Abstract：
:Since the spring 2018, a large part of Europe has been in the midst of a record-setting drought. Using long-term observations, we demonstrate that the occurrence of the 2018-2019 (consecutive) summer drought is unprecedented in the last 250 years, and its combined impact on the growing season vegetation activities is stronger compared to the 2003 European drought. Using a suite of climate model simulation outputs, we underpin the role of anthropogenic warming on exacerbating the future risk of such a consecutive drought event. Under the highest Representative Concentration Pathway, (RCP 8.5), we notice a seven-fold increase in the occurrence of the consecutive droughts, with additional 40 ([Formula: see text]) million ha of cultivated areas being affected by such droughts, during the second half of the twenty-first century. The occurrence is significantly reduced under low and medium scenarios (RCP 2.6 and RCP 4.5), suggesting that an effective mitigation strategy could aid in reducing the risk of future consecutive droughts.
journal_name
Sci Repjournal_title
Scientific reportsauthors
Hari V,Rakovec O,Markonis Y,Hanel M,Kumar Rdoi
10.1038/s41598-020-68872-9subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2020-08-06 00:00:00pages
12207issue
1issn
2045-2322pii
10.1038/s41598-020-68872-9journal_volume
10pub_type
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