An extreme event of sea-level rise along the Northeast Coast of North America in 2009-2010.

Abstract:

:The coastal sea levels along the Northeast Coast of North America show significant year-to-year fluctuations in a general upward trend. The analysis of long-term tide gauge records identified an extreme sea-level rise (SLR) event during 2009-10. Within this 2-year period, the coastal sea level north of New York City jumped by 128 mm. This magnitude of interannual SLR is unprecedented (a 1-in-850 year event) during the entire history of the tide gauge records. Here we show that this extreme SLR event is a combined effect of two factors: an observed 30% downturn of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation during 2009-10, and a significant negative North Atlantic Oscillation index. The extreme nature of the 2009-10 SLR event suggests that such a significant downturn of the Atlantic overturning circulation is very unusual. During the twenty-first century, climate models project an increase in magnitude and frequency of extreme interannual SLR events along this densely populated coast.

journal_name

Nat Commun

journal_title

Nature communications

authors

Goddard PB,Yin J,Griffies SM,Zhang S

doi

10.1038/ncomms7346

subject

Has Abstract

pub_date

2015-02-24 00:00:00

pages

6346

issn

2041-1723

pii

ncomms7346

journal_volume

6

pub_type

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