Adjusting for verification bias in diagnostic test evaluation: a Bayesian approach.

Abstract:

:Obtaining accurate estimates of the performance of a diagnostic test for some population of patients might be difficult when the sample of subjects used for this purpose is not representative for the whole population. Thus, in the motivating example of this paper a test is evaluated by comparing its results with those given by a gold standard procedure, which yields the disease status verification. However, this procedure is invasive and has a non-negligible risk of serious complications. Moreover, subjects are selected to undergo the gold standard based on some risk factors and the results of the test under study. The test performance estimates based on the selected sample of subjects are biased. This problem was presented in previous studies under the name of verification bias. The current paper introduces a Bayesian method to adjust for this bias, which can be regarded as a missing data problem. In addition, it addresses the case of non-ignorable verification bias. The proposed Bayesian estimation approach provides test performance estimates that are consistent with the results obtained using likelihood-based approach. In addition, the paper studies how valuable the statistical findings are from the perspective of clinical decision making.

journal_name

Stat Med

journal_title

Statistics in medicine

authors

Buzoianu M,Kadane JB

doi

10.1002/sim.3099

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2008-06-15 00:00:00

pages

2453-73

issue

13

eissn

0277-6715

issn

1097-0258

journal_volume

27

pub_type

杂志文章
  • A cost-function approach to the design of reliability studies.

    abstract::We present a method to determine the number of subjects, k, and number of repeated measurements, n, that minimize the overall cost of conducting a reliability study, while providing acceptable power for tests of hypotheses concerning the reliability coefficient rho. Tables showing optimal choices of k and n under vari...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780060602

    authors: Eliasziw M,Donner A

    更新日期:1987-09-01 00:00:00

  • A robust goodness-of-fit test statistic with application to ordinal regression models.

    abstract::We propose a goodness-of-fit test statistic for linear regression with heterogeneous variance, which is asymptotically chi-square if the given model is correct. The test statistic is computed as a quadratic form of observed minus predicted responses. We apply the method to a linear regression for an ordinal categorica...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780130205

    authors: Lipsitz SR,Buoncristiani JF

    更新日期:1994-01-30 00:00:00

  • Joint modeling of repeated multivariate cognitive measures and competing risks of dementia and death: a latent process and latent class approach.

    abstract::Joint models initially dedicated to a single longitudinal marker and a single time-to-event need to be extended to account for the rich longitudinal data of cohort studies. Multiple causes of clinical progression are indeed usually observed, and multiple longitudinal markers are collected when the true latent trait of...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6731

    authors: Proust-Lima C,Dartigues JF,Jacqmin-Gadda H

    更新日期:2016-02-10 00:00:00

  • Considerations for analysis of time-to-event outcomes measured with error: Bias and correction with SIMEX.

    abstract::For time-to-event outcomes, a rich literature exists on the bias introduced by covariate measurement error in regression models, such as the Cox model, and methods of analysis to address this bias. By comparison, less attention has been given to understanding the impact or addressing errors in the failure time outcome...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7554

    authors: Oh EJ,Shepherd BE,Lumley T,Shaw PA

    更新日期:2018-04-15 00:00:00

  • Genetic association studies with bivariate mixed responses subject to measurement error and misclassification.

    abstract::In genetic association studies, mixed effects models have been widely used in detecting the pleiotropy effects which occur when one gene affects multiple phenotype traits. In particular, bivariate mixed effects models are useful for describing the association of a gene with a continuous trait and a binary trait. Howev...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.8688

    authors: Zhang Q,Yi GY

    更新日期:2020-11-20 00:00:00

  • Measuring vaccine efficacy from epidemics of acute infectious agents.

    abstract::A good measure of field vaccine efficacy should evaluate the direct protective effect of vaccination on the person who receives the vaccine. The conventional estimator for vaccine efficacy depends on population level factors that are either unrelated or indirectly related to the direct biological action of the vaccine...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780120309

    authors: Longini IM Jr,Halloran ME,Haber M,Chen RT

    更新日期:1993-02-01 00:00:00

  • Estimation of the mediation effect with a binary mediator.

    abstract::A mediator acts as a third variable in the causal pathway between a risk factor and an outcome. In this paper, we consider the estimation of the mediation effect when the mediator is a binary variable. We give a precise definition of the mediation effect and examine asymptotic properties of five different estimators o...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2730

    authors: Li Y,Schneider JA,Bennett DA

    更新日期:2007-08-15 00:00:00

  • An illness-death stochastic model in the analysis of longitudinal dementia data.

    abstract::A significant source of missing data in longitudinal epidemiological studies on elderly individuals is death. Subjects in large scale community-based longitudinal dementia studies are usually evaluated for disease status in study waves, not under continuous surveillance as in traditional cohort studies. Therefore, for...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.1506

    authors: Harezlak J,Gao S,Hui SL

    更新日期:2003-05-15 00:00:00

  • A joint model for interval-censored functional decline trajectories under informative observation.

