Leprosy in Brazil in the 21st century: analysis of epidemiological and operational indicators using inflection point regression.

Abstract:

:The objective of this study was to analyze the trend of epidemiological and operational indicators of leprosy in Brazil, from 2001 to 2017. This was a time series study involving nine indicators. The inflection point regression model was used. Decreasing trends were observed for the following: general detection (-4.8%), children under 15 (-3.7%), prevalence (-7.0%), and grade 2/million inhabitants (-3.5%). The proportion of individuals with grade 2 disability showed an upward trend (2.0%) from 2001 as well as contacts examined from 2003 (5.0%). The proportions of cure and of individuals with a degree of disability assessed at the time of the diagnosis and the cure showed a stationary behavior. Although advances are noted, there are still challenges to be overcome.

journal_name

An Bras Dermatol

authors

Souza CDF,Paiva JPS,Leal TC,Urashima GDS

doi

10.1016/j.abd.2019.09.031

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2020-01-01 00:00:00

pages

743-747

issue

6

eissn

0365-0596

issn

1806-4841

pii

S0365-0596(20)30232-4

journal_volume

95

pub_type

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