Abstract:
BACKGROUND:Sudden cardiac death in children is a rare but devastating event. Experts have debated the merits of community-based screening programs using an ECG and targeting 2 potential high-risk groups: school-aged children initiating stimulant medications to treat attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder and adolescents participating in sports. METHODS AND RESULTS:Simulation models incorporating detailed prevalence, sensitivity and specificity, and treatment algorithms were built to determine the cost-effectiveness of targeted sudden cardiac death screening. Clinical care algorithms were constructed for asymptomatic children initiating stimulants for attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (8 years of age) or participating in sports (14 years of age) and presenting with a positive ECG finding suggestive of 1 of the 3 most common pediatric disorders causing sudden cardiac death and identifiable by ECG. Information to develop simulation model assumptions was drawn from the existing literature, Medicaid fees, and expert judgment. Sensitivity analyses examined parameter ranges to identify influential sources of uncertainty. Outcomes included costs and lost life-years caused by condition-related mortality. Our models estimate that screening for all 3 conditions simultaneously would reduce sudden death risk by 3.6 to 7.5 × 10(-5) with projected life expectancy increases of 0.8 to 1.6 days per screened individual. The incremental cost-effectiveness of screening is $91,000 to $204,000 per life-year. Sensitivity analysis showed that assumed disease prevalence, baseline mortality, and the relative risk of mortality resulting from stimulant medication use and sports participation had the greatest impact on estimated cost-effectiveness. CONCLUSION:Results based on assumptions favoring sudden cardiac death screening indicated that its cost is high relative to its health benefits.
journal_name
Circulationjournal_title
Circulationauthors
Leslie LK,Cohen JT,Newburger JW,Alexander ME,Wong JB,Sherwin ED,Rodday AM,Parsons SK,Triedman JKdoi
10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.111.087940subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2012-05-29 00:00:00pages
2621-9issue
21eissn
0009-7322issn
1524-4539pii
CIRCULATIONAHA.111.087940journal_volume
125pub_type
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