Abstract:
:A risk prediction model is a statistical tool for estimating the probability that a currently healthy individual with specific risk factors will develop a condition in the future such as breast cancer. Reliably accurate prediction models can inform future disease burdens, health policies and individual decisions. Breast cancer prediction models containing modifiable risk factors, such as alcohol consumption, BMI or weight, condom use, exogenous hormone use and physical activity, are of particular interest to women who might be considering how to reduce their risk of breast cancer and clinicians developing health policies to reduce population incidence rates. We performed a systematic review to identify and evaluate the performance of prediction models for breast cancer that contain modifiable factors. A protocol was developed and a sensitive search in databases including MEDLINE and EMBASE was conducted in June 2010. Extensive use was made of reference lists. Included were any articles proposing or validating a breast cancer prediction model in a general female population, with no language restrictions. Duplicate data extraction and quality assessment were conducted. Results were summarised qualitatively, and where possible meta-analysis of model performance statistics was undertaken. The systematic review found 17 breast cancer models, each containing a different but often overlapping set of modifiable and other risk factors, combined with an estimated baseline risk that was also often different. Quality of reporting was generally poor, with characteristics of included participants and fitted model results often missing. Only four models received independent validation in external data, most notably the 'Gail 2' model with 12 validations. None of the models demonstrated consistently outstanding ability to accurately discriminate between those who did and those who did not develop breast cancer. For example, random-effects meta-analyses of the performance of the 'Gail 2' model showed the average C statistic was 0.63 (95% CI 0.59-0.67), and the expected/observed ratio of events varied considerably across studies (95% prediction interval for E/O ratio when the model was applied in practice was 0.75-1.19). There is a need for models with better predictive performance but, given the large amount of work already conducted, further improvement of existing models based on conventional risk factors is perhaps unlikely. Research to identify new risk factors with large additionally predictive ability is therefore needed, alongside clearer reporting and continual validation of new models as they develop.
journal_name
Breast Cancer Res Treatjournal_title
Breast cancer research and treatmentauthors
Meads C,Ahmed I,Riley RDdoi
10.1007/s10549-011-1818-2subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2012-04-01 00:00:00pages
365-77issue
2eissn
0167-6806issn
1573-7217journal_volume
132pub_type
杂志文章,meta分析,评审abstract::The use of molecular components from both normal and neoplastic breast tissue as markers for breast tumors has long been recognized as of major potential for breast cancer diagnosis, and has been an area of active research. Recent developments in immunological approaches have further stimulated this field by permittin...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/BF01806776
更新日期:1985-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::A novel region of amplification in breast tumors was recently identified on chromosome 17q23. Extensive mapping of the amplicon by Southern blotting and fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) in breast cancer cell lines determined that the amplicon can be up to 4 Mbp in size and may contain 50 genes. Copy number an...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1023/a:1023081624133
更新日期:2003-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Bone morphogenetic proteins (BMPs) regulate diverse cellular processes, such as proliferation, differentiation, and apoptosis. The BMPs have been studied in several cancers, but thus far contradictory results have been obtained and, especially in breast cancer, information on BMPs is still limited. We performed a syst...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-006-9362-1
更新日期:2007-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Over the past two decades, the simple model for control of breast cancer growth involving one or two factors acting directly or indirectly via endocrine pathways has turned into a complex model implicating numerous interacting factors and the diverse cell populations constituting breast tumors. Current approaches to b...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1007/BF00683193
更新日期:1993-01-01 00:00:00
abstract:PURPOSE:Nuclear factor E2-related factor 2 (NRF2) is a transcription factor that plays a major role in the regulation of intracellular antioxidant response. The effect of NRF2 overexpression in many malignancies is still unclear and recent meta-analysis correlated NRF2 overexpression with poor prognosis in a variety of...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章,meta分析
doi:10.1007/s10549-019-05494-4
更新日期:2020-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::In view of the essential role of transforming growth factorβ1 (TGFB1) on both inhibiting the development of early benign breast tumors as well as promoting tumor invasion, the association of TGFB1 L10P polymorphism and breast cancer risk has been widely reported, but results of previous studies were somewhat contradic...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章,meta分析,评审