    abstract::Multi-state models are useful for modelling disease progression where the state space of the process is used to represent the discrete disease status of subjects. Often, the disease process is only observed at clinical visits, and the schedule of these visits can depend on the disease status of patients. In such situa...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6582

    authors: Lesperance ML,Sabelnykova V,Nathoo FS,Lau F,Downing MG

    更新日期:2015-12-20 00:00:00

  • Exact approaches for testing hypotheses based on the intra-class kappa coefficient.

    abstract::Testing involving the intra-class kappa coefficient is commonly performed in order to assess agreement involving categorical ratings. A number of procedures have been proposed, which make use of the limiting null distribution as the sample size goes to infinity in order to compute the observed significance. As with ma...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6135

    authors: Wilding GE,Consiglio JD,Shan G

    更新日期:2014-07-30 00:00:00

  • An examination of the efficiency of some quality assurance methods commonly employed in clinical trials.

    abstract::The cost and efficiency of training clinical centre staff and of duplicate data entry in clinical trials is reviewed. Training is an essential component of quality assurance programmes and it is usually carried out at regular intervals in long-term clinical trials. Initial training of staff and regular retraining is i...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780090118

    authors: Neaton JD,Duchene AG,Svendsen KH,Wentworth D

    更新日期:1990-01-01 00:00:00

  • Cross calibration in longitudinal studies.

    abstract::In a long-running longitudinal study using complex machinery to obtain measurements, it is sometimes necessary to replace the machine. This can result in lack of continuity in the measurements that can overwhelm any treatment effect or time trend. We propose a Bayesian procedure implemented using Markov chain Monte Ca...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.1868

    authors: Ambrosius WT,Hui SL

    更新日期:2004-09-30 00:00:00

  • Simultaneous modelling of operative mortality and long-term survival after coronary artery bypass surgery.

    abstract::Typical analyses of lifetime data treat the time to death or failure as the response variable and use a variety of modelling strategies such as proportional hazards or fully parametric, to investigate the relationship between the response and covariates. In certain circumstances it may be more natural to view the dist...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.822

    authors: Ghahramani M,Dean CB,Spinelli JJ

    更新日期:2001-07-15 00:00:00

  • A multiple imputation strategy for incomplete longitudinal data.

    abstract::Longitudinal studies are commonly used to study processes of change. Because data are collected over time, missing data are pervasive in longitudinal studies, and complete ascertainment of all variables is rare. In this paper a new imputation strategy for completing longitudinal data sets is proposed. The proposed met...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.740

    authors: Landrum MB,Becker MP

    更新日期:2001-09-15 00:00:00

  • A new sequential procedure for surveillance of Down's syndrome.

    abstract::A new method is proposed for the surveillance of Down's syndrome among newborn. Despite the strong dependence of overall risk of Down's syndrome on maternal age, it has been suggested that an environmentally induced increase in risk may be additive over all maternal ages. The surveillance method introduced here is spe...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780120104

    authors: Lie RT,Heuch I,Irgens LM

    更新日期:1993-01-15 00:00:00

  • Analysis of matched case-control data with multiple ordered disease states: possible choices and comparisons.

    abstract::In an individually matched case-control study, effects of potential risk factors are ascertained through conditional logistic regression (CLR). Extension of CLR to situations with multiple disease or reference categories has been made through polychotomous CLR and is shown to be more efficient than carrying out separa...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2790

    authors: Mukherjee B,Liu I,Sinha S

    更新日期:2007-07-30 00:00:00

  • Power and money in cluster randomized trials: when is it worth measuring a covariate?

    abstract::The power to detect a treatment effect in cluster randomized trials can be increased by increasing the number of clusters. An alternative is to include covariates into the regression model that relates treatment condition to outcome. In this paper, formulae are derived in order to evaluate both strategies on basis of ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.2297

    authors: Moerbeek M

    更新日期:2006-08-15 00:00:00

  • Posterior predictive model checks for disease mapping models.

    abstract::Disease incidence or disease mortality rates for small areas are often displayed on maps. Maps of raw rates, disease counts divided by the total population at risk, have been criticized as unreliable due to non-constant variance associated with heterogeneity in base population size. This has led to the use of model-ba...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/1097-0258(20000915/30)19:17/18<2377::aid-s

    authors: Stern HS,Cressie N

    更新日期:2000-09-15 00:00:00

  • Variation in heart disease mortality across census tracts as a function of overdispersion and social class mixture.

    abstract::Variation in heart disease (HD) mortality rates across census tracts is greater than expected given binomial error and available explanatory variables. We extended an extra-binomial variation model for rates standardized by the direct method. The overdispersion parameter accounted for 36 per cent of the observed varia...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780091009

    authors: Jarjoura D,Logue E

    更新日期:1990-10-01 00:00:00

  • Nonparametric group sequential methods for recurrent and terminal events from multiple follow-up windows.

