Both decreased and increased heart rate variability on the standard 10-second electrocardiogram predict cardiac mortality in the elderly: the Rotterdam Study.

Abstract:

:Decreased heart rate variability has been associated with an adverse prognosis in patients after myocardial infarction. Studies carried out in the population at large show contradictory results. The authors examined the association between heart rate variability on a standard 10-second electrocardiogram and cardiac and all-cause mortality in the Rotterdam Study, a population-based cohort study of men and women aged > or =55 years, using data collected between 1990 and 1996 (mean follow-up = 4 years). Heart rate variability, taken as the standard deviation of normal R-R intervals (SDNN), was computed by means of the Modular ECG Analysis System. After exclusion of subjects with arrhythmia and those with fewer than six normal R-R intervals, the study population consisted of 2,088 men and 3,184 women. Cox's proportional hazards model was used to examine the age- and sex-adjusted risk for cardiac, noncardiac, and total mortality in relation to quartiles of SDNN, using the third quartile of SDNN as the reference category. Subjects in the lowest quartile of SDNN relative to those in the third quartile had an 80 percent age- and sex-adjusted increased risk for cardiac mortality (hazard ratio = 1.8; 95% confidence interval: 1.0, 3.2). Interestingly, for subjects in the highest quartile of SDNN, an even more pronounced risk for cardiac mortality was present (hazard ratio = 2.3; 95% confidence interval: 1.3, 4.0). Additional adjustment for possible confounders did not materially change the risk estimates. The authors conclude that heart rate variability measured on the standard 10-second electrocardiogram can be used to identify older men and women with an increased risk for cardiac mortality. In the elderly, increased heart rate variability is an even stronger indicator of cardiac mortality than decreased heart rate variability. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings and to elucidate their physiologic meaning.

journal_name

Am J Epidemiol

authors

de Bruyne MC,Kors JA,Hoes AW,Klootwijk P,Dekker JM,Hofman A,van Bemmel JH,Grobbee DE

doi

10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a009959

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

1999-12-15 00:00:00

pages

1282-8

issue

12

eissn

0002-9262

issn

1476-6256

journal_volume

150

pub_type

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