dawson A,Zhai L,Stadt KJ,Comeau PG,Whitehouse C

更新日期：2018-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Lakes at high altitude and latitude are typically unproductive ecosystems where external factors outweigh the relative importance of in-lake processes, making them ideal sentinels of climate change. Climate change is inducing upward vegetation shifts at high altitude and latitude regions that translate into changes in...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Rofner C,Peter H,Catalán N,Drewes F,Sommaruga R,Pérez MT

更新日期：2017-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Amazonian forests continuously accumulate carbon (C) in biomass and in soil, representing a carbon sink of 0.42-0.65 GtC yr-1 . In recent decades, more than 15% of Amazonian forests have been converted into pastures, resulting in net C emissions (~200 tC ha-1 ) due to biomass burning and litter mineralization in the f...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Stahl C,Fontaine S,Klumpp K,Picon-Cochard C,Grise MM,Dezécache C,Ponchant L,Freycon V,Blanc L,Bonal D,Burban B,Soussana JF,Blanfort V

更新日期：2017-08-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Few studies have quantitatively projected changes in demography in response to climate change, yet doing so can provide important insights into the processes that may lead to population declines and changes in species distributions. Using a long-term mark-recapture data set, we examined the influence of multiple direc...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Dybala KE,Eadie JM,Gardali T,Seavy NE,Herzog MP

更新日期：2013-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Free-air CO2 enrichment (FACE) allows open-air elevation of [CO2 ] without altering the microclimate. Its scale uniquely supports simultaneous study from physiology and yield to soil processes and disease. In 2005 we summarized results of then 28 published observations by meta-analysis. Subsequent studies have combine...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ainsworth EA,Long SP

更新日期：2021-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Forested catchments provide critically important water resources. Due to dramatic global forest change over the past decades, the importance of including forest or vegetation change in the assessment of water resources under climate change has been highly recognized by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC);...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Wei X,Li Q,Zhang M,Giles-Hansen K,Liu W,Fan H,Wang Y,Zhou G,Piao S,Liu S

更新日期：2018-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Increases in the emissions and associated atmospheric deposition of nitrogen (N) have the potential to cause significant changes to the structure and function of N-limited ecosystems. Here, we present the results of a long-term (13 year) experiment assessing the impacts of N addition (30 kg ha(-1)  yr(-1) ) on a UK lo...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Southon GE,Green ER,Jones AG,Barker CG,Power SA

更新日期：2012-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Anthropogenic activities such as land-use change, pollution and fishing impact the trophic structure of coral reef fishes, which can influence ecosystem health and function. Although these impacts may be ubiquitous, they are not consistent across the tropical Pacific Ocean. Using an extensive database of fish biomass ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ruppert JLW,Vigliola L,Kulbicki M,Labrosse P,Fortin MJ,Meekan MG

更新日期：2018-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Tidal marshes have a large capacity for producing and storing organic matter, making their role in the global carbon budget disproportionate to land area. Most of the organic matter stored in these systems is in soils where it contributes 2-5 times more to surface accretion than an equal mass of minerals. Soil organic...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Mueller P,Jensen K,Megonigal JP

更新日期：2016-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Many taxa are undergoing distribution shifts in response to anthropogenic climate change. However, detecting a climate signal in mobile species is difficult due to their wide-ranging, patchy distributions, often driven by natural climate variability. For example, difficulties associated with assessing pelagic fish dis...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Hill NJ,Tobin AJ,Reside AE,Pepperell JG,Bridge TC

更新日期：2016-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:For over 40 years, acid deposition has been recognized as a serious international environmental problem, but efforts to restore acidified streams and biota have had limited success. The need to better understand the effects of different sources of acidity on streams has become more pressing with the recent increases i...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Pound KL,Lawrence GB,Passy SI

更新日期：2013-09-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Community re-assembly following future disturbances will often occur under warmer and more moisture-limited conditions than when current communities assembled. Because the establishment stage is regularly the most sensitive to climate and competition, the trajectory of recovery from disturbance in a changing environme...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Dodson EK,Root HT

更新日期：2015-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Climate change is projected to push the limits of cropping systems and has the potential to disrupt the agricultural sector from local to global scales. This article introduces the Coordinated Climate-Crop Modeling Project (C3MP), an initiative of the Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ruane AC,McDermid S,Rosenzweig C,Baigorria GA,Jones JW,Romero CC,Dewayne Cecil L

更新日期：2014-02-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Migration of plant populations is a potential survival response to climate change that depends critically on seed dispersal. Biological and physical factors determine dispersal and migration of wind-dispersed species. Recent field and wind tunnel studies demonstrate biological adaptations that bias seed release toward...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Thompson SE,Katul GG

