Abstract:
OBJECTIVE:There are no validated methods for predicting the timing of seizures. Using machine learning, we sought to forecast 24-hour risk of self-reported seizure from e-diaries. METHODS:Data from 5,419 patients on SeizureTracker.com (including seizure count, type, and duration) were split into training (3,806 patients/1,665,215 patient-days) and testing (1,613 patients/549,588 patient-days) sets with no overlapping patients. An artificial intelligence (AI) program, consisting of recurrent networks followed by a multilayer perceptron ("deep learning" model), was trained to produce risk forecasts. Forecasts were made from a sliding window of 3-month diary history for each day of each patient's diary. After training, the model parameters were held constant and the testing set was scored. A rate-matched random (RMR) forecast was compared to the AI. Comparisons were made using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), a measure of binary discrimination performance, and the Brier score, a measure of forecast calibration. The Brier skill score (BSS) measured the improvement of the AI Brier score compared to the benchmark RMR Brier score. Confidence intervals (CIs) on performance statistics were obtained via bootstrapping. RESULTS:The AUC was 0.86 (95% CI = 0.85-0.88) for AI and 0.83 (95% CI = 0.81-0.85) for RMR, favoring AI (p < 0.001). Overall (all patients combined), BSS was 0.27 (95% CI = 0.23-0.31), also favoring AI (p < 0.001). INTERPRETATION:The AI produced a valid forecast superior to a chance forecaster, and provided meaningful forecasts in the majority of patients. Future studies will be needed to quantify the clinical value of these forecasts for patients. ANN NEUROL 2020;88:588-595.
journal_name
Ann Neuroljournal_title
Annals of neurologyauthors
Goldenholz DM,Goldenholz SR,Romero J,Moss R,Sun H,Westover Bdoi
10.1002/ana.25812subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2020-09-01 00:00:00pages
588-595issue
3eissn
0364-5134issn
1531-8249journal_volume
88pub_type
杂志文章abstract::The pontine tegmentum contains the neurons responsible for generation of saccadic eye movements and certain phases of sleep. We studied two genetically unrelated patients with spinocerebellar degeneration and slow saccadic eye movements. Multiple all-night sleep studies in both patients disclosed absence of REM and st...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410070312
更新日期:1980-03-01 00:00:00
abstract::Two women suffered from a similar, slowly progressive illness characterized by upper and lower motor neuron involvement, sensory disturbances, and neurogenic bladder. Radiographic examinations showed cerebral atrophy and, in one, changes on computerized tomography suggesting leukodystrophy. Sural nerve biopsies reveal...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410130411
更新日期:1983-04-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:Reducing health and economic burdens from diagnostic delay of psychogenic nonepileptic seizures (PNES) requires prompt referral for video electroencephalography (VEEG) monitoring, the diagnostic gold standard. Practitioners make VEEG referrals when semiology suggests PNES, although few semiological signs are ...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.22345
更新日期:2011-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::In this study, we preincubated the sera of 3 patients with neuropathies associated with elevated titers of IgM anti-GM1 antibodies, with increasing concentrations of intravenous Ig (IVIg) and assayed the inhibitory effect of this mixture on antibody binding to immobilized GM1 by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. P...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410390121
更新日期:1996-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Patterns of brain dysgenesis that resemble those in the Zellweger syndrome were demonstrated in a boy with an isolated defect of the peroxisomal bifunctional enzyme. There was bilateral centrosylvian pachygyria and polymicrogyria, diffuse hemispheric hypomyelination with heterotopic neurons, Purkinje cell heterotopias...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410390218
更新日期:1996-02-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:The discovery of a posture-dependent effect on the difference between intraocular pressure (IOP) and intracranial pressure (ICP) at the level of lamina cribrosa could have important implications for understanding glaucoma and idiopathic intracranial hypertension and could help explain visual impairments in as...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.24713
更新日期:2016-08-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:Loss of function mutations in PINK1 typically lead to early onset Parkinson disease (PD). Zebrafish (Danio rerio) are emerging as a powerful new vertebrate model to study neurodegenerative diseases. We used a pink1 mutant (pink(-/-) ) zebrafish line with a premature stop mutation (Y431*) in the PINK1 kinase d...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.23999
