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Software Application Profile: The Anchored Multiplier calculator-a Bayesian tool to synthesize population size estimates.

Abstract：

:Estimating the number of people in hidden populations is needed for public health research, yet available methods produce highly variable and uncertain results. The Anchored Multiplier calculator uses a Bayesian framework to synthesize multiple population size estimates to generate a consensus estimate. Users submit point estimates and lower/upper bounds which are converted to beta probability distributions and combined to form a single posterior probability distribution. The Anchored Multiplier calculator is available as a web browser-based application. The software allows for unlimited empirical population size estimates to be submitted and combined according to Bayes Theorem to form a single estimate. The software returns output as a forest plot (to visually compare data inputs and the final Anchored Multiplier estimate) and a table that displays results as population percentages and counts. The web application 'Anchored Multiplier Calculator' is free software and is available at [http://globalhealthsciences.ucsf.edu/resources/tools] or directly at [http://anchoredmultiplier.ucsf.edu/].

journal_name

Int J Epidemiol

journal_title

International journal of epidemiology

authors

Wesson PD,McFarland W,Qin CC,Mirzazadeh A

doi

10.1093/ije/dyz101

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2019-12-01 00:00:00

pages

1744-1749

issue

6

eissn

0300-5771

issn

1464-3685

pii

5491487

journal_volume

48

pub_type

杂志文章

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