Less favourable climates constrain demographic strategies in plants.

Abstract:

:Correlative species distribution models are based on the observed relationship between species' occurrence and macroclimate or other environmental variables. In climates predicted less favourable populations are expected to decline, and in favourable climates they are expected to persist. However, little comparative empirical support exists for a relationship between predicted climate suitability and population performance. We found that the performance of 93 populations of 34 plant species worldwide - as measured by in situ population growth rate, its temporal variation and extinction risk - was not correlated with climate suitability. However, correlations of demographic processes underpinning population performance with climate suitability indicated both resistance and vulnerability pathways of population responses to climate: in less suitable climates, plants experienced greater retrogression (resistance pathway) and greater variability in some demographic rates (vulnerability pathway). While a range of demographic strategies occur within species' climatic niches, demographic strategies are more constrained in climates predicted to be less suitable.

journal_name

Ecol Lett

journal_title

Ecology letters

authors

Csergő AM,Salguero-Gómez R,Broennimann O,Coutts SR,Guisan A,Angert AL,Welk E,Stott I,Enquist BJ,McGill B,Svenning JC,Violle C,Buckley YM

doi

10.1111/ele.12794

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2017-08-01 00:00:00

pages

969-980

issue

8

eissn

1461-023X

issn

1461-0248

journal_volume

20

pub_type

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