更新日期:2013-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::We compared the accuracy of saccades made to seen or remembered visual targets in 3 patients with saccadic dysmetria due to cerebellar lesions. Saccadic dysmetria was worse for saccades to remembered targets and for saccades to flashed targets visible for only 150 msec (i.e., invisible at the time of saccade). Further...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410350117
更新日期:1994-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::A 10-year-old boy developed progressive dystonia and dementia. His symptoms had begun at age 2 1/2 years, and he had been unable to walk by 8 years. At age 10 he was severely dystonic, unable to use his hands to feed himself, and almost anarthric . He had dysphagia and urinary incontinence, and functioned at a 4-year-...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410150408
更新日期:1984-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::The clinical value of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) polyamine determinations in childhood medulloblastoma has been suggested. We performed 72 CSF polyamine determinations in 35 children with primary brain tumors. Spermine values were normal and spermidine values were inconsistently elevated. CSF putrescine values, however...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410190409
更新日期:1986-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::This study assessed whether or not levodopa induces dyskinesias in normal (ie, unlesioned) squirrel monkeys. All six animals treated twice daily with levodopa (15 mg/kg with carbidopa by oral gavage) for two weeks developed choreoathetoid dyskinesias, whereas none of the vehicle-treated animals displayed any abnormal ...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.1099
更新日期:2001-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::Lead intoxication in rats reliably produces segmental demyelination. Following a single intravenous injection of radioactive lead, localization of tracer was observed sequentially by quantitative electron microscopical autoradiography. The animals injected had been on a lead-containing diet for 70 days; as a result, t...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410180206
更新日期:1985-08-01 00:00:00
abstract::By most measures, academic neurology is thriving as never before, yet convening forces are changing the face of academic neurology. This report focuses on changes that academic neurology and the American Neurological Association could undertake to seize new opportunities and resist damaging potential changes. These pr...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410390604
更新日期:1996-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Microelectrode recording methods for stereotactic localization of the subthalamic nucleus (STN) and surrounding structures are described. These methods accurately define targets for chronic deep brain stimulation in the treatment of Parkinson's disease. Mean firing rates and a burst index were determined for all recor...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410440407
更新日期:1998-10-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:We aimed to determine the risk of short- and long-term stroke, as well as accidental injury, in patients discharged from an emergency department who were given a diagnosis of a peripheral vestibular disorder. METHODS:In this population-based, retrospective, cohort study, we identified all adult patients who ...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.24521
更新日期:2016-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::We analyzed the prion protein gene (PRNP) region in patients with transmissible spongiform encephalopathy associated with the PRNP D178N mutation. The results suggest that the D178N chromosomes had independent origins in each affected pedigree or apparently sporadic case. A de novo spontaneous PRNP mutation was observ...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.10267
更新日期:2002-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::It has been known for some time that patients with Parkinson's disease (PD) have difficulty executing simultaneous motor acts, yet the pathophysiology underlying this impairment remains uncertain. We examined the possibility that these dual-task deficits stem from defective sensorimotor mechanisms producing interferen...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410310110
更新日期:1992-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Two families with a point mutation in mtDNA associated with myoclonic epilepsy and ragged-red fiber disease showed pronounced clinical heterogeneity. The mothers of the two families had adult-onset myopathy with ragged-red fibers, partial deficiency of cytochrome c oxidase, and sensory neuropathy. Members of the first...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410330613
更新日期:1993-06-01 00:00:00