更新日期：2013-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The impact of climate change on dispersal processes is largely ignored in risk assessments for crop diseases, as inoculum is generally assumed to be ubiquitous and nonlimiting. We suggest that consideration of the impact of climate change on the connectivity of crops for inoculum transmission may provide additional ex...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Skelsey P,Cooke DE,Lynott JS,Lees AK

更新日期：2016-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Climate warming is occurring at an unprecedented rate in the Arctic and is having profound effects on host-parasite interactions, including range expansion. Recently, two species of protostrongylid nematodes have emerged for the first time in muskoxen and caribou on Victoria Island in the western Canadian Arctic Archi...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Kutz SJ,Checkley S,Verocai GG,Dumond M,Hoberg EP,Peacock R,Wu JP,Orsel K,Seegers K,Warren AL,Abrams A

更新日期：2013-11-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Predicting the biological effects of climate change presents major challenges due to the interplay of potential biotic and abiotic mechanisms. Climate change can create unexpected outcomes by altering species interactions, and uncertainty over the ability of species to develop in situ tolerance or track environmental ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Amundrud SL,Srivastava DS

更新日期：2019-10-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Understanding the drivers of phenological events is vital for forecasting species' responses to climate change. We developed flexible Bayesian survival regression models to assess a 29-year, individual-level time series of flowering phenology from four taxa of Japanese cherry trees (Prunus spachiana, Prunus × yedoensi...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Allen JM,Terres MA,Katsuki T,Iwamoto K,Kobori H,Higuchi H,Primack RB,Wilson AM,Gelfand A,Silander JA Jr

更新日期：2014-04-01 00:00:00

abstract：:In the aftermath of the 2015 pandemic of Zika virus (ZIKV), concerns over links between climate change and emerging arboviruses have become more pressing. Given the potential that much of the world might remain at risk from the virus, we used a previously established temperature-dependent transmission model for ZIKV t...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ryan SJ,Carlson CJ,Tesla B,Bonds MH,Ngonghala CN,Mordecai EA,Johnson LR,Murdock CC

更新日期：2021-01-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Earth System Models project that global climate change will reduce ocean net primary production (NPP), upper trophic level biota biomass and potential fisheries catches in the future, especially in the eastern equatorial Pacific. However, projections from Earth System Models are undermined by poorly constrained assump...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Tagliabue A,Barrier N,Du Pontavice H,Kwiatkowski L,Aumont O,Bopp L,Cheung WWL,Gascuel D,Maury O

更新日期：2020-09-24 00:00:00

abstract：:Recent observations have shown that increases in climate change-related coral mortality cause changes in shallow coral reef community structure through phase shifts to alternative taxa. As a result, sponges have emerged as a potential candidate taxon to become a "winner," and therefore a numerically and functionally d...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Lesser MP,Slattery M

更新日期：2020-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:The maximum rate of carboxylation (Vcmax ) is an essential leaf trait determining the photosynthetic capacity of plants. Existing approaches for estimating Vcmax at large scale mainly rely on empirical relationships with proxies such as leaf nitrogen/chlorophyll content or hyperspectral reflectance, or on complicated ...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Jiang C,Ryu Y,Wang H,Keenan TF

更新日期：2020-07-12 00:00:00

abstract：:Climate warming is currently advancing spring leaf-out of temperate and boreal trees, enhancing net primary productivity (NPP) of forests. However, it remains unclear whether this trend will continue, preventing for accurate projections of ecosystem functioning and climate feedbacks. Several ecophysiological mechanism...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Zohner CM,Mo L,Pugh TAM,Bastin JF,Crowther TW

更新日期：2020-07-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Greater climatic variability and extreme climatic events are currently emerging as two of the most important facets of climate change. Predicting the effects of extreme climatic events, such as heat waves, is a major challenge because they may affect both organisms and trophic interactions, leading to complex response...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Sentis A,Hemptinne JL,Brodeur J

更新日期：2013-03-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Exponentially rising CO2 (currently ~400 μatm) is driving climate change and causing acidification of both marine and freshwater environments. Physiologists have long known that CO2 directly affects acid-base and ion regulation, respiratory function and aerobic performance in aquatic animals. More recently, many studi...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Ellis RP,Urbina MA,Wilson RW

更新日期：2017-06-01 00:00:00

abstract：:Both elevated ozone (O(3)) and limiting soil nitrogen (N) availability negatively affect crop performance. However, less is known about how the combination of elevated O(3) and limiting N affect crop growth and metabolism. In this study, we grew tobacco (Nicotiana sylvestris) in ambient and elevated O(3) at two N leve...

journal_title：Global change biology

authors： Yendrek CR,Leisner CP,Ainsworth EA

更新日期：2013-10-01 00:00:00