    abstract::Few methods are currently available for group sequential analysis of recurrent events data subject to a terminal event in the clinical trial setting. This research helps fill this gap by developing a completely nonparametric group sequential monitoring procedure for use with the two-sample Tayob and Murray statistic. ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.8389

    authors: Xia M,Murray S,Tayob N

    更新日期:2019-12-30 00:00:00

  • Robust versus consistent variance estimators in marginal structural Cox models.

    abstract::In survival analyses, inverse-probability-of-treatment (IPT) and inverse-probability-of-censoring (IPC) weighted estimators of parameters in marginal structural Cox models are often used to estimate treatment effects in the presence of time-dependent confounding and censoring. In most applications, a robust variance e...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7823

    authors: Enders D,Engel S,Linder R,Pigeot I

    更新日期:2018-10-30 00:00:00

  • Measurement error in continuous endpoints in randomised trials: Problems and solutions.

    abstract::In randomised trials, continuous endpoints are often measured with some degree of error. This study explores the impact of ignoring measurement error and proposes methods to improve statistical inference in the presence of measurement error. Three main types of measurement error in continuous endpoints are considered:...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.8359

    authors: Nab L,Groenwold RHH,Welsing PMJ,van Smeden M

    更新日期:2019-11-30 00:00:00

  • Modelling the geographical distribution of co-infection risk from single-disease surveys.

    abstract:BACKGROUND:The need to deliver interventions targeting multiple diseases in a cost-effective manner calls for integrated disease control efforts. Consequently, maps are required that show where the risk of co-infection is particularly high. Co-infection risk is preferably estimated via Bayesian geostatistical multinomi...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4243

    authors: Schur N,Gosoniu L,Raso G,Utzinger J,Vounatsou P

    更新日期:2011-06-30 00:00:00

  • Causal inference in survival analysis using pseudo-observations.

    abstract::Causal inference for non-censored response variables, such as binary or quantitative outcomes, is often based on either (1) direct standardization ('G-formula') or (2) inverse probability of treatment assignment weights ('propensity score'). To do causal inference in survival analysis, one needs to address right-censo...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7297

    authors: Andersen PK,Syriopoulou E,Parner ET

    更新日期:2017-07-30 00:00:00

  • Maximum likelihood estimation of the kappa coefficient from models of matched binary responses.

    abstract::We present an estimate of the kappa-coefficient of agreement between two methods of rating based on matched pairs of binary responses and show that the estimate depends on the common intraclass correlation coefficient between the pairs. Via Monte Carlo simulation, we investigate power of the test of significance on ka...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.4780140109

    authors: Shoukri MM,Martin SW,Mian IU

    更新日期:1995-01-15 00:00:00

  • Statistical inferences for data from studies conducted with an aggregated multivariate outcome-dependent sample design.

    abstract::Outcome-dependent sampling (ODS) scheme is a cost-effective sampling scheme where one observes the exposure with a probability that depends on the outcome. The well-known such design is the case-control design for binary response, the case-cohort design for the failure time data, and the general ODS design for a conti...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.7195

    authors: Lu TS,Longnecker MP,Zhou H

    更新日期:2017-03-15 00:00:00

  • Policy developments in regulatory approval.

    abstract::Although radical changes in drug regulation are rare (e.g., the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act of 1938 and the 1962 amendment to the Act creating an effectiveness requirement), regulations and guidance do evolve significantly in the face of new problems and accumulating experience. Recent changes have been driven...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.1298

    authors: Temple R

    更新日期:2002-10-15 00:00:00

  • An empirical Bayes method for studying variation in knee replacement rates.

    abstract::Knee replacement is the most commonly used surgical treatment for knee arthritis. It has been reported that knee replacement rates vary across both regions and counties. This paper used data from Medicare patients to develop explanations for the variation. One problem with our data is that we do not have patient level...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(19960915)15:17<1875::AID-S

    authors: Zhou XH,Katz BP,Holleman E,Melfi CA,Dittus R

    更新日期:1996-09-15 00:00:00

  • Multiple outputation for the analysis of longitudinal data subject to irregular observation.

    abstract::Observational cohort studies often feature longitudinal data subject to irregular observation. Moreover, the timings of observations may be associated with the underlying disease process and must thus be accounted for when analysing the data. This paper suggests that multiple outputation, which consists of repeatedly ...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6829

    authors: Pullenayegum EM

    更新日期:2016-05-20 00:00:00

  • Using pilot data to size a two-arm randomized trial to find a nearly optimal personalized treatment strategy.

    abstract::A personalized treatment strategy formalizes evidence-based treatment selection by mapping patient information to a recommended treatment. Personalized treatment strategies can produce better patient outcomes while reducing cost and treatment burden. Thus, among clinical and intervention scientists, there is a growing...

    journal_title:Statistics in medicine

    pub_type: 杂志文章

    doi:10.1002/sim.6783

    authors: Laber EB,Zhao YQ,Regh T,Davidian M,Tsiatis A,Stanford JB,Zeng D,Song R,Kosorok MR

    更新日期:2016-04-15 00:00:00