doi:10.1007/s10549-010-0843-x
更新日期:2010-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::We examined the factors associated with screening mammography adherence behaviors and influencing factors on women's attitudes toward mammography in non-adherent women. Design-based logistic regression models were developed to characterize the influencing factors, including socio-demographic, health related, behaviora...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-014-2850-9
更新日期:2014-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::The ability of the antiangiogenic agents TNP-470 and minocycline, singly or in combination, to potentiate the antitumor effects of several cytotoxic therapies was assessed in the murine EMT-6 mammary carcinoma as well as in two drug resistant sublines of that tumor designated EMT-6/CTX and EMT-6/CDDP. The antiangiogen...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/BF00666043
更新日期:1995-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Breast cancer (BC) is a common disease that generally occurs in women over the age of 50, and the risk is especially high for women over 60 years of age. One of the major BC therapeutic problems is that tumors initially responsive to chemotherapeutic approaches can progress to more aggressive forms poorly responsive t...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1007/s10549-014-3156-7
更新日期:2014-11-01 00:00:00
abstract::Many epidemiologic features of breast cancer suggest that endogenous hormones are of importance in the genesis of this disease. Endocrinologic studies based on total levels of various hormones in serum and urine have provided etiologic clues, but have failed to yield a clear understanding of the hormonal aberrations t...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:
更新日期:1986-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Paclitaxel and vinorelbine are among the most active new agents in metastatic breast cancer. Both in vitro and in vivo studies have shown that the combined administration of these two microtubule-targeting agents is feasible and worthwhile. Based on the promising preclinical data, patients with metastatic breast cance...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 临床试验,杂志文章
doi:10.1023/a:1005848921895
更新日期:1998-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Experimental evidence provides strong support for anti-carcinogenic effects of calcium and vitamin D with respect to breast cancer. Observational epidemiologic data also provide some support for inverse associations with risk. We tested the effect of calcium plus vitamin D supplementation on risk of benign proliferati...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章,多中心研究,随机对照试验
doi:10.1007/s10549-008-0213-0
更新日期:2009-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::To determine whether recent genome-wide association studies that reported 45 susceptibility loci in European women are also risk factors for breast cancer in Chinese women. We selected and genotyped 40 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) using the Sequenom iPlex platform in a female Chinese cohort of 2,901 breast c...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-014-3041-4
更新日期:2014-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::The pp32 gene family consists of at least three closely related members, pp32, pp32r1 and pp32r2. In spite of a high degree of identity at the nucleotide level, pp32 functionally behaves as a tumor suppressor where as pp32r1 and pp32r2 are pro-oncogenic. The purpose of this pilot study was to determine pp32-related ex...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1023/a:1017919507109
更新日期:2001-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Loss of heterozygosity (LOH) in loci of the 10q23 region that harbor the PTEN gene and mutations in the sequence of this gene have been found in several primary human tumors including breast carcinomas, suggesting that this gene could be implicated in their pathogenesis. We investigated allelic losses in microsatellit...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1023/a:1006273516976
更新日期:1999-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Nicotine, a main addictive compound in tobacco smoke, has been linked to promotion and progression of lung, head and neck, pancreatic, and breast cancers, but the detailed mechanisms of cancer progression remain elusive. Here, we show that nicotine induces the expression of galectin-3 (an anti-apoptotic β-galactoside-...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-014-2912-z
更新日期:2014-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::A model for a more precise prognosis of the risk of relapse is needed to avoid overtreatment of lymph node-negative breast cancer patients. A large derivation data set (n = 684) was generated by pooling three independent breast cancer expression microarray data sets. Two major prognostic factors, proliferation and imm...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-011-1626-8
更新日期:2012-04-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:The Z0011 trial initiated a paradigm shift in the axillary treatment of breast cancer patients with a positive sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB), disregarding patients with a positive ultrasound-guided lymph node biopsy (UGLNB). We examined whether relevant differences exist between these patients to determi...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-017-4342-1
