Is Life Expectancy of French Women Going to Plateau and Oscillate?

Abstract:

:Some authors have hypothesised that life expectancy at birth could reach 100 years in developed countries in the next decades. Using recent data for French women, it is shown that life expectancy changes from 1993 to 2016 are mainly linked to mortality rates of oldest women. In recent years, it happened that life expectancy of French women oscillated, because of for instance influenza epidemics killing mainly oldest frail people. It is hypothesised that in coming years, life expectancy of French women (and one day of men?) will only very slightly increase and will show oscillations because of increased mortality the years of severe influenza, heatwave and other events threatening the life of frail oldest people. This fate could also be that of the other developed countries in the future, which would mean that life expectancy has begun to plateau.

journal_name

Gerontology

journal_title

Gerontology

authors

Le Bourg E

doi

10.1159/000497179

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2019-01-01 00:00:00

pages

288-293

issue

3

eissn

0304-324X

issn

1423-0003

pii

000497179

journal_volume

65

pub_type

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