Abstract:
:Ebola virus disease (EVD) is a contagious, severe and often lethal form of hemorrhagic fever in humans. The association of EVD outbreaks with forest clearance has been suggested previously but many aspects remained uncharacterized. We used remote sensing techniques to investigate the association between deforestation in time and space, with EVD outbreaks in Central and West Africa. Favorability modeling, centered on 27 EVD outbreak sites and 280 comparable control sites, revealed that outbreaks located along the limits of the rainforest biome were significantly associated with forest losses within the previous 2 years. This association was strongest for closed forests (>83%), both intact and disturbed, of a range of tree heights (5->19 m). Our results suggest that the increased probability of an EVD outbreak occurring in a site is linked to recent deforestation events, and that preventing the loss of forests could reduce the likelihood of future outbreaks.
journal_name
Sci Repjournal_title
Scientific reportsauthors
Olivero J,Fa JE,Real R,Márquez AL,Farfán MA,Vargas JM,Gaveau D,Salim MA,Park D,Suter J,King S,Leendertz SA,Sheil D,Nasi Rdoi
10.1038/s41598-017-14727-9subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2017-10-30 00:00:00pages
14291issue
1issn
2045-2322pii
10.1038/s41598-017-14727-9journal_volume
7pub_type
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