Forecasting the future of cardiovascular disease in the United States: a policy statement from the American Heart Association.

Abstract:

BACKGROUND:Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of death in the United States and is responsible for 17% of national health expenditures. As the population ages, these costs are expected to increase substantially. METHODS AND RESULTS:To prepare for future cardiovascular care needs, the American Heart Association developed methodology to project future costs of care for hypertension, coronary heart disease, heart failure, stroke, and all other CVD from 2010 to 2030. This methodology avoided double counting of costs for patients with multiple cardiovascular conditions. By 2030, 40.5% of the US population is projected to have some form of CVD. Between 2010 and 2030, real (2008$) total direct medical costs of CVD are projected to triple, from $273 billion to $818 billion. Real indirect costs (due to lost productivity) for all CVD are estimated to increase from $172 billion in 2010 to $276 billion in 2030, an increase of 61%. CONCLUSIONS:These findings indicate CVD prevalence and costs are projected to increase substantially. Effective prevention strategies are needed if we are to limit the growing burden of CVD.

journal_name

Circulation

journal_title

Circulation

authors

Heidenreich PA,Trogdon JG,Khavjou OA,Butler J,Dracup K,Ezekowitz MD,Finkelstein EA,Hong Y,Johnston SC,Khera A,Lloyd-Jones DM,Nelson SA,Nichol G,Orenstein D,Wilson PW,Woo YJ,American Heart Association Advocacy Coordinating

doi

10.1161/CIR.0b013e31820a55f5

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2011-03-01 00:00:00

pages

933-44

issue

8

eissn

0009-7322

issn

1524-4539

pii

CIR.0b013e31820a55f5

journal_volume

123

pub_type

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