Changes in short- and long-term cardiovascular risk of incident diabetes and incident myocardial infarction--a nationwide study.

Abstract:

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS:We assessed secular trends of cardiovascular outcomes following first diagnosis of myocardial infarction (MI) or diabetes in an unselected population. METHODS:All Danish residents aged > or = 30 years without prior diabetes or MI were identified by individual-level linkage of nationwide registers. Individuals hospitalised with MI or claiming a first-time prescription for a glucose-lowering medication (GLM) during the period from 1997 to 2006 were included. Analyses were by Poisson regression models. Primary endpoints were death by all causes, cardiovascular death and MI. RESULTS:The study included 3,092,580 individuals, of whom 77,147 had incident MI and 118,247 new-onset diabetes. MI patients had an increased short-term risk of all endpoints compared with the general population. The rate ratio (RR) for cardiovascular death within the first year after MI was 11.1 (95% CI 10.8-11.5) in men and 14.8 (14.3-15.3) in women, respectively. The risk rapidly declined and 1 year after the index MI, RR was 2.11 (2.00-2.23) and 2.8 (2.64-2.97) in men and women, respectively. Patients with diabetes carried a constantly elevated risk of all endpoints compared with the general population. The cardiovascular death RR was 1.90 (1.77-2.04) and 1.92 (1.78-2.07) in men and women, respectively during the first year after GLM initiation. CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION:Incident MI is associated with high short-term risk, which decreases rapidly over time. Incident diabetes is associated with a persistent excessive cardiovascular risk after initiation of GLM therapy. This further strengthens the necessity of early multi-factorial intervention in diabetes patients for long-term benefit.

journal_name

Diabetologia

journal_title

Diabetologia

authors

Norgaard ML,Andersen SS,Schramm TK,Folke F,Jørgensen CH,Hansen ML,Andersson C,Bretler DM,Vaag A,Køber L,Torp-Pedersen C,Gislason GH

doi

10.1007/s00125-010-1783-z

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2010-08-01 00:00:00

pages

1612-9

issue

8

eissn

0012-186X

issn

1432-0428

journal_volume

53

pub_type

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