A general statistical principle for changing a design any time during the course of a trial.

Abstract:

:A general method is presented that allows the researcher to change statistical design elements such as the residual sample size during the course of an experiment, to include an interim analysis for early stopping when no formal rule for early stopping was foreseen, to increase or reduce the number of planned interim analyses, to change time points and the type I error spending function for the further design of interim analyses, or to change the test statistic, the outcome measure, etc. At the time of a pre-planned interim analysis for early stopping or at any time of an interim look without spending part of the type I error level the method offers the option to completely redesign the remaining part of the trial, without affecting the type I error level. The method is described in the usual Brownian motion model and extended to the general context of statistical decision functions. It is based on the conditional rejection probability of a decision variable.

journal_name

Stat Med

journal_title

Statistics in medicine

authors

Müller HH,Schäfer H

doi

10.1002/sim.1852

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2004-08-30 00:00:00

pages

2497-508

issue

16

eissn

0277-6715

issn

1097-0258

journal_volume

23

pub_type

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