The rise of COVID-19 cases is associated with support for world leaders.

Abstract:

:COVID-19 has emerged as one of the deadliest and most disruptive events in recent human history. Drawing from political science and psychological theories, we examine the effects of daily confirmed cases in a country on citizens' support for the political leader through the first 120 d of 2020. Using three unique datasets which comprise daily approval ratings of head of government (n = 1,411,200) across 11 world leaders (Australia, Brazil, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, India, Japan, Mexico, the United Kingdom, and the United States) and weekly approval ratings of governors across the 50 states in the United States (n = 912,048), we find a strong and significant positive association between new daily confirmed and total confirmed COVID-19 cases in the country and support for the heads of government. These analyses show that political leaders received a boost in approval in the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic. Moreover, these findings suggest that the previously documented "rally 'round the flag" effect applies beyond just intergroup conflict.

authors

Yam KC,Jackson JC,Barnes CM,Lau J,Qin X,Lee HY

doi

10.1073/pnas.2009252117

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2020-10-13 00:00:00

pages

25429-25433

issue

41

eissn

0027-8424

issn

1091-6490

pii

2009252117

journal_volume

117

pub_type

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