Abstract:
:Land use and land cover change is driven by multiple influential factors from environmental and social dimensions in a land system. Land use practices of human decision-makers modify the landscape of the land system, possibly leading to landscape fragmentation, biodiversity loss, or environmental pollution-severe environmental or ecological impacts. While landscape-level ecological risk assessment supports the evaluation of these impacts, investigations on how these ecological risks induced by land use practices change over space and time in response to alternative policy intervention remain inadequate. In this article, we conducted spatially explicit landscape ecological risk analysis in Ezhou City, China. Our study area is a national ecologically representative region experiencing drastic land use and land cover change, and is regulated by multiple policies represented by farmland protection, ecological conservation, and urban development. We employed landscape metrics to consider the influence of potential landscape-level disturbance for the evaluation of landscape ecological risks. Using spatiotemporal simulation, we designed scenarios to examine spatiotemporal patterns in landscape ecological risks in response to policy intervention. Our study demonstrated that spatially explicit landscape ecological risk analysis combined with simulation-driven scenario analysis is of particular importance for guiding the sustainable development of ecologically vulnerable land systems.
journal_name
Int J Environ Res Public Healthauthors
Gong J,Yang J,Tang Wdoi
10.3390/ijerph121114192subject
Has Abstractpub_date
2015-11-09 00:00:00pages
14192-215issue
11eissn
1661-7827issn
1660-4601pii
ijerph121114192journal_volume
12pub_type
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journal_title:International journal of environmental research and public health
pub_type: 杂志文章
doi:10.3390/ijerph17228513
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更新日期:2016-05-27 00:00:00
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