The coming epidemic of obesity in elderly Americans.

Abstract:

OBJECTIVES:To estimate the prevalence of obesity in elderly Americans in 2010 and to discuss the health and economic implications of these estimates. DESIGN:Three methods of generating future point-prevalence estimates using data from consecutive cross-sectional studies. SETTING:All regions of the United States. PARTICIPANTS:Estimates were based on five nationally representative surveys of the adult population of the United States, conducted from 1960 to 2000, and population estimates from the U.S. Census Bureau. MEASUREMENTS:Changes in obesity (body mass index (BMI) > or =30 kg/m(2)) and normal weight (BMI <25 kg/m(2)) prevalence for men and women by 10-year U.S. birth cohorts were examined. The prevalence of obesity and normal weight in the elderly in 2010 was estimated under three different scenarios of obesity prevalence change. RESULTS:It was estimated that the prevalence of obesity in adults aged 60 and older will increase from 32.0% in 2000 to 37.4% in 2010 (range 33.6-39.6%). The number of obese adults aged 60 and older will increase from 14.6 to 20.9 million (range 18.8-22.2 million). Similarly, it was estimated that the prevalence of normal weight among adults aged 60 and older will decrease from 30.6% in 2000 to 26.7% in 2010 (range 31.0-24.7%). CONCLUSION:The prevalence of obesity in elderly Americans will likely continue to increase, challenging healthcare delivery and financing systems in the United States.

journal_name

J Am Geriatr Soc

authors

Arterburn DE,Crane PK,Sullivan SD

doi

10.1111/j.1532-5415.2004.52517.x

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2004-11-01 00:00:00

pages

1907-12

issue

11

eissn

0002-8614

issn

1532-5415

pii

JGS52517

journal_volume

52

pub_type

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