更新日期:2017-10-01 00:00:00
abstract:PURPOSE:Breast cancer is a leading cause of cancer deaths in women, but despite steady improvements in therapies, treatment is still suboptimal. Immunotherapy holds promise as a more effective therapy for breast cancer; supporting this, our prior study showed that patients possessing HER2-reactive CD8+ T cells in blood...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-016-4037-z
更新日期:2017-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::The rate of contralateral prophylactic mastectomy (CPM) is rising rapidly, despite limited evidence about the procedure's relative benefits and harms. The objective of this study is to examine the impact of CPM on life expectancy (LE) and quality-adjusted life expectancy (QALE) in women with sporadic unilateral breast...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-015-3462-8
更新日期:2015-07-01 00:00:00
abstract:PURPOSE:Body composition parameters including low muscle mass, muscle attenuation (which reflects muscle quality) and adipose tissue measurements have emerged as prognostic factors in cancer patients. However, knowledge regarding the possibility of excessive muscle loss during specific systemic therapies is unknown. We...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-017-4574-0
更新日期:2018-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Estrogen has an important role in stimulating the growth of breast carcinomas. Inhibition of estrogen production is therefore a logical treatment strategy. A number of selective inhibitors have been developed against aromatase, a cytochrome P-450 enzyme which catalyzes the rate limiting step in the biosynthesis of est...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1007/BF00682736
更新日期:1994-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::In the last decade, percutaneous breast biopsies have become a standard for the management of breast diseases. Biopsy clips allow for precise lesion localization, thus minimizing the volume of breast to be resected at the time of surgery. With the development of many imaging techniques (including mammography, sonograp...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1007/s10549-011-1847-x
更新日期:2012-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Carcinoma of the breast is very rare in childhood, accounting for less than 1% of all childhood malignancies and is especially rare in boys. Delay in diagnosis and treatment in children with breast cancer may occur because surgeons are very reluctant to perform biopsies on the developing breast, since these can cause ...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1007/s10549-011-1869-4
更新日期:2012-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Genome-wide Association Studies (GWAS) revealed novel genetic markers for breast cancer susceptibility. But little is known about the risk factors and molecular events associated with breast cancer in Arab Population. Therefore, we designed a broad study to investigate the susceptibility and prognostic implications of...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-012-2202-6
更新日期:2012-10-01 00:00:00
abstract:PURPOSE:We sought to determine if bioimpedance spectroscopy (BIS) measurements can accurately assess changes in breast cancer-related lymphedema (BCRL) in patients undergoing lymphovenous bypass (LVB). METHODS:Patients undergoing LVB for BCRL refractory to conservative treatment from 1/2015 to 12/2018 were identified ...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1007/s10549-020-06059-6
更新日期:2021-01-04 00:00:00
abstract::Novel agents for the endocrine therapy of breast cancer are needed, especially in order to take advantage of the multiple consecutive responses observed in metastatic progressing breast cancer following previous hormone therapy, thus delaying the use of cytotoxic chemotherapy with its frequent poor tolerance and serio...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-012-2104-7
更新日期:2012-07-01 00:00:00
abstract:BACKGROUND:There are concerns regarding local toxicity when IORT is applied in Asian women with a smaller breast volume than that of Western women. Trials are required to develop safety profiles for this technique. The aim of this trial was to evaluate acute toxicity after intra-operative radiotherapy (IORT) with low-e...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-018-5038-x
更新日期:2019-02-01 00:00:00
abstract::Obesity and metabolic syndrome are risk and prognostic factors for breast cancer (BC) and are associated with chronic inflammation. We investigated the association between distinct BC subtypes and markers of adiposity, dysmetabolisms, and inflammation. We analyzed 1779 patients with primary invasive BC treated at a si...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-016-3802-3
更新日期:2016-05-01 00:00:00
abstract:PURPOSE:Mitochondrial unfolding protein are abundant in breast cancer cells, but the mechanism by which breast cancer cells resist apoptosis is still not fully elucidated. In this study, we explored the role of mitochondrial unfolded protein response (mtUPR)-related proteins in four types of breast cancer tissues. MET...
journal_title:Breast cancer research and treatment
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1007/s10549-020-05729-9
更新日期:2020-08-01 00:00:00