Linking landscape-scale conservation to regional and continental outcomes for a migratory species.

Abstract:

:Land-use intensification on arable land is expanding and posing a threat to biodiversity and ecosystem services worldwide. We develop methods to link funding for avian breeding habitat conservation and management at landscape scales to equilibrium abundance of a migratory species at the continental scale. We apply this novel approach to a harvested bird valued by birders and hunters in North America, the northern pintail duck (Anas acuta), a species well below its population goal. Based on empirical observations from 2007-2016, habitat conservation investments for waterfowl cost $313 M and affected <2% of the pintail's primary breeding area in the Prairie Pothole Region of Canada. Realistic scenarios for harvest and habitat conservation costing an estimated $588 M (2016 USD) led to predicted pintail population sizes <3 M when assuming average parameter values. Accounting for parameter uncertainty, converting 70-100% of these croplands to idle grassland (cost: $35.7B-50B) is required to achieve the continental population goal of 4 M individuals under the current harvest policy. Using our work as a starting point, we propose continued development of modeling approaches that link conservation funding, habitat delivery, and population response to better integrate conservation efforts and harvest management of economically important migratory species.

journal_name

Sci Rep

journal_title

Scientific reports

authors

Mattsson BJ,Devries JH,Dubovsky JA,Semmens D,Thogmartin WE,Derbridge JJ,Lopez-Hoffman L

doi

10.1038/s41598-020-61058-3

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2020-03-18 00:00:00

pages

4968

issue

1

issn

2045-2322

pii

10.1038/s41598-020-61058-3

journal_volume

10

pub_type

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