abstract::Macrophages are prominent participants in inflammatory demyelinating neuropathies. To provide a different means of evaluating macrophage behavior, we used immunostaining of teased nerve fibers and endoneurial blood vessels. We assessed the frequency with which macrophages were seen in inflammatory demyelinating neurop...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章,评审
doi:10.1002/ana.410270717
更新日期:1990-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::In multiple sclerosis (MS), the influx of activated T lymphocytes into the brain parenchyma leads to the subsequent damage of oligodendrocytes, the cells that produce central nervous system (CNS) myelin. We report here that interferon beta-1b (IFNbeta-1b), a drug shown to be efficacious in the treatment of patients wi...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410400607
更新日期:1996-12-01 00:00:00
abstract::Between 36 and 44 weeks after conception, telencephalic white matter in the newborn appears to be particularly vulnerable to insults that result in morphological disturbances. Available evidence indicates that this disorder (or group of disorders), named acquired perinatal leukoencephalopathy, reflects a decrease in b...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410160102
更新日期:1984-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::Cerebral blood flow velocity (CBF-V) measured by transcranial doppler was assessed in 628 elderly individuals who had cerebral magnetic resonance imaging performed as part of a population-based study on vascular aging. Cerebral white matter hyperintensities (WMHs) were associated with low CBF-V, such as the adjusted o...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:
更新日期:2001-03-01 00:00:00
abstract::Amphiphysin-IgG was identified in 71 patients among 120,000 evaluated serologically for paraneoplastic autoantibodies. Clinical information was available for 63 patients. Cancer was detected in 50 (mostly limited), proven histologically in 46, and was imaged intrathoracically in 4 patients (lung, small-cell [27] and n...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.20529
更新日期:2005-07-01 00:00:00
abstract::An artificial system is described in which anti-dinitrophenyl (DNP) antibody attaches to hapten-conjugated human brain tissue. Treatment of this material with acetic acid at pH 2.5 to 3.0 for 90 seconds followed by immediate neutralization results in dissociation of antibody from the hapten-conjugated brain. Less than...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410030507
更新日期:1978-05-01 00:00:00
abstract::Early differential diagnosis of motor neuropathies (MN) and lower motor neuron diseases (LMND) is important, as prognosis and therapeutic approaches are different. We evaluated the diagnostic contribution of the biopsy of the motor branch of the obturator nerve and gracilis muscle in 21 consecutive patients in which, ...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.22110
更新日期:2011-01-01 00:00:00
abstract::Pallidopyramidal disease is a rare disease of young patients in which they manifest a parkinsonian syndrome and pyramidal signs. Pallidopyramidal disease has been attributed to a degeneration of the pallidum and the pyramidal tract, although only 1 patient has been studied postmortem. In the present report, [18F]fluor...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410380618
更新日期:1995-12-01 00:00:00
abstract:OBJECTIVE:Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) is an acute postinfectious immune-mediated polyneuropathy. Although preceding respiratory tract infections with Mycoplasma pneumoniae have been reported in some cases, the role of M. pneumoniae in the pathogenesis of GBS remains unclear. We here cultured, for the first time, M. p...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.24755
更新日期:2016-10-01 00:00:00
abstract::Hemophilus influenzae is the most common cause of bacterial meningitis in children, and a high percentage of survivors are at risk for long-term sequelae. To explore the mechanisms responsible for these sequelae, a neonatal rat model was used to define the behavioral, electrophysiological, and biochemical changes foll...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.410210407
更新日期:1987-04-01 00:00:00
abstract::Pathological evidence suggests that alterations of the blood-brain barrier (BBB) may occur in association with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) dementia (HIVD). Increased BBB permeability could contribute to the development of dementia by facilitating the entry of activated and infected monocytes, as well as potenti...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/1531-8249(199909)46:3<391::aid-ana15>3.0.c
更新日期:1999-09-01 00:00:00
abstract::We have recently reported homozygous mutations in the PINK1 gene in three consanguineous families with early-onset parkinsonism (EOP) linked to the PARK6 locus. To further evaluate the pathogenic role of PINK1 in EOP and to draw genotype-phenotype correlates, we performed PINK1 mutation analysis in a cohort of Italian...
journal_title:Annals of neurology
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.1002/ana.20256
更新日期:2004-09-01 00:00:00