Indian Ocean Dipole in CMIP5 and CMIP6: characteristics, biases, and links to ENSO.

Abstract:

:Accurately representing the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is crucial for reliable climate predictions and future projections. However, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and IOD interact, making it necessary to evaluate ENSO and IOD simultaneously. Using the historical simulation from 32 fifth phase of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) models and 34 CMIP6 models, here we find that there are some modest changes in the basic characteristics of the IOD and ENSO from CMIP5 to CMIP6. Firstly, there is a slight shift in the seasonality of IOD toward an earlier peak in September in CMIP6, from November in CMIP5. Secondly, inter-model spread in the frequency of ENSO and the IOD has reduced in CMIP6 relative to CMIP5. ENSO asymmetry is still underestimated in CMIP6, based on the skewness of the Niño3 index, while the IOD skewness has degraded from CMIP5. Finally, mean state SST biases impact on the strength of the IOD; the Pacific cold tongue mean state is important in CMIP5, but in CMIP6 the Pacific warm pool mean state is more important.

journal_name

Sci Rep

journal_title

Scientific reports

authors

McKenna S,Santoso A,Gupta AS,Taschetto AS,Cai W

doi

10.1038/s41598-020-68268-9

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2020-07-13 00:00:00

pages

11500

issue

1

issn

2045-2322

pii

10.1038/s41598-020-68268-9

journal_volume

10

pub_type

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