Recent loss of closed forests is associated with Ebola virus disease outbreaks.

Abstract:

:Ebola virus disease (EVD) is a contagious, severe and often lethal form of hemorrhagic fever in humans. The association of EVD outbreaks with forest clearance has been suggested previously but many aspects remained uncharacterized. We used remote sensing techniques to investigate the association between deforestation in time and space, with EVD outbreaks in Central and West Africa. Favorability modeling, centered on 27 EVD outbreak sites and 280 comparable control sites, revealed that outbreaks located along the limits of the rainforest biome were significantly associated with forest losses within the previous 2 years. This association was strongest for closed forests (>83%), both intact and disturbed, of a range of tree heights (5->19 m). Our results suggest that the increased probability of an EVD outbreak occurring in a site is linked to recent deforestation events, and that preventing the loss of forests could reduce the likelihood of future outbreaks.

journal_name

Sci Rep

journal_title

Scientific reports

authors

Olivero J,Fa JE,Real R,Márquez AL,Farfán MA,Vargas JM,Gaveau D,Salim MA,Park D,Suter J,King S,Leendertz SA,Sheil D,Nasi R

doi

10.1038/s41598-017-14727-9

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2017-10-30 00:00:00

pages

14291

issue

1

issn

2045-2322

pii

10.1038/s41598-017-14727-9

journal_volume

7

pub_type

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